Sunday, July22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Waterford, CT

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7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 5:33AMSunset 8:16PM Sunday July 22, 2018 12:26 PM EDT (16:26 UTC) Moonrise 4:04PMMoonset 1:40AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 628 Am Edt Sun Jul 22 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 am edt this morning...
Today..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Slight chance of tstms this morning. Showers. Isolated tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely. Chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of tstms in the morning. Chance of showers.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 628 Am Edt Sun Jul 22 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure continues to lift to the northwest today. A frontal boundary will remain west of the region through much of the week, while high pressure remains offshore. This will keep the waters under a prolonged period of southerly flow.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Waterford, CT
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location: 41.36, -72.1     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 221604
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1204 pm edt Sun jul 22 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure will persist to the west early this week, while
offshore high pressure builds slowly westward. An associated
frontal boundary will remain to the west through much of the
week, with an extended period of unsettled weather with the
chance of showers and thunderstorms each day. A prolonged period
of southerly flow will also result in high humidity.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Latest SPC mesoanalysis shows tongue of sfc-based instability
with MLCAPE 500 j kg over eastern long island. This area should
expand westward this afternoon, with MLCAPE 500-1000 j kg by
late day, highest around nyc metro, and with no cap. This plus
weak vort maxima moving slowly northward from off the atlantic
should result in sct-numerous showers and a few tstms. Vertical
wind profiles still show
lapse rates are weak, with tall skinny cape, and there is still
enough 0-1 km shear present, so any tstms could develop updrafts
sustained via weak low level rotation to produce locally heavy
rain.

A high risk of rip currents continues at the ocean beaches today
due to large breaking waves of 4 to 7 ft in the surf zone.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Tuesday
An unsettled pattern will be in place the next few days as the
region is sandwiched between a deep upper trough over the eastern us
and downstream high pressure stationed offshore and building
slowly westward. This setup will result in deep tropical
moisture and uncomfortably high dewpoints.

Periods of showers and thunderstorms are likely through at least
Monday night, mainly west of nyc. There is not much synoptic
forcing however with deep tropical moisture in place, cannot
rule out the development of showers. With this setup, it is
challenging to pinpoint exactly where these showers and or
thunderstorms may develop.

The offshore ridge will then continue pushing westward leading
to a decrease in rain chances by Tuesday especially east, with
chance probabilities to the west of nyc.

Temperatures will be near seasonable but with very muggy conditions.

A high risk of rip currents will continue on Monday.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
An upper level low moving across central canada on Wednesday
slides into the great lakes region by Thursday night. This will
push the trough and front closer to the region, with pops
increasing once again through this period. Its nearly impossible
this far out to time any showers and or thunderstorms and will
keep at least some 50% chance pops in the forecast. The trough
and front cross the region during the Thursday night Friday
morning timeframe with drier weather expected for Friday. There
may still be some lingering precipitation, so will continue to
maintain some low chance pops.

A tropical like airmass will remain in place next week with highs
each day in the 80s and lows mostly lower to mid 70s. Humidity
levels remain uncomfortable with dew points in the lower to mid 70s.

Aviation 16z Sunday through Thursday
Low pressure stays west of the region. The low will weaken and
track into the eastern great lakes region today into tonight.

Conditions mainly MVFR this morning are expected to improve
toVFR. Then, MVFR returns tonight into Monday. Showers have
less coverage today and increase tonight into Monday.

Thunderstorms isolated coverage today and tonight with more
coverage expected for Monday.

Amendments possible to refine locally lower or higher categories
and the timing of these categorical changes as well as timing
of wind gusts. A general SE wind persists today, with gusts
during the daytime.

Outlook for 12z Monday through Thursday
Monday-Thursday MVFRVFR with periods of shra and a chance
of tstms. S gusts 20-25 kt.

Marine
Sca continues for the ocean waters, mainly for hazardous seas
with 9 ft observed at the coastal buoys. These seas will slowly
diminish, but likely remain at or above 5 ft through the week.

Hydrology
Periods of showers and thunderstorms through Monday night could
produce between 1.5 and 2.5 inches of rainfall. Minor urban and
poor drainage flooding looks to be the main threat, but
isolated flash flooding is possible..

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo-35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air for an extended period of time.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... High rip current risk until 9 pm edt this evening for nyz075-
080-081-178-179.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for anz350-353-355.

Synopsis... CB dw
near term... CB goodman dw
short term... Cb
long term... Bc dw
aviation... Jm pw
marine... Goodman dw
hydrology... CB goodman dw
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 1 mi44 min S 8 G 13 74°F 71°F1016.8 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 4 mi31 min SSE 14 G 16 71°F 1018.8 hPa68°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 23 mi38 min 72°F 67°F1017 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 33 mi26 min SE 16 G 19 74°F 2 ft
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 40 mi38 min S 11 G 13 72°F 74°F1018.1 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 42 mi50 min SSE 11 G 15 71°F 68°F1017.6 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 43 mi38 min S 13 G 19 77°F 76°F1015.8 hPa
PRUR1 45 mi44 min 73°F 70°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 45 mi50 min SW 1.9 G 7 72°F 1017.9 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 45 mi101 min SSE 1.9 69°F 1018 hPa69°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 46 mi36 min SSE 18 G 21 72°F 71°F8 ft1016.8 hPa (+2.0)71°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 47 mi38 min S 11 G 12 72°F 76°F1018.1 hPa
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 48 mi50 min S 9.9 G 13 71°F 74°F1017.6 hPa
PVDR1 48 mi38 min SSE 9.9 G 12 72°F 1018.3 hPa72°F

Wind History for New London, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT3 mi31 minSSE 138.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F70°F84%1016.7 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI16 mi33 minSE 117.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F73°F94%1017.5 hPa
Chester, Chester Airport, CT22 mi31 minSSE 116.00 miOvercast with Haze77°F71°F83%1016.9 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY22 mi32 minSSE 7 G 14 mi71°F71°F100%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE13E17
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SE14E13SE11SE14
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1 day agoS9S10S10S8S8S8S7SE5SE6SE5SE4SE4CalmCalmN3E5N3N4NE4E7E10E11E13E14
G20
2 days agoS9S7S8S8S7S6S5S5S5S4CalmCalmNW3N3CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmS4S6S7S7

Tide / Current Tables for New London, Thames River, Connecticut
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New London
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:25 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:11 AM EDT     2.28 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:27 PM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:36 PM EDT     3.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.50.81.21.72.12.32.221.71.40.90.60.611.52.12.733.12.82.521.4

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:19 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:12 AM EDT     2.17 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:21 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:13 AM EDT     -2.46 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:26 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:27 PM EDT     2.42 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:43 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:47 PM EDT     -2.89 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-2.5-1.6-0.40.91.82.221.50.5-0.8-1.9-2.4-2.3-1.6-0.60.71.82.42.41.91-0.4-1.8-2.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.