Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Old Mystic, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 4:30PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 10:05 AM EST (15:05 UTC) Moonrise 1:23PMMoonset 11:30PM Illumination 40% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 351 Am Est Wed Nov 14 2018
.gale warning in effect until 3 pm est this afternoon...
Today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Rain likely in the afternoon.
Thu night..E winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt in the evening. Seas around 9 ft, building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..NE winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 12 ft, subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain, mainly in the morning.
Fri night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 7 ft, subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 3 ft.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers after midnight. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 351 Am Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. Gale center will move off through the maritimes today. High pressure builds over the waters tonight, then drifts to the maritimes Thursday. Another storm system approaches through the midwest, impacting the waters late Thursday into Friday. High pressure returns for the weekend. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Old Mystic, CT
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location: 41.39, -71.98     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 141142
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
642 am est Wed nov 14 2018

Synopsis
High pressure builds in from the west through tonight, before
retreating into new england Thursday. An area of low pressure
will develop over the tennessee valley Thursday, with a second
area of low pressure moving up the east coast Thursday night.

The low will likely pass just east of montauk early Friday,
then into the canadian maritimes Friday night. A broad area of
high pressure builds in for the weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
The fcst is on track. Mostly sunny sky expected today as high
pressure builds in from the west through tonight. Seasonably
cold air will move into the area, with highs only in the mid to
upper 30s to around 40.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
High shifts towards new england tonight with a continuation of
dry weather. Temperatures will continue to be seasonably cold
with low temperatures tonight in the teens across the northern
suburbs and the pine barrens and low to mid 20s elsewhere. A
freeze warning is in effect for the remaining boroughs where the
growing season has not yet ended. A strengthening low pressure
then rapidly moves northeast up the coast on Thursday with
precipitation developing across the area. A wintry mix is
expected initially, with probably a change over to rain along
the coast around sunset. Temperatures on Thursday will be in the
low 30s inland and mid to upper 30s to near 40 along the coast.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
Overall timing of the storm is a bit faster than 24 hours ago, with
good clustering of the low INVOF long island at 12z fri. The low is
then over the gulf of me by 18z.

The increased speed puts Thu eve under the gun for the worst of the
wintry pcpn. Mainly snow or a snow sleet mix can be expected across
the interior during this time, with the coasts transitioning to
rain. By late in the eve overnight, a transition to fzra should
occur over the interior and much of the remaining area will go to
all rain. Ice accretion has been ramped up significantly in the
fcst, to around a quarter inch in the hudson valley where the
predominant ely flow will likely remain backed further to the n.

For snow, a solid burst of mdt to hvy snow appears likely with the
initial surge of waa. Advy lvl snow has been included in the fcst
away from the coasts.

Wind will increase Thu ngt as the gradient tightens ahead of the
low. Strongest flow along the coasts, particularly ERN long island
aft the development and passage of a cstl front. 40 mph gusts
possible in this zone. As the low makes its closes approach possibly
over li, winds across the region would then weaken, before ramping
up again as the low pulls away. Winds on the back side could
approach 50 mph, again mainly ERN coasts, if the more intense nam
verifies.

The pcpn winds down fri, then fair wx is fcst thru sat. Low chcs for
pcpn on Sun thru Mon with a frontal sys potentially impacting the
area. There remain some significant timing and track differences
between the GFS and ecmwf, so a blended approach was used for the
fcst. The model consensus was for dry wx on tue.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
High pressure builds in from the west through tonight, before
retreating into new england Thursday.

Vfr through the TAF period.

Nw winds are forecast through the early evening. Sustained winds
around 10-15 kt are expected. Frequent gusts resume around 13z with
gusts 20-25 kt. Gusts should abate around 22z with speeds around 10
kt. Winds veer to the nnw-n around with speeds less than 10 kt by
mid evening, with kswf and kteb becoming light and variable.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 6 mi167 min WSW 1.9 G 5.1 34°F 48°F1024.3 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 8 mi170 min W 13 G 16 36°F 1025.5 hPa23°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 24 mi167 min 40°F 51°F1024.3 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 33 mi173 min W 6 G 12 35°F 52°F1024 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 36 mi173 min WNW 13 G 19 36°F 50°F1023.7 hPa
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 38 mi173 min W 4.1 G 9.9 34°F 1023.8 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 40 mi185 min WNW 19 G 25 40°F 56°F3 ft
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 41 mi167 min W 12 G 15 34°F 49°F1023.9 hPa
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 42 mi173 min WNW 6 G 12 35°F 48°F1023 hPa
PVDR1 42 mi167 min W 6 G 8 35°F 1023.5 hPa20°F
FRXM3 47 mi167 min 37°F 23°F
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 48 mi167 min W 16 G 20 36°F 1023.5 hPa
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 48 mi173 min 37°F 49°F1023.8 hPa
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 48 mi75 min WNW 21 G 27 40°F 56°F7 ft1026 hPa (+3.2)26°F

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT6 mi9 minNNW 13 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy38°F21°F51%1026.6 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI10 mi12 minNW 7 G 1810.00 miOvercast37°F21°F54%1026.8 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY22 mi11 minNW 13 G 22 mi39°F19°F45%1026.9 hPa

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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1 day agoS3SW4S5SW9S7S11S8SW8SW6W3NW3S13SE13SE10SE3E3SE7SE7E5S9S11S14SE14SE14
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2 days agoW10
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W9NW10NW11NW10NW6NW4N3NW6NW7NW8N6N5N3N3CalmNE3N3N3CalmN3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:40 AM EST     2.02 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:34 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:16 AM EST     0.76 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:21 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:45 PM EST     2.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:29 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:52 PM EST     0.44 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:30 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.8221.91.71.51.210.80.91.21.722.22.22.11.81.51.20.90.60.40.71.1

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:29 AM EST     2.01 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 03:58 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:34 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:52 AM EST     -2.07 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 10:03 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:22 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:47 PM EST     1.86 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:07 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:29 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:17 PM EST     -2.34 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 10:30 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:40 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.91.50.8-0-1-1.8-2.1-1.7-0.9-0.10.91.71.81.50.90.1-0.9-1.8-2.3-2.2-1.5-0.70.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.