Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Milford, CT
May 10, 2024 8:09 AM EDT (12:09 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:36 AM Sunset 8:00 PM Moonrise 7:07 AM Moonset 11:28 PM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 601 Am Edt Fri May 10 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 pm edt this afternoon - .
Today - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 4 seconds. Rain.
Tonight - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 4 seconds. Rain likely in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Sat - NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Wave detail: ne 1 ft at 3 seconds, becoming E 1 ft at 3 seconds.
Sat night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 3 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Sun - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 3 seconds. Chance of showers.
Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
ANZ300 601 Am Edt Fri May 10 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Low pressure systems moves south of the area today, and further south and offshore tonight. A weak low approaches Saturday night into Sunday. High pressure returns on Monday before moving offshore into Tuesday. Another low may impact the waters during the middle of next week.
Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 101118 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 718 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure systems moves south of the area today, and further south and offshore tonight. A weak low approaches Saturday night into Sunday. High pressure returns on Monday before moving offshore into Tuesday. Another low may impact the region during the middle of next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
No changes with this update as the rain moves across the area today. The rain will have some moderate pulses at times, especially across the western 2/3rds of the area this morning.
The main question is how far east and for how long of a portion of the day does the rain get into northeastern sections of the area as low level ridging attempts to fend off the progression of the rain. It will be a cool and wet day with cloud cover and an onshore wind out of the ENE. This will result in temperatures being a good 10 degrees or so below normal. A few places in NE CT may reach 60 where a break in the rain is likely for the afternoon and where there may be some thinning of the clouds.
The breeze will be noticeable closer to the coast.
For tonight look for some pockets light rain for the evening, otherwise the column is expected to gradually dry out. Rainfall totals should end up around a quarter of an inch across far E and NE sections, and closer to a half inch and up to three quarters of an inch across far western locations. Look for mainly dry conditions across the area closer to and after midnight. Clouds will thin out and breaks develop. The only question is can some patchy fog form with a wet ground and if at least some partial clearing can take shape for the second half of the night. Thus have thrown in some patchy fog for the more rural portions of western areas.
Temperatures will get a few degrees below normal tonight if the partial clearing develops. Looks for lows to mainly be in the lower and middle 40s, with upper 40s in the metro.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
The weekend should start off dry and rather pleasant, albeit a bit cool through at least the early afternoon on Saturday.
Temperatures will average a bit below normal with an onshore wind off the colder ocean. Most places should get into the lower and middle 60s for daytime maxes. Getting closer to evening look for clouds to begin to increase from the west with an introduction of slight chance of showers across far western sections before day's end.
For Saturday night look for a good deal of clouds further west, with more clouds getting further east as the night progresses. Went with consensus guidance with respect to PoPs with chance to slight chance PoPs from west to east. With the light onshore flow continuing ahead of a weakening frontal boundary look for temperatures to be a few degrees below normal with lows around 45 to 50.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
A shortwave will begin to exit Sunday morning. Low pressure may pass offshore ahead of the shortwave with another weaker low hanging back over the northeast. There is some question surrounding how much surface ridging lingers over New England, which may keep higher probabilities of showers across the western half of the area. The atmosphere is stable so will just mention showers. Highs will primarily be in the mid/upper-50s.
There is good agreement among the deterministic and ensemble guidance for the trough to shift offshore Monday. A relatively flat ridge should settle over the northeast Monday, but may also linger into a portion of Tuesday, leading to a dry stretch with increased sunshine. With an approaching low to the west and an exiting high to the east Monday evening/night, south winds could become breezy with most 00Z showing a 35-45kt LLJ developing, likely aided by a southern stream upper-level jet shifting northward over the area.
Models have come into better agreement on a southern stream shortwave that moves out of the Plains Tuesday and tracks towards the east coast the middle of next week. An associated frontal system/low pressure should evolve somewhere near the Middle Atlantic. Based on the timing from 00Z guidance it appears the low passing to our south will give us the best chance of rain early Wednesday. High pressure gradually builds in, afterwards.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Low pressure passes to our south as it travels east this morning through the day Friday. Weak high pressure returns Friday night into Saturday morning.
Almost all terminals have dropped to MVFR. A few have now dropped to IFR, with others expected to follow suit shortly, with the likeliest IFR at city terminals, though it may only be occasionally IFR. Improvement to MVFR is expected this afternoon then back to VFR sometime in the evening. Rain/showers will continue through much of Friday, clearing by the evening.
Rain may not be persistent and may come in waves or on-and-off again showers.
East winds increase to around 15kt with gusts 15-20kt. Winds back more NE over the morning into Friday/Friday evening and diminish.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
IFR categories in TAFs may only touch IFR on occasion.
Low confidence on timing of return to VFR Friday.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
Saturday and Sunday: Chance of MVFR or lower in showers.
Monday: Mainly VFR. Isolated showers possible at KSWF.
