Monday, June25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gales Ferry, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:14AMSunset 8:27PM Monday June 25, 2018 3:44 AM EDT (07:44 UTC) Moonrise 6:10PMMoonset 3:38AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 322 Am Edt Mon Jun 25 2018
Today..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..N winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Chance of tstms after midnight.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 322 Am Edt Mon Jun 25 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds today and Tuesday. The high moves offshore Wednesday, allowing a warm front to slowly lift northward into Wednesday evening. A cold front will then gradually move through the area Thursday into Thursday night, followed by building high pressure into the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gales Ferry, CT
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location: 41.4, -72.1     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 250721
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
321 am edt Mon jun 25 2018

Synopsis
High pressure builds today and Tuesday. The high moves offshore
Wednesday, allowing a warm front to slowly lift northward into
Wednesday evening. A cold front will then gradually move through
the area Thursday into Thursday night, followed by building
high pressure into the weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Upper trough axis oriented from NE to SW passes across the northeast
today, with PVA passing this afternoon.

Surface low off the new england coast continues to track east. A sfc
trough associated with the passing upper level trough should result
in a wind shift to the E SE over extreme SE ct and eastern LI late
in the day. Otherwise, NW flow behind a cold front persists.

Mostly sunny skies prevail, with mid level instability clouds
developing in the afternoon as the upper trough cold pool passes.

Too dry in the lower levels for any showers, with best chance for a
passing shower just to the east in new england (ri and SE ma).

Temperatures warm to the upper 70s lower 80s. Right around normal.

With no sea breeze (other than late day shift over extreme eastern
portions of the cwa), temps along the coast will be warmer than
yesterday.

There is a moderate risk for rip current development at atlantic
beaches today.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Tuesday
Upper ridge builds behind departing trough. Sfc high pressure builds
tonight and passes offshore Tuesday. Light north winds tonight will
eventually shift to the south.

With strong subsidence, mainly clear skies are forecast, and the
clear skies and lightening winds will allow for radiational cooling
to take place tonight. In the normally cooler locations, lows will
fall to around 50, with lower to middle 60s in and around nyc thanks
to heat island effect.

For Tuesday, onshore flow will result in cooler readings, especially
near the coast. Temperatures over eastern LI and SE ct may only
reach 70 degrees, with readings near 80 in nyc and away from the
coast.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
Upper ridging and an attendant surface high shift farther offshore
on Wednesday in advance of a weak approaching short wave. A warm
front will move northward through the day, and with broad south-
southwest flow, moisture will rapidly increase, with a noticeable
return to humidity by Wednesday night and pwat values close to
climatological maximums for the time of year. As the short wave
moves into the area overnight, expect shower and thunderstorm
chances to increase overnight Wednesday into Thursday. Despite
modest flow, moist adiabatic lapse rates and weak lapse rates will
generally limit any severe potential, with the predominate threat
locally heavy downpours. The exception may be along the immediate
coast Wednesday night, with warm water temperatures across the new
york harbor into western nassau county and modest SRH shear in the
lowest 3km, weakly rotating storms capable of waterspouts may not be
out of the question. Showers and thunderstorms may continue through
much of the day Thursday as the short wave slowly moves through the
area, coming to an end from west to east by the evening into the
overnight as a cold front moves through, bringing lower humidity
values.

Thereafter the main story becomes heat as a ridge strengthens along
the eastern u.S. By Friday, temperatures will be well above
climatological normals, with values approaching the low to mid 90s
into the weekend to the north and west of nyc, and 80s expected
elsewhere. There are timing differences with regards to any short
wave that will pass to the north of the area, but in general
deterministic guidance tends to be too quick to break down strong
ridges, so maintained a dry forecast beyond Thursday.

Aviation 07z Monday through Friday
A cold front will move across the region tonight. High pressure will
build west of the terminals Monday and Monday night. A surface
trough develops east of the region Monday night.

Generally looking atVFR conditions. Some ifr CIGS have
developed across kswf kbdr kgon. Any lower conditions should be
temporary as drier conditions are expected with the passage of
the cold front.

Winds will shift to the NW behind the front, mainly to the
right of 310 magnetic. Gusts develop early Monday morning with
gusts 20-25 kt. Winds and gusts diminish after 22z Monday. A
surface trough develops east of the terminals late Monday,
resulting in terminals east of nyc to shift more towards the
east.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 3 mi45 min Calm G 7 67°F 64°F1008.1 hPa (-0.6)
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 7 mi35 min NW 8.9 G 12 67°F 1008.9 hPa66°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 25 mi45 min 65°F 64°F1008.3 hPa (-0.4)
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 35 mi45 min W 9.7 G 12 67°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 39 mi45 min W 4.1 G 5.1 68°F 67°F1007.6 hPa (-1.5)
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 42 mi51 min NW 2.9 G 5.1 67°F 63°F1007.4 hPa
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 44 mi51 min WNW 2.9 G 6 67°F 1007.4 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 44 mi45 min N 4.1 G 9.9 69°F 70°F1009.1 hPa (-0.3)
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 44 mi60 min W 4.1 67°F 1008 hPa67°F
PRUR1 45 mi45 min 67°F 67°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 46 mi45 min W 4.1 G 5.1 67°F 69°F1007.5 hPa (-1.1)
PVDR1 46 mi45 min WNW 2.9 G 5.1 68°F 1007.6 hPa (-1.3)68°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 47 mi51 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1 69°F 67°F1006.9 hPa
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 49 mi55 min W 9.7 G 12 66°F 64°F4 ft1008.1 hPa (-1.5)65°F

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT6 mi1.8 hrsW 45.00 miFog/Mist68°F66°F96%1007.5 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI16 mi52 minVar 47.00 miOvercast68°F68°F100%1008.4 hPa
Chester, Chester Airport, CT22 mi50 minNW 710.00 miFair66°F66°F100%1009.1 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY24 mi51 minNW 7 mi64°F64°F100%1008.6 hPa

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmS5S3S3S3S4S44S7S4S4S3SE6S6CalmS8W4W5NW3W4NW9
1 day agoNE8NE9E12E10E10E10NE11E7NE8NE8NE8NE8NE8NE6NE6NE3N4N4N5N5N6N4CalmN4
2 days agoN5CalmNE7NE5NE8SE9E8SE10E13SE12S11SE13SE11SE9E8E6E5E8E7E6NE5NE7NE7NE8

Tide / Current Tables for Smith Cove entrance, Connecticut
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Smith Cove entrance
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Mon -- 02:38 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:28 AM EDT     2.32 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:35 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:39 PM EDT     3.12 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.50.80.30.20.611.522.32.32.11.81.40.90.50.40.81.52.12.733.12.92.5

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:04 AM EDT     -3.22 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 03:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:29 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:25 AM EDT     2.51 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:32 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:23 PM EDT     -2.71 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:32 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     2.69 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:44 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-2.8-3.2-2.9-2.1-0.80.81.92.52.41.90.8-0.7-2-2.7-2.6-1.9-0.80.722.62.62.11.1-0.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.