Thursday, December13, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Noank, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 4:21PM Thursday December 13, 2018 5:40 PM EST (22:40 UTC) Moonrise 12:28PMMoonset 11:14PM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 336 Pm Est Thu Dec 13 2018
Tonight..E winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of rain after midnight.
Sat..S winds around 5 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. Rain likely, mainly in the morning.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 4 ft, building to 6 ft after midnight. A chance of rain.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Rain likely.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Rain likely in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 5 ft.
Tue..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Tue night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 4 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 336 Pm Est Thu Dec 13 2018
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pres will shift E of the waters on Fri. A storm system will approach the waters from the sw Fri night and Sat, lifting slowly across the waters Sat night and Sun. High pres builds back towards the waters from the W on Tue into Wed. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noank, CT
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location: 41.32, -71.98     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 132033
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
333 pm est Thu dec 13 2018

Synopsis
High pressure continues to shift farther offshore through
Friday. A couple of low pressures systems moving through the
mid atlantic will impact the area Friday night through Sunday
night. A cold front moves through the region Monday. High
pressure returns through the middle of the week.

Near term through tonight
A weak lingering 700 mb vorticity maximum and low level warm
advection are contributing to a few ongoing showers across the
area. As this system departs, a strengthening subsidence
inversion will suppress most activity and decrease the depth of
the moisture layer. The exception to this may be across interior
portions of the area - primarily northeastern nj, the lower
hudson valley and parts of connecticut, where the continuation
of weak upslope flow may lead to occasional light precipitation
through the night. Temperatures across these areas have remained
colder than guidance, in part due to persistent north to
northeasterly flow. Expect surface temperatures to remain below
freezing through the night. As warm advection slowly strengthens
above the surface through the night, profiles may become more
favorable for occasional light freezing drizzle. A special
weather statement (sps) has been issued to highlight this
potential.

Short term Friday through Friday night
Warm advection increases into Friday as high pressure moves
farther offshore and flow begins to strengthen ahead of a
developing low pressure systems to the west. Any ongoing
precipitation will quickly transition to rain, and with
lingering moisture beneath the inversion, mostly cloudy
conditions should continue, particularly in response to daytime
heating.

The onset of steadier precipitation has been delayed somewhat
from previous forecasts, with most expected to arrive late
Friday night as upper divergence with the approaching low allow
a coastal low to deepen to the south of the area.

Temperatures will be well above normal in the mid 40s to lower
50s in the day, and upper 30s to upper 40s at night.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
A progressive and amplified long wave pattern will be across the
country at the beginning of the long term period, Saturday, as a
southern stream shortwave becomes separated, and closes off, from
the northern stream flow. The closed and nearly cutoff southern low
moves slowly eastward into Saturday night, with a series of vort
maxes rotating into the mid atlantic region.

Meanwhile the northern stream develops into a rather amplified ridge
moving into the northeast with an associated surface high.

This high has been suppressing the southern stream a bit farther to
the south with the current model guidance. While through the weekend
there is general agreement with the timing and placement of the
northern and southern stream systems, there remains some
uncertainty as to the timing of the southern stream shortwave
separation and then the movement of this low. With consideration of
the current trend of suppressing the southern stream low, and
uncertainty in timing, have opted to lower probabilities, especially
across the northern zones, Saturday through Sunday. A few bands of
heavier rain will be possible, however, there is uncertainty where
there will set up.

Sunday into Monday the southern stream low will be opening up and
may phase with the next northern stream shortwave moving into central
canada, the into the northeast Monday night.

Warm advection in advance of the southern stream low will allow
thermal profiles to warm through much of the atmosphere and all
liquid precipitation is expected with the series of lows Friday
night into Sunday. Colder air will begin to be pulled into the
region later Sunday night as the low departs, however, at this time
the colder air will be confined to the extreme northern zones.

With the passage of the northern stream shortwave Monday into Monday
night a canadian cold front passes through the area and returns the
region to below normal temperatures.

The longwave pattern remains progressive through next week with yet
another northern stream shortwave possible for Thursday.

Aviation 21z Thursday through Tuesday
A combination of ifr MVFR coastal tafs and MVFRVFR across the
interior region this evening. Spotty very light precip is possible
with rain or drizzle near the coast and a mix further north. No
accumulation is expected.

Ifr is generally expected tonight. Patchy freezing rain or drizzle
is possible NW of nyc at kswf but not enough confidence to include
in the TAF at this time.

Ne-e winds 10-15 kt at the coast and 5 to 10 kt across the interior
will lighten tonight and become southeast. Light southeast wind near
10 kt is expected on Friday.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 5 mi40 min ENE 11 G 14 36°F 1033.6 hPa (+5.6)31°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 6 mi40 min E 5.1 G 7 35°F 47°F1033.3 hPa (+1.5)
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 19 mi40 min 38°F 42°F1032.6 hPa (+1.2)
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 35 mi46 min E 8.9 G 11 35°F 41°F1034.2 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 37 mi40 min ENE 5.1 G 8 35°F 40°F1033.9 hPa (+1.3)
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 38 mi85 min E 16 G 19 40°F 45°F2 ft
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 40 mi40 min ESE 5.1 G 8.9 34°F 1034.3 hPa (+1.4)
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 40 mi55 min ESE 6 34°F 1034 hPa23°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 43 mi40 min E 7 G 9.9 34°F 43°F1034.2 hPa (+1.2)
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 43 mi50 min ESE 18 G 21 41°F 48°F4 ft1032 hPa (+1.1)37°F
PVDR1 45 mi40 min ESE 4.1 G 5.1 34°F 1034.3 hPa (+1.3)20°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 46 mi40 min S 7 G 8 34°F 42°F1033.7 hPa (+1.1)
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 49 mi40 min NE 8 G 11 31°F 45°F1032.9 hPa (+1.3)

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT4 mi44 minENE 86.00 miLight Snow35°F30°F82%1033.2 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI10 mi47 minE 610.00 miOvercast38°F28°F70%1033.6 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY17 mi1.8 hrsVar 5 mi38°F33°F83%1032.9 hPa
Block Island State Airport, RI23 mi44 minE 910.00 miOvercast37°F28°F70%1033.9 hPa

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4NW5N5N8N4NW4NE5N7NE7N3NE8NE7NE8NE9NE8NE10NE8E11E9E9E8E6E11NE8
1 day agoN3N3N3CalmCalmN5NW6N7N11NW11NW9NW7NW5NW7NW8NW9NW12NW12
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2 days agoNW3CalmCalmN4N4N5NE4N4N4N4N4N6N5N6N5N6NE3S6SE4E4SE4E3CalmN4

Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
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Thu -- 12:59 AM EST     1.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:40 AM EST     0.62 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:58 PM EST     2.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:18 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:10 PM EST     0.27 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:14 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.921.91.61.41.20.90.70.60.91.41.822.121.71.41.10.80.50.30.40.81.3

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current (2) (expired 1993-12-31)
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The Race
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:10 AM EST     2.29 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:20 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:48 AM EST     -2.38 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:55 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:28 PM EST     1.99 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:27 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:19 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:07 PM EST     -2.59 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 10:14 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:18 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.11.50.5-0.8-1.7-2.2-2.4-1.9-0.90.11.11.91.91.40.5-0.7-1.8-2.3-2.6-2.3-1.4-0.30.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.