Sunday, March24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Shelton, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 7:09PM Sunday March 24, 2019 5:35 AM EDT (09:35 UTC) Moonrise 11:31PMMoonset 9:13AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 400 Am Edt Sun Mar 24 2019
Today..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 400 Am Edt Sun Mar 24 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure passes to the south today, and a cold front approaches tonight. The cold front moves through Monday morning, followed by high pressure building in from the north. The high pressure settles over the region Wednesday into Thursday, then slowly retreats offshore late in the week. A frontal system will approach during next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shelton, CT
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location: 41.28, -73.09     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 240927
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
527 am edt Sun mar 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure passes to the south today, and a cold front
approaches tonight. The cold front moves through Monday
morning, followed by high pressure building in from the north.

The high pressure settles over the region Wednesday into
Thursday, then slowly retreats offshore late in the week. A
frontal system will approach during next weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Mid upper level closed low over the central plains opens weakens
as it traverses toward the ohio valley. Weak shortwave ridging
builds over the area behind exiting trough, and sfc high
pressure builds to the south.

Winds will back to the W SW as the day progresses. With a
pressure gradient remaining in place, these winds will provide a
slight breeze, but remain much weaker than what was observed
yesterday.

Waa will allow for temperatures to rise into the 50s, especially
away from south facing shores. A few locations where the wind
fetch remains over land could approach 60 degrees.

Plenty of sunshine this morning will give way to high clouds in
the afternoon, filtering the Sun a bit.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Tuesday
Weakened shortwave over the lower ohio valley moves southeast
toward the carolinas by Monday night. Meanwhile, upper trough
extending across southeast canada results in a slight lowering
of heights across new england. This will push a cold front
south of the area late tonight early Monday morning.

Clouds will lower tonight, but 00z model suite still suggests
plenty of dry air below 6 kft. Most model solutions remain dry
as front, trough get sheared out, but cannot rule out a passing
light shower, sprinkle as the front moves through. If precip
occurs, the higher elevations over the interior could see a few
snow flakes.

With the clouds, and a light west southwest wind, temperatures
will fall only into the mid 30s to lower 40s.

Once the front passes, canadian high pressure builds across the
great lakes region. CAA ensues, and temps rise to around 50
Monday afternoon as skies clear out, then fall into the 20s
Monday night under clear skies. On Tuesday, high temperatures
remain in the 40s, several degrees below normal.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
A polar high will settle over the region Tuesday night into
Wednesday. This will provide an early spring chill for Tuesday night
into Wednesday morning with low temperatures falling into the 20s
widespread across the more rural areas, to around freezing in urban
locations. The core of this cold airmass begins ejecting northeast
out over the northern atlantic during Wednesday as temperatures
start to moderate with upper level ridging working in from the
plains and midwest. After a chilly start to Thursday due to light
winds and ideal radiational cooling conditions, temperatures really
start to move up during the day on Thursday. This is when locations
away from the ocean begin to flirt with 60, or at least upper 50s.

By late Thursday into Friday 500 dm heights begin to climb above 570
dm with a deeper SW flow starting to get established. Therefore, by
Friday as long as there is some westerly component to the low level
surface winds temperatures should climb into the 60s inland,
with perhaps some locations getting near 70. Will have to keep
an eye out for some afternoon stratus coming in off the ocean
for late in the week with ocean temperatures still well down
into the 40s.

Towards late Friday and into the weekend most of the global model
suites are showing the ridging hanging tough along the eastern
seaboard, with the ECMWF being more of an outlier. The ecmwf
attempts to bring a frontal system closer to the region by late
Friday and Friday night, with the gfs, icon, navgem, and gem not
budging as of yet. Decided to put less weight into the ecmwf, but
not discount it entirely. Therefore looking for dry conditions
through Friday, and then start to introduce slight chance pops
during Saturday.

Aviation 10z Sunday through Thursday
High pressure passes to the south through this afternoon.

Vfr with the winds lighter and becoming more westerly towards
daybreak. Later today the winds will become southwesterly and
increase to 10 to 15 kt, with a few gusts to around 20 kt
possible by the early afternoon. The winds will then diminish
again during Sunday evening. During Sunday night a mid deck of
clouds lowers to around or just below 10kft, butVFR conditions
are expected through Sunday night.

Outlook for 00z Monday through Thursday
Sunday night Vfr.

Monday MVFR possible in the morning with the chance of light
rain with a cold frontal passage.VFR conditions expected for
the afternoon. Winds becoming N around 10 kt.

Tuesday through Thursday Vfr.

Marine
Sca will remain in effect for the ocean waters east of fire
island inlet. Winds have diminished, but should increase again
later today as they back to the west southwest. A westerly fetch
will also allow seas to build to 5 ft again for these eastern
waters.

Otherwise, sub SCA conditions are expected today and tonight for
the non ocean waters, and western ocean waters west of fire
island inlet.

A cold front approaches tonight, and passes to the south Monday.

Northerly winds increase behind the front late Monday and Monday
night, then diminish as high pressure builds toward the waters
Tuesday.

With high pressure settling over the coastal waters during Tuesday
night and into Wednesday conditions will be relatively tranquil with
the winds on either side of 10 kts and low seas. By later Thursday
and into Friday the high will push further offshore resulting in a
light east to southeast wind with sub SCA conditions continuing.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated for the next 7 days.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until midnight edt tonight for anz350-353.

Synopsis... Je pw
near term... Pw
short term... Pw
long term... Je
aviation... Je
marine... Je pw
hydrology... Je
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 9 mi54 min 35°F 39°F1020.6 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 10 mi48 min 33°F 42°F1021.2 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 48 mi48 min 39°F 39°F1022.5 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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NE9
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT7 mi44 minW 410.00 miFair33°F16°F49%1021.1 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT11 mi43 minNW 410.00 miFair35°F16°F46%1020.7 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT14 mi45 minNNW 310.00 miFair29°F16°F58%1021.6 hPa
Meriden, Meriden Markham Municipal Airport, CT21 mi43 minN 010.00 miFair25°F18°F75%1020.8 hPa
Danbury, Danbury Municipal Airport, CT22 mi43 minW 710.00 miFair32°F14°F47%1021 hPa

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW16
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W6W8NW5NW7W5SW3SW3W4
1 day agoNE12NE13
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2 days agoNE9NE11NE11NE12E10NE12E12E12E14E13E13E13NE19E14E13E16E19
G26
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G26
NE12NE17
G24
NE14NE14NE9

Tide / Current Tables for Shelton, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Shelton
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:51 AM EDT     5.70 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:23 AM EDT     -0.74 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:22 PM EDT     5.17 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:41 PM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.31.93.85.25.75.34.43.220.8-0.2-0.7-0.50.72.54.15.15.14.53.52.41.40.5-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Stratford, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Stratford
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:42 AM EDT     6.32 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:13 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 09:40 AM EDT     -0.82 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:13 PM EDT     5.73 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:58 PM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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34.866.35.74.531.50.2-0.6-0.80.11.73.555.75.54.73.52.10.90-0.30.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.