Thursday, June21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Noank, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:13AMSunset 8:27PM Thursday June 21, 2018 10:24 AM EDT (14:24 UTC) Moonrise 2:04PMMoonset 1:34AM Illumination 57% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 716 Am Edt Thu Jun 21 2018
Today..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Showers, mainly this morning. Patchy fog this morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 716 Am Edt Thu Jun 21 2018
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. Low pres near the new jersey coast early this morning will track S of long island today. The system will bring showers, with some heavy downpours, and patchy fog across the southern waters through midday then will move offshore. High pres builds across the waters tonight and Fri. Low pres and an associated warm front will approach late Fri night, bringing showers Sat into Sat night. Showers may linger as a cold front approaches Sunday. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noank, CT
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location: 41.32, -71.98     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 211404
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1004 am edt Thu jun 21 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure will track southeast of the region today, allowing
high pressure to build in from the north on Friday. A warm
front passes early this weekend, then is followed by a cold
front later this weekend. High pressure builds next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Last of the showers were passing across the south fork of
eastern long island with skies forecast to clear from NW to se
through early this afternoon.

Low pressure will pass south and east of long island today.

The NE flow is progged to be less than 10kt, and with h85 flow
falling below 15kt early this afternoon. This may allow for the
development of a seabreeze. The model consensus is for the flow
to veer to around 100 degrees, but it would not be surprising
to see spots along the immediate south coasts to go closer to
true sea breeze direction. The nbm was used for temps.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Friday
High pres builds into NRN new england tngt, and there is a
suggestion that some marine stratus flows in from the e. The
nam is much more aggressive than the gfs, which is typical, but
the GFS has a significant amount of cirrus as well, which is
supported by the current water vapor imagery. As a result, the
fcst is ptcloudy, with room for upward adjustment based on the
evolution of the marine stratus and eventual thickness of the
cirrus. Increasing clouds from the S then on Fri as SW flow
aloft develops. Increasing thetae could support a few shwrs,
particularly late in the day across the swrn portion of the cwa.

Pops have been limited to slight chc however in line with the
model consensus data. The NAM holds firm with the high resulting
in dry wx. The nbm was used for temps, with cooler highs due to
onshore ely flow.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
Closed upper low opens as it traverses across the great lakes region
and into new england this weekend. Models are in overall agreement
on main features, with details still differing somewhat.

In general, warm front approaches Friday night, with a wave of low
pressure riding along the front, passing south and east by Saturday.

Ridging from the northeast could result in drier conditions,
providing subsidence and stability, with persistent onshore flow
prevailing north of the front, and wave.

However, the upper low and trough are progged to open up as
mentioned and broaden as the system lifts towards the great lakes.

The main upper trough axis swings through Saturday evening and
Saturday night leaving behind a westerly flow on Sunday. Another
upper trough should cross the region Sunday night into Monday,
finally taking the frontal system offshore.

Will maintain previous forecast of gradually increasing pops on
Friday night into Saturday morning. Chance coverage to
likely numerous coverage for showers. Meager instability noted, so
thunder chances remain quite low Saturday.

It appears at this time the best forcing will be with the upper
shortwave axis and passage of the warm front Saturday evening into
Saturday night, so showers thunder possible during that time frame.

Conditions should dry out Sunday with the region fully in the warm
sector. Westerly flow aloft and a much drier middle and upper
atmosphere prevents anything more than a chance for showers and
thunderstorms with a cold front nearby. The chance for showers and
thunderstorms continues into Monday morning with the upper trough
axis passing across the area eastern new england. Drier weather
returns Monday per 00z model suite.

While the weekend certainly does not look like a washout, there will
be periods of showers and possible storms Saturday night into
Sunday. Locally heavy rainfall is possible in any convection.

High pressure returns behind the upper trough and frontal
system moving offshore on Monday. The high will be in control
through the middle of the week.

Temperatures average below normal Saturday and then above normal on
Sunday. Temperatures should then average near normal for next
week.

Aviation 14z Thursday through Monday
A wave of low pressure passes south of the terminals this
morning. High pressure begins to slowly build south tonight.

Rain continues to push east of the area this morning. MVFR and
isolated ifr conditions may linger for another hour or two at
city and coastal terminals, otherwise conditions are expected
to improve toVFR by 15-16z. With northeast to easterly flow,
there is some potential for lower ceilings to move back into the
area from the east during the overnight hours, but confidence
in this occurring is low at this time. Any lower ceilings
tonight would be most likely to impact kisp kgon.

Northeast winds around 10 kt will become more easterly this
afternoon at coastal terminals. Winds then diminish to 5-10 kt
or less everywhere tonight.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 5 mi45 min E 6 G 7 63°F 1009.1 hPa60°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 6 mi55 min SE 1.9 G 5.1 67°F 64°F1008.2 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 19 mi55 min 64°F 65°F1008.6 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 35 mi55 min SSW 4.1 G 4.1 66°F 65°F1009 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 37 mi61 min SE 4.1 G 4.1 66°F 61°F1008.4 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 38 mi55 min E 5.8 G 5.8 65°F 1 ft
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 40 mi61 min WSW 1.9 G 4.1 67°F 1008.8 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 40 mi100 min SSW 2.9 68°F 1009 hPa63°F
PRUR1 41 mi55 min 66°F 62°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 43 mi95 min E 9.7 G 12 63°F 62°F2 ft1007.9 hPa (+0.0)63°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 43 mi55 min SSE 8 G 8.9 66°F 70°F1008.7 hPa
PVDR1 45 mi55 min SSE 8.9 G 9.9 69°F 1008.8 hPa64°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 46 mi61 min S 8.9 G 12 69°F 67°F1008.2 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 49 mi55 min SW 4.1 G 4.1 67°F 67°F1008.7 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT4 mi89 minE 510.00 miOvercast65°F61°F87%1008.2 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI10 mi32 minE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy68°F64°F90%1008.8 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY17 mi31 minN 0 mi63°F63°F100%1008.8 hPa
Block Island State Airport, RI23 mi29 minSE 610.00 miOvercast65°F64°F100%1008.9 hPa

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6S5S8S6S7S6S8S7CalmCalmSW6SW4CalmS4SW4CalmW6SW8S6SE8N5SE3E5E4
1 day agoNW13N11
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NW12N7N10NW9NW9N5N5N5N6N5N5N5N5N5N5N4N5N7N4S6
2 days agoSW8SW12SW8SW14SW10SW9SW7SW6SW8SW11SW10
G17
SW93S11SW4SW5SW4S6W3NW5NW8N12N8NW16
G20

Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
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Thu -- 01:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:23 AM EDT     2.38 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:58 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:01 PM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:41 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.71.21.72.12.42.32.11.81.40.90.40.20.511.62.12.52.72.62.31.91.40.80.4

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:42 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:29 AM EDT     2.51 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:46 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:45 AM EDT     -2.95 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 01:01 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:59 PM EDT     2.78 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 07:21 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:22 PM EDT     -3.07 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-10.41.72.42.421-0.3-1.7-2.7-2.9-2.4-1.4-01.42.52.82.51.80.5-1-2.3-3-2.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.