Monday, March18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Noank, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 6:59PM Monday March 18, 2019 9:49 PM EDT (01:49 UTC) Moonrise 4:08PMMoonset 5:39AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 717 Pm Edt Mon Mar 18 2019
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed..SW winds around 5 kt, increasing to around 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of rain.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 717 Pm Edt Mon Mar 18 2019
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pres builds over the waters through Tue, moving further offshore Wed. A cold front and possible low pres will move across the waters late Thu or Thu night, followed by gusty nw winds Fri. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noank, CT
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location: 41.32, -71.98     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 182341
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
741 pm edt Mon mar 18 2019

Synopsis
High pressure builds across the region through mid week. A
frontal system moves across the area on Thursday with a
potential coastal low passing to the south and east of the area
Thursday night into Friday. A cold front then moves through the
area on Friday, followed by high pressure into early next week.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
Forecast is generally on track. Only some minor adjustments to
t TD near the coast where a marine airmass developed in the wake
of a seabreeze. Winds were initially too low as well, but should
quickly diminish this evening.

Otherwise, a mid level shortwave and surface trough push
through the forecast area. Models continue to show pretty good
moisture in the 850-700mb layer as shortwave lift moves in, but
it appears that the 12z model suite has generally backed off a
little regarding how much moisture there will be. Will keep with
a dry forecast considering a dry sub cloud layer. Varying
amounts of cloud cover otherwise for tonight. Low temperature
forecast may be tricky for some suburbs as winds will be light
to calm, promoting radiational cooling, but varying cloud cover
brings uncertainty to the cooling potential. Went with a mav met
mos blend for spots that normally see stronger radiational
cooling.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through Tuesday night
Tuesday starts with a sunny sky with high pressure in control. Once
again, a mid level shortwave and surface trough approach, passing
through in the late day early evening hours. Much like tonight,
there's enough 850-700mb moisture for cloud cover, but a dry enough
sub-cloud layer to keep with a dry forecast. Clearing follows later
in the night. High and low temperatures expected to be within a
couple of degrees of normal, except a better chance of radiational
cooling will allow lows to drop into the low 20s for some of the
northern suburbs and pine barrens region.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
While the overall upper air pattern is fairly well resolved
through the extended period, there are complex interactions
with northern branch energy that will determine the proximity of
a coastal low to the area Thursday night into Friday.

The focus of concern is multiple northern branch streams sending
shortwave energy southward from central canada into the mean
upper trough over the east. The first of which dives into the
mid mississippi valley Wednesday morning, and the second, into
the upper great lakes. As these two features translate toward
the eastern seaboard Thursday, a fair amount of uncertainty
exists with their interaction. Overall, global models do
support some phasing, but far enough offshore at this time to
spare a significant precipitation event. The caveat here is that
the trends support secondary low development farther to the
north and west. The 12z GEFS clearly has more members showing a
low 990 mb less near the benchmark Thursday night. The 12z
operational ECMWF has the low just inside the benchmark with
over an inch of liquid across long island and much of
connecticut. This GEFS mean is supporting a wetter solution. The
ggem also wraps up the system, but well offshore over the
western atlantic.

The current forecast is calling for all rain Thursday into
Thursday night with a possible mix of snow early Thursday
morning across western portions of orange county should the
precipitation arrive early enough. This would not amount to
much. The concern is that should a more amplified, dynamic
system be closer to the coast, flags for a heavy wet snow event
will need to be raised. The good news though is that we are not
there yet.

Cold front moves through the area Thursday night with a prolonged
period of gusty w-nw winds through the first half of the weekend
before high pressure gets closer to the area Sunday into Monday.

Nearly seasonable temperatures to start the period will drop to
below seasonable levels Thursday night into Friday. However,
readings will rebound early next week as the upper trough lifts
out and ridging builds in.

Aviation 23z Monday through Saturday
Surface high pressure is over the region as a few weak upper
level disturbances move across producing clouds and ceilings of
6 to 9k feet. Stratocumulus clouds will be dissipating over the
next couple of hours.

Kjfk appears to be only terminal holding out with a sea breeze
for the next couple of hours before the winds go light.

Generally a light NW wind at the terminals, becoming light and
variable once again for the late evening.

A very similar set up is expected on Tuesday with surface high
pressure in control and providingVFR conditions. By the early
afternoon another round of 6-10 kft clouds, with low confidence
in the actual cloud coverage. Coastal sea breezes should then
initiate towards 18 to 20z.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 5 mi114 min W 9.9 G 11 40°F 1021.7 hPa27°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 6 mi31 min WNW 2.9 G 5.1 37°F 40°F1026.3 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 19 mi31 min 38°F 42°F1026.3 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 35 mi37 min W 4.1 G 5.1 37°F 41°F1026.4 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 37 mi37 min WNW 5.1 G 7 38°F 39°F1026.1 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 40 mi124 min WNW 5.1 38°F 1025 hPa10°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 40 mi37 min NW 4.1 G 6 37°F 1026.6 hPa
PRUR1 41 mi31 min 35°F 12°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 43 mi59 min WSW 14 G 16 39°F 40°F2 ft1026.8 hPa (+1.6)28°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 43 mi31 min NW 9.9 G 11 38°F 41°F
PVDR1 45 mi31 min NW 6 G 8 37°F 1026.3 hPa8°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 46 mi37 min N 5.1 G 8 38°F 38°F1025.7 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 49 mi31 min WNW 5.1 G 6 39°F 41°F1026.9 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT4 mi53 minW 510.00 miA Few Clouds36°F23°F59%1026 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI10 mi56 minN 010.00 miFair38°F21°F52%1026.2 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY17 mi55 minWSW 4 mi37°F27°F67%1026.5 hPa
Block Island State Airport, RI23 mi53 minW 610.00 miFair38°F21°F52%1026.4 hPa

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW10N11NW14
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Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
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Mon -- 01:37 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:23 AM EDT     2.76 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:15 PM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:55 PM EDT     2.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.4000.41.21.92.42.72.72.31.81.20.60.1-0.3-0.10.51.21.82.32.52.31.81.3

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current (2) (expired 1993-12-31)
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The Race
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Mon -- 12:55 AM EDT     -3.76 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:01 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:51 AM EDT     3.61 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:56 AM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:23 PM EDT     -4.29 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:36 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:24 PM EDT     3.73 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:28 PM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-3.4-3.8-3.1-1.7-01.83.23.63.11.8-0.1-2-3.4-4.2-4.1-2.9-1.20.82.73.73.62.71-1.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.