Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Essex Village, CT

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:15AMSunset 8:28PM Thursday June 20, 2019 7:25 PM EDT (23:25 UTC) Moonrise 11:08PMMoonset 8:09AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 633 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2019
.dense fog advisory in effect until midnight edt tonight...
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Areas of dense fog this evening. Patchy fog after midnight. Showers and tstms likely. Vsby less than 1 nm, increasing to 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Showers likely, mainly in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun..W winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of tstms in the evening. Chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 633 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure and a trailing cold front move across the area waters tonight. The low and cold front move offshore Friday with high pressure returning for the weekend. The next frontal system approaches on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Essex Village, CT
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location: 41.35, -72.37     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 202239
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
639 pm edt Thu jun 20 2019

Synopsis
A low pressure and a trailing cold front will move across the
region tonight. The low and cold front move offshore Friday
with high pressure returning for the weekend. High pressure moves
off into the atlantic Monday into Monday night. The next frontal
system approaches Tuesday with an associated cold front moving
across during midweek.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
The forecast has been updated to expand the areas of dense fog.

The hazard will continue to be handled with a sps due to the
arrival of developing showers and thunderstorms. An area of low
pressure will move north of the area, bringing a cold front
across the region late tonight and into early Friday morning.

This will result in several rounds of showers and thunderstorms
to develop across the area through the overnight hours. Some
storms could become severe, potentially producing strong gusty
winds and heavy rain.

Temperatures tonight will be in the mid to upper 60s.

Short term 6 am Friday morning through Friday night
Showers gradually end Friday morning with a return to dry
conditions for much of the area by afternoon. Lingering clouds
and possible shower could hang on across new london county in
the afternoon.

Nw flow behind the departing low and ahead of building high pressure
to the west supports gusty winds on Friday with gust between 25
to 30 mph. Temperatures on Friday will be in the upper 70s to
near 80 across the nyc metro area and mid to upper 70s
elsewhere.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at atlantic
ocean beaches on Friday.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
High pressure builds in through the weekend with dry weather and a
good amount of sunshine for both days. Saturday could be on the
breezy side with lighter winds on Sunday. High temperatures near
average for Saturday, then a few degrees warmer for Sunday.

An upper ridge axis approaches from the west on Monday and should
help offset any rainfall trying to sneak in from the west well ahead
of the next low pressure system. Will leave in just a slight chance
of a shower thunderstorm for the afternoon in the city, nearby
suburbs, and points west. High temperatures again above normal.

A warm front out ahead of the low is progged to moves through
sometime either Monday night or Tuesday. Chance pops for this
period. Behind the warm front, a trough sets up INVOF the forecast
area on Wednesday, maintaining the threat of a shower or
thunderstorm. The system's trailing cold front is progged to pass
through late Wednesday night or Thursday. Will maintain slight
chance pop for this period.

Aviation 00z Friday through Tuesday
A warm front continues to slowly lift north across portions of the
area this evening. Low pressure approaches from the west this
evening and tonight. A cold front moves across the area early Friday.

A warm front will continue to slowly lift north across the terminals
this evening. Showers and thunderstorms have started to move across
the nyc terminals allowing conditions to improve. However, away from
the rain, most terminals remain ifr or less, improvement to MVFR
thenVFR is likely with the rainfall.

The best chance of convection in the nyc metro lower hudson valley
is through 24z-01z. Some of these storms could produce brief ifr
conditions and gusty winds. Mainly MVFR conditions are expected
thereafter with any lingering showers or stray tstms. A return to
lifr lifr CIGS at kisp kgon kbdr khpn remains very possible
overnight.

Improvement back toVFR is expected on Friday behind a cold
frontal passage. Expected improvement around the 15z.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at:
http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 15 mi56 min S 5.1 G 6 68°F 61°F999.3 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 16 mi46 min S 5.1 G 6 65°F 999.2 hPa64°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 29 mi56 min S 7 G 8 69°F 66°F999.2 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 30 mi56 min 65°F 60°F999.7 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 45 mi62 min S 6 G 8.9 69°F 64°F998.4 hPa
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 48 mi46 min SSW 12 G 16 65°F 62°F999.5 hPa65°F

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Chester, Chester Airport, CT8 mi31 minS 50.15 miFog70°F69°F100%999.3 hPa
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT17 mi30 minS 30.15 miLight Rain Fog67°F64°F91%999.1 hPa

Wind History from SNC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalm443CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmSE4S5SE7SE7S5S5S4S6
1 day agoNE4CalmCalmNE3N5N4CalmN4N3NW3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmS4S45S56S6SE3SE5SE4
2 days agoS3S4Calm3CalmS43CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3SE5E5SE443SE4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Essex, Connecticut
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Essex
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:29 AM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:15 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:08 PM EDT     2.89 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:22 PM EDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.33.63.63.22.61.91.30.60.20.40.91.62.22.72.92.82.421.51.10.70.81.32.1

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current (2) (expired 1993-12-31)
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The Race
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:01 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:34 AM EDT     -3.48 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 08:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:54 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:33 AM EDT     2.69 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 02:40 PM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:59 PM EDT     -2.80 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:05 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:42 PM EDT     2.47 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.41.50-1.5-2.6-3.3-3.4-2.5-1.30.11.72.62.62.11-0.5-1.7-2.4-2.8-2.3-1.3-0.11.22.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.