Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Parma Heights, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 7:51PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 6:58 PM EDT (22:58 UTC) Moonrise 7:26AMMoonset 8:50PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- 950 Am Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
This afternoon..Northeast winds 10 knots or less. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east 10 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 20 knots becoming northeast. A chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. A small craft advisory will likely be needed.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 20 knots becoming southeast 5 to 15 knots. Showers. A chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 36 degrees...off cleveland 38 degrees and off erie 38 degrees.
LEZ146 Expires:201703292030;;262280 FZUS51 KCLE 291350 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 950 AM EDT WED MAR 29 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ144>148-292030-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Parma Heights, OH
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location: 41.38, -81.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 292013
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
413 pm edt Wed mar 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will shift to new england on Thursday. Low pressure
will approach from the southern plains on Thursday and drift east
across lake erie on Friday. This system will move off the east coast
Saturday with high pressure expanding across the local area for the
weekend.

Near term /until 6 am Thursday morning/
High pressure located north of the area will shift to new england
overnight. Upper level ridge will build overhead with mid level
moisture streaming around the ridge. Expect to see the thicker cloud
cover across the western great lakes expand overhead and lower after
midnight. Did raise mins a few degrees for tonight as daytime highs
have already surpassed expected highs by a few degrees. Lows will
range from the lower 30s in NW pa to near 40 in the southwestern
counties. Although we could start to see some echos showing up in
the west late tonight, will keep the forecast dry through 6 am given
the lingering dry air in the low levels.

Short term /6 am Thursday morning through Saturday night/
Deep upper level trough over the plains will lift into the mid-
mississippi valley on Thursday then across central ohio on Friday. At
the surface, a warm front will lift north into the area on Thursday
with the typical delays expected near lake erie. Kept
temperatures in the 40s at toledo with the front not lifting
north of the lake until Friday. Moisture advection will ramp up
across the area on Thursday and expect a leading band of showers
to lift northeast across the area from mid-morning through late
afternoon. Better chances of rain and increasing chances of
thunderstorms will arrive from the west late in the day with the
approach of a 500mb jet streak. Widespread rain with scattered
thunderstorms expected Thursday night but will have to monitor
to see what role robust convection plays that will develop upstream
across the mississippi and tennessee valley.

Surface low will move into northwest ohio on Friday morning.

Some breaks will start to develop in the showers as drier air
gets wrapped into the system. Diurnally enhanced showers will
likely fill back in during the afternoon. As the low pulls away
to the east, northerly flow will pull the cold front south
behind it with cooler air returning Friday night and Saturday.

Qpf on Thursday and Friday is expected to range from three
quarters of an inch to an inch and a quarter unless moisture
transport gets disrupted by the upstream convection. The
moisture depth becomes shallow by Saturday morning with clouds
scattering out from the north as high pressure builds in.

Long term /Sunday through Wednesday/
Overall upper level pattern still progressive with time. Models
suggest periods of ridging with troughiness moving east across the
lower 48. However, deep trough digging into the pacific northwest
will cause amplification of the ridge in the eastern united states
by mid week.

The forecast area will see transitioning periods of waves of low
pressure alternated with areas of high pressure. So, the current
pattern continues through the early and middle part of next week.

This pattern will still keep the polar jet stream well north of the
area keeping the arctic cold air out of the forecast area for the
time being. Some hints indicate a brief shot of cold air by the end
of the week.

Surface high pressure will exit to the east on Sunday allowing a
southern stream low pressure system to move northeast toward the
area. This system will initially have limited moisture associated
with it but will eventually tap into some gulf moisture by Monday
night and force it north into the area. The low will track east
into the carolinas by Tuesday allowing high pressure to build in
from the north. The high will push east to the mid atlantic coast as
yet another storm system with limited moisture begins to approach
from the west on Wednesday.

Aviation /18z Wednesday through Monday/
One fair weather day giving way to another round of inclement
weather over the next 24 hours. High pressure over the local
area will move east and allow low pressure to move into the
region. Expecting lowering ceilings and visibilities along with
some rain shower activity to move into the area west to east.

Best chance for weather will be in the west during the late
morning tomorrow. Lower chances will be in the east. Ceilings
will drop to ifr/MVFR west by morning. Otherwise, expecting
mostlyVFR over the east through this TAF period.

Outlook... Non-vfr continuing into Friday. Non-vfr possible
Sunday night into Monday.

Marine
Winds on the lake will be increasing from the east northeast and it
appears waves will be high enough for the western basin to support
small craft advisory criteria. So, will hoist a small advisory for
the western 2 lake nearshore zones from 2 am tonight through 5 pm on
Thursday. For the rest of the marine nearshore, winds should be
just offshore to prevent waves from reaching 4 feet. So, will not
issue an advisory for this area. Otherwise, winds are expected to
be fairly light through the rest of the forecast period except
Monday. Winds will increase out of the east-northeast Monday and
will likely need another small craft advisory then. &&

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 2 am to 5 pm edt Thursday for lez142-
143.

Synopsis... Kec
near term... Kec
short term... Kec
long term... Lombardy
aviation... Lombardy
marine... Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45176 12 mi28 min ENE 9.7 G 9.7 39°F 40°F1 ft35°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 14 mi40 min E 6 G 6 41°F 1023.9 hPa32°F
45169 16 mi28 min E 3.9 G 5.8 38°F 37°F1 ft35°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 37 mi40 min NE 6 G 7 40°F 1024.2 hPa34°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 39 mi73 min NE 5.1 42°F 1024 hPa35°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH6 mi68 minNE 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy51°F28°F43%1025.2 hPa
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH11 mi66 minNE 1110.00 miFair43°F36°F76%1024.2 hPa
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH21 mi66 minENE 1310.00 miFair49°F30°F48%1024.6 hPa
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH21 mi74 minNE 1420.00 miMostly Cloudy52°F32°F47%1024 hPa

Wind History from CLE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6N8N8N8N5N6N3N4N3N5N4NE5SE3CalmE5NE6NE8NE10N8N11N12N10NE12NE10
1 day agoN5NE4NE4E5E4E5E4CalmN4NE3N9NE11N11N9N8N11N10N9N8N10N9NW8N9N10
2 days agoS7S6S7S12S8S7S7S7S6SW6SW5SW8SW7SW8SW7SW7SW8SW10SW13SW8SW8SW11SW6NE5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.