Tuesday, June19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Watch Hill, RI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:12AMSunset 8:25PM Tuesday June 19, 2018 11:46 PM EDT (03:46 UTC) Moonrise 11:52AMMoonset 12:30AM Illumination 42% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 716 Pm Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas around 2 ft. Patchy fog. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 716 Pm Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pressure builds across the waters into this evening, shifting east on Wednesday. An area of low pressure follows for Wednesday night skirting south coastal new england with rain and possibly lower visibility. Seasonable and dry weather follows with return high pressure the remainder of the week, while a warm front lifts north across the waters over the weekend. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Watch Hill, RI
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location: 41.31, -71.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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Fxus61 kbox 200222
afdbox
area forecast discussion
national weather service boston norton ma
1022 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018

Synopsis
Dry weather is expected tonight and Wednesday as high pressure
builds over new england. Showers are likely Wednesday night,
especially south of the mass pike, as low pressure passes
offshore. High pressure from canada brings dry weather
Thursday and Friday. A cold front them brings a chance of
showers over the weekend, followed by dry weather early next
week.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
10 pm update...

high clouds are spilling into the region moving se, stretching
from the berkshires to the ri coast. Clouds will continue to
move into the area, likely becoming more widespread over the
next couple hours.

Lowered min temps for tonight given that we should stay mostly
clear overnight and sites will have the chance to radiate across
the region. Temps in the upper 40s are possible tonight,
especially in upper connecticut river valley along the 495
corridor.

Otherwise, previous forecast remains on track.

Previous discussion...

any lingering diurnal clouds will dissipate toward sunset,
giving way to clear skies and diminishing winds tonight. This
will allow for good radiational cooling away from coast. Sided
closer to cooler MOS guidance which gives lows in upper 40s to
mid 50s. Airmass remains dry enough to preclude mention of
patchy fog.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Wednesday night
High pressure over sne heads offshore in afternoon, resulting in
s SW flow across region. Airmass remains dry as seen in model cross
sections so just expect some diurnal clouds to form, but overall
plenty of sunshine. Highs should run a few degrees cooler than
today, ranging from mid 70s on south coast, cape, and islands to the
mid 80s inland.

Models in good agreement on arrival of showers Wednesday night as
short wave passes and weak surface low pass south of new england.

Main issue is how far north do the showers extend into sne. Right
now we are most confident for ct, ri, and SE ma which come under
influence of best theta-e advection and lower level convergence
moisture transport. Blended in high-res arw WRF which gives as much
as 0.50 to 0.75" of rain. Farther north, it will be a battle with
dry air pushing down from northern new england, so it's possible
areas along and north of mass pike remain dry.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
Highlights...

* lingering showers, south coast on Thursday
* dry and seasonable on Friday
* unsettled weather for the weekend
overview...

12z models show good agreement with the flow pattern evolution
during the long term increasing forecaster confidence. Northern
stream flow will feature a persistent upper ridge over central
canada with a couple of frontal waves moving across the central u.S.

New england will remain on the edge of an upper level trough over
the maritimes keeping the region in northwest flow. Passing wave
from the midwest will impact southern new england over the weekend
before northwest flow returns for next week. As an fyi, the canadian
model indicates the formation of a nor'easter early next week but
this is not supported by its own ensemble mean nor the GFS and ecmwf
solutions.

Details...

a few lingering showers on Thursday morning thanks to passing wave
to the south. Conditions will improve in the afternoon with
seasonable temperatures. High pressure on Friday will lead to dry
weather and temperatures near normal. Sea breeze potential possible.

Unsettled weather returns for the weekend as a low pressure from the
great lakes passing through northern new england. Associated warm
and cold front will sweep through resulting in a warm frontal
showers on Saturday followed by showers and thunderstorms on Sunday
with approaching cold front from the west. Still some timing issues
but appears precip will impact this upcoming weekend, luckily not a
washout.

Canadian high pressure will move in behind the front on Monday
lasting into the work week resulting in dry weather.

Aviation 02z Wednesday through Sunday
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Wednesday night ... High confidence.

Vfr. N NW winds gust to 20-25 kt through late afternoon before
diminishing and becoming light variable tonight. SW winds
prevail Wednesday and Wednesday night. Showers likely across ct,
ri, and SE ma Wednesday night with areas of MVFR or perhaps ifr
ceilings.

