Tuesday, June19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Madison Center, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:15AMSunset 8:28PM Tuesday June 19, 2018 10:20 AM EDT (14:20 UTC) Moonrise 11:55AMMoonset 12:33AM Illumination 36% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 932 Am Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 932 Am Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Weak high pressure builds in through tonight, followed by a cold front crossing the area Wednesday and Wednesday night as an area of low pressure passes to our south. High pressure then builds to the northeast through Thursday night, then gradually retreats to the northeast on Friday. A warm front passes on Saturday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Madison Center, CT
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location: 41.27, -72.6     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 191348
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
948 am edt Tue jun 19 2018

Synopsis
Weak high pressure builds in through tonight, followed by a
cold front crossing the area Wednesday and Wednesday night as
an area of low pressure passes to our south. High pressure then
builds to the northeast through Thursday night, then gradually
retreats to the northeast into Saturday. This allows a warm
front to lift through the area late Saturday, followed by a cold
front that crosses the tri-state Sunday. High pressure then
builds into the area through Monday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Just a few minor adjustments with this update to reflect the
latest trends in observations. The forecast remains on track.

The region will be under a NW flow regime today. The result
will be dry weather and decreasing cloud cover through the day.

The NW flow should preclude a seabreeze, as a result, coastal
locations will be warmer than they were yesterday, however
inland locations should be around 5-10 degrees cooler than
yesterday. Highs should generally be in the mid-upper 80s,
except around 80-lower 80s in the higher terrain across the
northern tier of the CWA from W passaic county through interior
sw ct.

There will be moderate risk of rip currents at atlantic ocean
beaches into this evening.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday night
Nw flow continues tonight, with continued dry weather and
minimal cloud cover. Lows should run around normal, except
upwards of 5 degrees above normal in and immediately adjacent to
nyc.

The flow aloft flattens to zonal on Wednesday as a closed low
over quebec pushes farther s. An associated 700-500 hpa
shortwave approaches from the west late Wednesday - possibly
bringing some spotty showers to mainly western zones. Highs
Wednesday should be around normal levels.

The axis of the closed low pushes towards the region Wednesday
night, this should trigger some mainly scattered showers and
possibly a rumble of thunder as well. Precipitable waters
increase to 1.75 to around 2" Wednesday night, so there is the
potential for locally heavy rainfall as well. Refer to the
hydrology section of the afd for details. Lows Wednesday night
should run a few degrees above normal.

Long term Thursday through Monday
Nw flow sets up aloft Thursday as the axis of the mid-upper
level trough slides to the east. Could see some linger showers
or thunderstorms early, otherwise it should be dry with
decreasing cloud cover.

Deep layered ridging builds into the area from Thursday night
through Friday night, with associated subsidence keeping things
dry with minimal cloud cover.

The ridging breaks down over the area on Saturday as a northern
stream shortwave trough approaches from the west. This could
bring some spotty rain to the area before the associated surface
warm front lifts to the north by late in the day.

The shortwave trough passes to the north Saturday night, with
any showers confined mainly to the evening.

There is some question on the exact timing and strength of the
next northern stream shortwave trough. For now it appears it
passes by , mainly to the north on Sunday - so limit chance of
showers and thunderstorms to mainly N interior zones with slight
chance pops elsewhere. There is some chance this shortwave
passes by dry, as the best dynamics are progged to stay to the
n of the region.

Nw flow then returns into early next week, with cooler and less
humid conditions currently forecast for next Monday.

Temperatures Thursday-Saturday should be within a few degrees of
either side of normal. Sunday should see highs running above
normal and Monday should see temperatures return to near normal
and possibly below normal.

Aviation 14z Tuesday through Saturday
High pres builds towards the area this afternoon through wed.

Vfr thru the TAF period. NW flow backing to the N thru the day
becoming light tngt. Winds become light onshore on wed.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 16 mi50 min N 14 G 17 78°F 66°F1008.2 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 28 mi50 min N 8.9 G 11 78°F 67°F1007.1 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 28 mi40 min N 19 G 22 77°F 1008 hPa65°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 31 mi56 min N 7 G 13 77°F 64°F1008 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 37 mi50 min 67°F 62°F1007.6 hPa
44069 47 mi50 min N 12 G 14 78°F 74°F71°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 49 mi90 min W 12 G 14 66°F 60°F4 ft1007.2 hPa (+1.4)65°F

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Chester, Chester Airport, CT9 mi25 minNNW 12 G 1710.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F66°F65%1008.5 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT15 mi27 minNNW 910.00 miA Few Clouds81°F66°F62%1008 hPa
Meriden, Meriden Markham Municipal Airport, CT21 mi27 minNNW 1010.00 miFair80°F61°F52%1008.2 hPa

Wind History from SNC (wind in knots)
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SW106S3SW5SW65SW5W6
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1 day agoN6NW73
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CalmSW8S7S7S5
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2 days agoN10N8N7NW4574SW5SW5
G12
SW6SW4SW4SW6W6SW7SW7SW6W5CalmCalm--NW4N6N4

Tide / Current Tables for Madison, Connecticut
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Madison
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:04 AM EDT     5.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:23 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:42 PM EDT     5.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:52 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.62.94.15.15.55.14.22.91.70.6-0.1-00.81.93.34.55.35.44.83.82.61.40.50.2

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Island, Connecticut
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Duck Island
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:59 AM EDT     4.88 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:14 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:37 PM EDT     4.84 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:47 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.62.73.84.64.94.53.62.51.40.4-0.10.10.81.93.14.14.74.84.33.32.21.20.40.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.