Thursday, February21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Vernon Center, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 5:39PM Thursday February 21, 2019 4:57 PM EST (21:57 UTC) Moonrise 9:19PMMoonset 9:14AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 323 Pm Est Thu Feb 21 2019
Tonight..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft this evening, then 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Sat night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain in the morning, then chance of light rain and freezing drizzle in the afternoon.
Sun night..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Mon..W winds 20 to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Tue night..SW winds around 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 323 Pm Est Thu Feb 21 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front moves east of the forecast waters early this evening. High pressure then builds in tonight and remains over the waters through Saturday morning. Another frontal system will impact the waters Saturday night into Sunday. High pressure then begins to build back into the area on Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vernon Center, NJ
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location: 41.21, -74.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 212007
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
307 pm est Thu feb 21 2019

Synopsis
A weak cold front will drop across the area this evening. High pressure
will then build in from the north and west to close out the work week,
before moving offshore on Saturday. Low pressure lifts across the
great lakes over the weekend and its associated fronts will affect
our area. More high pressure will build in for the beginning of next
week.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
Weak cold front should continue to settle south through our region
this evening, as a broad surface high builds towards our region. The
main thing of note with the front is that some precipitation will be
possible along the front by late tonight (when it is just south of
our region). Rain could build into northern delmarva, so have
increased pops there, but the rest of the region should see dry
conditions.

Despite the cold front, expect temperatures to be slightly above
normal, with lows from the mid 20s to upper 30s across the region.

Short term 6 am Friday morning through 6 pm Friday
As the high continues to build closer to the region, fair and
seasonable weather is expected through the day on Friday. Temperatures
are expected to be near normal, with highs from the mid 30s to
mid 40s (slightly lower than Thursday thanks to the weak cold
front). Pressure gradient is expected to decrease, and consequently
winds should be decreasing as well.

Long term Friday night through Thursday
Fri night Saturday... Mostly fair thru this period with increasing
clouds. There is a chance for some light rain to arrive across
delmarva and SE pa by Saturday afternoon. A cold night Friday night
with near normal high temperatures expected Saturday.

Saturday night Sunday... A wet period with deep low pressure cutting
well to the west and a series of fronts to cross our region. Steady
rains Saturday night becoming showery Sunday. Overall, around an
inch of rain could occur. Some hydro concerns possible with recent
rains snows and still rather wet ground. Winds will be moderate thru
Sunday morning , then a cold front will cross the area and winds
will increase over the middle atlantic area. High temperatures
Sunday before the front crosses will be in the 50s across the north
and low mid 60s over the delaware valley and delmarva.

Sunday night through Monday night..Precipitation ending but windy
and much colder. Highs Monday will be 15 to 20 degrees below
Sundays' readings. Sub-freezing temperatures are expected for Monday
night as high pressure builds over the area.

Tuesday thru Thursday... No major weather systems foreseen, but a
sharpening h5 trough across the great lakes could send a few weak
clipper systems over the area. A little snow could occur, but the
details are too low confid to include anything more than a chc pop
in the present fcst.

Aviation 20z Thursday through Tuesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR conditions expected with just some mid and high clouds
around. The mid-level clouds will be thicker for terminals south and
east of kttn. Northwest winds 7 kts or less.

Friday...VFR conditions expected. Mainly high clouds around with the
mid-level deck pushing off to our south and east. Northwest winds 10
kts or less. Some scattered CU could develop in the afternoon hours
with bases between 2-3k feet.

Outlook...

fri night...VFR with increasing clouds.

Saturday...VFR early then lowering CIGS with rain expected by
afternoon. Vsby restrictions possible late.

Saturday night... Cig vsby restrictions expected. Rain and fog.

Sunday... Low clouds vsbys early then improving late.

Monday Tuesday...VFR expected.

Marine
Small craft advisory conditions may linter on the new jersey coastal
waters through early this evening. Otherwise, winds and waves are
expected to stay below SCA criteria tonight and Friday.

Outlook...

fri night Saturday... Sub-sca. Fair Fri night and a chance for
afternoon rain Saturday.

Saturday night thru Sunday... SCA Sat night. Gales developing
Sunday. Rain.

Sunday night thru Monday night... Gales expected. Storm force
winds possible Monday. Fair.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 pm est this evening for
anz450>453.

Synopsis... Kruzdlo
near term... Johnson
short term... Johnson
long term... O'hara
aviation... Kruzdlo o'hara
marine... Johnson o'hara


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHRN6 43 mi58 min W 14 G 19
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 44 mi58 min 48°F 38°F1014.4 hPa (-0.0)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 44 mi64 min 50°F 39°F1014.4 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 45 mi58 min W 16 G 18 50°F 1015 hPa (-0.0)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 48 mi58 min N 9.9 G 11 48°F 35°F1015 hPa (-0.0)

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sussex, Sussex Airport, NJ6 mi65 minVar 510.00 miFair50°F28°F44%1014.3 hPa
Andover, Aeroflex-Andover Airport, NJ18 mi64 minVar 3 mi49°F30°F48%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from FWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE3N4NE3NE4NE4E3NE4NE5NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmSW5S6S3366NW10
G16
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1 day agoN63W6CalmCalmN6N4CalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmNE3E4NE5CalmCalmSW6CalmNE3NE3NE3
2 days agoNW8
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5CalmCalm5W8NW7CalmN34N3Calm6
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NW7W7NW8N8

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw, Hudson River, New York (2)
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Haverstraw
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Thu -- 05:51 AM EST     -0.77 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:42 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:10 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:28 AM EST     3.60 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:23 PM EST     -0.82 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:16 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.32.71.80.90-0.6-0.8-0.212.23.13.53.53.12.31.30.4-0.3-0.8-0.70.31.52.53.2

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw, Hudson River, New York
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Haverstraw
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:51 AM EST     -0.76 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:42 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:10 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:47 AM EST     3.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:19 PM EST     -0.84 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:16 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.22.71.80.90.1-0.5-0.8-0.30.822.93.43.53.12.31.40.4-0.3-0.8-0.70.11.32.33

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.