Friday, June22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Shelton, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:18AMSunset 8:31PM Friday June 22, 2018 7:10 AM EDT (11:10 UTC) Moonrise 3:12PMMoonset 2:08AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 649 Am Edt Fri Jun 22 2018
Today..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Chance of showers.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Sat night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Tstms likely in the evening. Showers likely.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Mon..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..N winds around 5 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 649 Am Edt Fri Jun 22 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pres lifts to the northeast today as a frontal system approaches from the southwest. A warm front passes late Saturday into Saturday night and will be followed by cold fronts on Sunday and then on Monday. High pressure returns for Tuesday and Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shelton, CT
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location: 41.28, -73.09     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 221045
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
645 am edt Fri jun 22 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will slowly approach from the southwest today, and
pass late Saturday. The front lifts to the north Sunday,
followed by a cold front late Sunday and again Monday. High
pressure builds through mid week, then gives way to a warm front
Thursday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Fog has mainly lifted over eastern portions of the cwa. A lack
of clr skies may be the limiting factor. The more widespread
locally dense fog was relegated to areas from CAPE cod to block
island.

Radar shows rain across cntrl pa and swd this morning. This is
ahead of a warm front located roughly along the va nc border. As
the upr low near st. Louis tracks ewd and SW flow aloft
develops over the northeast, the front will lift nwd towards the
area. A few shwrs are therefore possible, primarily swrn
portions of the cwa, by the end of the day with increasing
thetae. The nbm was used for temps with highs in the mid to upr
70s.

There is a moderate rip current risk today.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Saturday
Thetae continues to increase tngt, leading to an increase in
rain chcs. The NAM suggests elevated instability could increase
sufficiently aft 6-9z for an embedded tstm. Any TSTM activity
would be elevated with lightning and enhanced rainfall the only
threats.

Additional shwrs and tstms are likely on Sat as the h5 low
approaches and dpva acts on the moist and increasingly unstable
environment. As the front begins to pass late in the day, sfc
based instability will be limited by the sly flow off the ocean,
limiting the threat of sfc based convection. Frontal timing
appears to be trending slower in the models, so if this
continues it may not punch into the CWA until Sat ngt. An ely
breeze will increase during the day ahead of the front, with
gusts around 20 mph possible especially along the coasts. The
nbm was used for temps.

Long term Saturday night through Thursday
Global models generally concur on main features through the medium
range. Initial shortwave passes Saturday night, with sfc warm front
lifting north by Sunday morning. Next shortwave dives out of central
canada, with lowering heights Sunday night and Monday across the
northeast. Trough axis passes Monday, with a sfc cold front moving
across the region late Sunday Sunday night, and perhaps secondary
front Monday.

High pressure builds Monday through Wednesday, with ridge building
aloft. Downstream shortwave tracks across the northern tier toward
the great lakes region Thursday, with sfc warm front approaching.

As for sensible weather, showers and thunderstorms Saturday night
ahead of the shortwave will diminish in coverage as the night
progresses into Sunday morning. Ample CAPE for thunder, and a few
heavy downpours are possible as deeper moisture increases.

As mentioned, isolated coverage to showers thunderstorms early
Sunday will give way to increasing chances later in the day ahead of
the cold front. Best chance for thunderstorms looks to be NW of nyc
metro.

A few passing showers with the upper trough are possible later
Sunday night into Monday with secondary cold front. Then, dry
weather returns through mid week. Next chance for
showers thunderstorms will be Thursday ahead of aforementioned
shortwave, warm front.

Temperatures remain near or slightly above normal Sunday, closer to
normal Monday, then rebound to above normal Tuesday through Thursday
as ridge builds.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
High pressure builds in from the north this morning before
moving offshore this afternoon. A wave of low pressure then
approaches the area from the west Friday night into Saturday.

Ifr conditions in stratus will continue to push west into the
city terminals over the next couple of hours before conditions
improve toVFR at all terminals between 12z and 15z. While the
primary impact is to ceilings, some MVFR visibilities are
possible early this morning as well. Once the stratus clears,
vfr conditions are expected through the bulk of the TAF period
until conditions lower to MVFR late tonight ahead of an
approaching frontal system.

Easterly winds are expected through the TAF period. Speeds
generally less than 10 kt early this morning will increase to
10-15 kt by mid to late morning. Occasional gusts to around 20
kt are possible this afternoon.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 9 mi47 min NE 6 G 11 64°F 64°F1014.7 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 10 mi41 min NE 2.9 G 6 64°F 68°F1015.5 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 25 mi26 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 65°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 34 mi51 min ENE 12 G 16 65°F 1 ft60°F
44069 40 mi56 min ENE 14 G 16 65°F 76°F65°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 48 mi47 min ESE 1.9 G 6 66°F 65°F1015.7 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT7 mi19 minNE 710.00 miFair65°F46°F52%1015.7 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT11 mi18 minNE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F46°F54%1015.8 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT14 mi20 minNE 910.00 miA Few Clouds61°F44°F54%1016.9 hPa
Meriden, Meriden Markham Municipal Airport, CT21 mi18 minN 510.00 miFair62°F44°F52%1015.8 hPa
Danbury, Danbury Municipal Airport, CT22 mi18 minENE 710.00 miFair62°F45°F54%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4CalmS5E7E7SE7S7SW6SW6SW6S6S4E4E8E8E4E8NE8NE7E4SE4NE7NE9NE7
1 day agoN6N6N6E5E7SE5SE4E6E4SE4SE6SE4SE3W3SW4SW3CalmW3N6NE4E5E4N5N3
2 days agoNW8NW10N11
G19
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NW12NW10N11N11
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NW12NW10NW7N7NW6NW6N5N10N7NE7NE3CalmN3N4N6

Tide / Current Tables for Long Hill, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Long Hill
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:41 AM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:12 AM EDT     6.82 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:58 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:41 PM EDT     7.65 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.91.50.60.51.32.84.566.86.65.84.53.21.80.80.412.44.36.17.47.675.8

Tide / Current Tables for Stratford, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Stratford
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:31 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:02 AM EDT     5.43 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:49 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:29 PM EDT     6.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
20.90.30.31.12.43.855.45.24.53.52.41.30.50.30.92.13.65.15.965.44.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.