Tuesday: VFR. SW G20kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Small craft conditions take shape across all waters today with gusts at 25 to 30 kt. For tonight sub small craft conditions should return to the non ocean waters, with small craft seas likely remaining on the ocean for the majority of tonight. Sub small craft conditions are expected with seas closer to 4 ft on the ocean for much of this weekend. South winds may increase Monday evening/early Tuesday, but currently keeping ocean waters just below 25 kt gusts. Ocean waters may briefly reach 5 feet during this time frame.
HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns throughout the forecast period.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Minor coastal flooding continues Friday night, but coverage will be less than last night. Have maintained coastal flood advisories for the western south shore bays of Southern Nassau and Southern Queens, along with Southern Fairfield and Southern Westchester. Have chosen based on latest trends from taking an average of Stevens, ETSS, and ESTOFS to downgrade advisories to statements for Southern Brooklyn, Staten Island, and NE NJ coastal zones. Statements which were previously in effect for Southern Suffolk, NW Suffolk, Northern Nassau and Northern Queens have been discontinued as water levels have trended down and are no longer expected to meet minor benchmarks.
Saturday night may see one more night where minor benchmarks could be approached for Southern Nassau and Southern Queens, otherwise this latest round of minor coastal flooding should completely come to an end later in the weekend.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 AM EDT Saturday for CTZ009.
NY...Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 AM EDT Saturday for NYZ071.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 1 AM EDT Saturday for NYZ178-179.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ331- 332-335-340.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ338- 345.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ350-353- 355.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 718 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure systems moves south of the area today, and further south and offshore tonight. A weak low approaches Saturday night into Sunday. High pressure returns on Monday before moving offshore into Tuesday. Another low may impact the region during the middle of next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
No changes with this update as the rain moves across the area today. The rain will have some moderate pulses at times, especially across the western 2/3rds of the area this morning.
The main question is how far east and for how long of a portion of the day does the rain get into northeastern sections of the area as low level ridging attempts to fend off the progression of the rain. It will be a cool and wet day with cloud cover and an onshore wind out of the ENE. This will result in temperatures being a good 10 degrees or so below normal. A few places in NE CT may reach 60 where a break in the rain is likely for the afternoon and where there may be some thinning of the clouds.
The breeze will be noticeable closer to the coast.
For tonight look for some pockets light rain for the evening, otherwise the column is expected to gradually dry out. Rainfall totals should end up around a quarter of an inch across far E and NE sections, and closer to a half inch and up to three quarters of an inch across far western locations. Look for mainly dry conditions across the area closer to and after midnight. Clouds will thin out and breaks develop. The only question is can some patchy fog form with a wet ground and if at least some partial clearing can take shape for the second half of the night. Thus have thrown in some patchy fog for the more rural portions of western areas.
Temperatures will get a few degrees below normal tonight if the partial clearing develops. Looks for lows to mainly be in the lower and middle 40s, with upper 40s in the metro.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
The weekend should start off dry and rather pleasant, albeit a bit cool through at least the early afternoon on Saturday.
Temperatures will average a bit below normal with an onshore wind off the colder ocean. Most places should get into the lower and middle 60s for daytime maxes. Getting closer to evening look for clouds to begin to increase from the west with an introduction of slight chance of showers across far western sections before day's end.
For Saturday night look for a good deal of clouds further west, with more clouds getting further east as the night progresses. Went with consensus guidance with respect to PoPs with chance to slight chance PoPs from west to east. With the light onshore flow continuing ahead of a weakening frontal boundary look for temperatures to be a few degrees below normal with lows around 45 to 50.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
A shortwave will begin to exit Sunday morning. Low pressure may pass offshore ahead of the shortwave with another weaker low hanging back over the northeast. There is some question surrounding how much surface ridging lingers over New England, which may keep higher probabilities of showers across the western half of the area. The atmosphere is stable so will just mention showers. Highs will primarily be in the mid/upper-50s.
There is good agreement among the deterministic and ensemble guidance for the trough to shift offshore Monday. A relatively flat ridge should settle over the northeast Monday, but may also linger into a portion of Tuesday, leading to a dry stretch with increased sunshine. With an approaching low to the west and an exiting high to the east Monday evening/night, south winds could become breezy with most 00Z showing a 35-45kt LLJ developing, likely aided by a southern stream upper-level jet shifting northward over the area.
Models have come into better agreement on a southern stream shortwave that moves out of the Plains Tuesday and tracks towards the east coast the middle of next week. An associated frontal system/low pressure should evolve somewhere near the Middle Atlantic. Based on the timing from 00Z guidance it appears the low passing to our south will give us the best chance of rain early Wednesday. High pressure gradually builds in, afterwards.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Low pressure passes to our south as it travels east this morning through the day Friday. Weak high pressure returns Friday night into Saturday morning.