Kbos terminal... High confidence in taf.

Kbdl terminal... High confidence in taf.

Outlook Thursday through Sunday ... Moderate confidence.

Thursday through Friday night:VFR.

Saturday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shra.

Saturday night: mainlyVFR, with areas ifr possible. Chance
shra, isolated tsra.

Sunday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shra,
isolated tsra.

Marine
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Wednesday night ...

high confidence.

Diminishing N NE winds and seas tonight as high pressure builds over
sne. SW flow develops Wednesday and Wednesday night as the high
becomes centered offshore. Winds and seas remain below 25 kt and 5
ft respectively, but recreational boaters should be aware of 15-20
kt gusts and locally choppy seas of 2 or 3 ft on narragansett bay
and south coastal sounds Wednesday afternoon.

Reduced visibility in showers and patchy fog Wednesday night,
especially on south coastal waters.

Outlook Thursday through Sunday ... Moderate confidence.

Thursday: winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain showers,
patchy fog.

Thursday night through Friday night: winds less than 25 kt.

Saturday: winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Chance of rain showers.

Saturday night: winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance
of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Sunday: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of
rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Box watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ma... None.

Ri... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Dunten jwd
near term... Correia jwd
short term... Jwd
long term... Dunten
aviation... Dunten correia jwd
marine... Belk dunten jwd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 13 mi46 min N 1.9 G 5.1 70°F 66°F1011.2 hPa (+2.0)
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 19 mi46 min 71°F 63°F1011.2 hPa (+1.8)
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 31 mi46 min N 5.1 G 6 71°F 69°F1011.6 hPa (+2.1)
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 31 mi46 min N 4.1 G 7 71°F 61°F1011.1 hPa (+2.1)
PRUR1 36 mi46 min 70°F 51°F
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 36 mi61 min N 4.1 69°F 1011 hPa53°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 36 mi46 min NNE 4.1 G 7 70°F 1011.3 hPa (+2.1)
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 39 mi46 min N 7 G 9.9 72°F 72°F1011.4 hPa (+2.1)
PVDR1 41 mi46 min N 6 G 7 73°F 1011.7 hPa (+2.1)47°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 42 mi46 min NE 8.9 G 11 73°F 67°F1011 hPa (+2.0)
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 44 mi31 min NW 3.9 G 5.8 67°F
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 44 mi46 min N 8.9 G 8.9 72°F 1011.7 hPa (+2.0)
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 44 mi56 min W 3.9 G 5.8 69°F 62°F3 ft1011.3 hPa (+1.7)60°F
FRXM3 45 mi46 min 67°F 53°F
44097 - Block Island, RI (154) 45 mi33 min 62°F3 ft
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 45 mi46 min Calm G 1.9 70°F 1011.4 hPa (+2.3)
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 46 mi46 min 70°F 69°F1012 hPa (+2.2)

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI4 mi53 minN 410.00 miFair69°F52°F55%1011.4 hPa
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT10 mi1.8 hrsN 510.00 miFair71°F52°F51%1010.8 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY16 mi52 minN 4 mi68°F55°F65%1011.4 hPa
Block Island State Airport, RI17 mi50 minNNW 610.00 miFair69°F52°F55%1011.7 hPa

Wind History from WST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3SW4SW6Calm5SW3W3CalmN10
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N7N8N7N5N4CalmN4
1 day agoS6SW3CalmCalmS3SW4SW4SW6SW6SW10SW9SW7S11SW6S13
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2 days agoW3CalmW3W3W3CalmCalmCalm3CalmCalm4SW5S8S8S8S10S6S7SW7S6S3S4S3

Tide / Current Tables for Watch Hill Point, Rhode Island
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Watch Hill Point
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Tue -- 12:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:40 AM EDT     2.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:12 AM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:16 PM EDT     2.83 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:45 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.42.932.61.91.20.60.2-00.10.411.82.52.82.72.21.610.50.30.20.40.9

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:21 AM EDT     2.94 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:38 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:44 AM EDT     -3.42 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:02 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:55 PM EDT     3.03 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:20 PM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:18 PM EDT     -3.16 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:36 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.12.92.82.10.9-0.6-2.1-3.2-3.4-2.8-1.6-0.11.52.732.71.80.5-1-2.4-3.1-3-2.1-0.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.