Almost all terminals have dropped to MVFR. A few have now dropped to IFR, with others expected to follow suit shortly, with the likeliest IFR at city terminals, though it may only be occasionally IFR. Improvement to MVFR is expected this afternoon then back to VFR sometime in the evening. Rain/showers will continue through much of Friday, clearing by the evening.
Rain may not be persistent and may come in waves or on-and-off again showers.
East winds increase to around 15kt with gusts 15-20kt. Winds back more NE over the morning into Friday/Friday evening and diminish.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
IFR categories in TAFs may only touch IFR on occasion.
Low confidence on timing of return to VFR Friday.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
Saturday and Sunday: Chance of MVFR or lower in showers.
Monday: Mainly VFR. Isolated showers possible at KSWF.
Tuesday: VFR. SW G20kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Small craft conditions take shape across all waters today with gusts at 25 to 30 kt. For tonight sub small craft conditions should return to the non ocean waters, with small craft seas likely remaining on the ocean for the majority of tonight. Sub small craft conditions are expected with seas closer to 4 ft on the ocean for much of this weekend. South winds may increase Monday evening/early Tuesday, but currently keeping ocean waters just below 25 kt gusts. Ocean waters may briefly reach 5 feet during this time frame.
HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns throughout the forecast period.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Minor coastal flooding continues Friday night, but coverage will be less than last night. Have maintained coastal flood advisories for the western south shore bays of Southern Nassau and Southern Queens, along with Southern Fairfield and Southern Westchester. Have chosen based on latest trends from taking an average of Stevens, ETSS, and ESTOFS to downgrade advisories to statements for Southern Brooklyn, Staten Island, and NE NJ coastal zones. Statements which were previously in effect for Southern Suffolk, NW Suffolk, Northern Nassau and Northern Queens have been discontinued as water levels have trended down and are no longer expected to meet minor benchmarks.
Saturday night may see one more night where minor benchmarks could be approached for Southern Nassau and Southern Queens, otherwise this latest round of minor coastal flooding should completely come to an end later in the weekend.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 AM EDT Saturday for CTZ009.
NY...Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 AM EDT Saturday for NYZ071.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 1 AM EDT Saturday for NYZ178-179.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ331- 332-335-340.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ338- 345.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ350-353- 355.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 7 mi | 51 min | ENE 8.9G | 48°F | 29.74 | |||
| NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 9 mi | 51 min | ENE 7G | 48°F | 57°F | 29.80 | ||
| 44022 - Execution Rocks | 43 mi | 39 min | E 18 | 50°F | 29.75 | 47°F | ||
| KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 47 mi | 51 min | ENE 5.1G | 49°F | 29.77 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBDR IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL,CT | 6 sm | 9 min | ENE 14 | 10 sm | Overcast | 50°F | 45°F | 82% | 29.78 | |
| KHVN TWEEDNEW HAVEN,CT | 9 sm | 16 min | ENE 07 | 10 sm | Overcast | 52°F | 46°F | 82% | 29.78 | |
| KOXC WATERBURYOXFORD,CT | 19 sm | 18 min | E 07 | 10 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 46°F | 45°F | 93% | 29.78 |
| KMMK MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNI,CT | 23 sm | 16 min | var 03 | 10 sm | Overcast | 48°F | 45°F | 87% | 29.79 |
Milford Harbor
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:02 AM EDT 7.78 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:38 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:06 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:29 AM EDT -0.70 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:38 PM EDT 6.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:39 PM EDT 0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:59 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:27 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:02 AM EDT 7.78 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:38 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:06 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:29 AM EDT -0.70 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:38 PM EDT 6.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:39 PM EDT 0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:59 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:27 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Milford Harbor, Connecticut, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 7.2 |
| 1 am |
| 7.8 |
| 2 am |
| 7.3 |
| 3 am |
| 5.9 |
| 4 am |
| 4 |
| 5 am |
| 2.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.4 |
| 7 am |
| -0.6 |
| 8 am |
| -0.6 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 2 |
| 11 am |
| 3.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 5.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 6.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 6.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 5.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 4.3 |
Bridgeport
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:10 AM EDT 7.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:07 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:39 AM EDT -0.73 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:46 PM EDT 6.75 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:49 PM EDT 0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:59 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:27 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:10 AM EDT 7.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:07 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:39 AM EDT -0.73 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:46 PM EDT 6.75 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:49 PM EDT 0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:59 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:27 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bridgeport, Connecticut, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 7.2 |
| 1 am |
| 7.9 |
| 2 am |
| 7.6 |
| 3 am |
| 6.2 |
| 4 am |
| 4.4 |
| 5 am |
| 2.4 |
| 6 am |
| 0.6 |
| 7 am |
| -0.5 |
| 8 am |
| -0.7 |
| 9 am |
| 0.2 |
| 10 am |
| 1.8 |
| 11 am |
| 3.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 5.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 6.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 6.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 6.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 4.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 4.1 |
Upton, NY,
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