Monday, March27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Huron, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 7:52PM Monday March 27, 2017 6:45 AM EDT (10:45 UTC) Moonrise 6:17AMMoonset 6:31PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh- 358 Pm Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
Tonight..East winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Showers through the early overnight. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers late. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..South winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. Showers likely in the morning...then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 38 degrees...off cleveland 38 degrees and off erie 36 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201703270215;;120516 FZUS51 KCLE 261958 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 358 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ142>147-270215-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Huron, OH
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location: 41.4, -82.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 270820
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
420 am edt Mon mar 27 2017

Synopsis
An occluded front will finish crossing the area early this
morning. The next low center will move across central and
southeast oh tonight. High pressure building south out of
canada will be in control Tuesday night through Wednesday. A
system crosses the southern great lakes and ohio valley
Thursday night through early Saturday.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
Only a few isolated showers remain early this morning. Front is
pulling east across the area and the shortwave aloft is lifting
out. Linger those slight chance of a shower through midday for
most of the area and into early afternoon for NW pa... Waiting on
weak ridging to put a temporary end to the rain threat. While
there will be few breaks in the cloud cover possible early this
morning across the south... This will tend to fill back in later
this morning. Then toward evening thicker cloud cover will
overspread the area as the low from eastern ok moves to western
tn/ky. This may bring a shower back to findlay/marion/mt vernon
before 6pm.

Went just a bit warmer than the domestic guidance for today and
sided closer to the ECMWF taking into account the cool bias the
met/mav has had lately.

Short term /6 pm this evening through Thursday night/
There is still some difference in timing of the rainfall for
tonight into Tuesday, but most of the guidance brings rainfall
across most of oh tonight and brings it across the rest of the
area Tuesday morning. Thunder a possibility especially across
the southern half of the counties. With the surface low passing
across central/southeastern oh early Tuesday morning winds will
shift to the north. Upper trough axis exits Tuesday morning and
most of the area is expected to dry out. By Tuesday night high
pressure builds across the central great lakes and extends
across the ohio valley bringing in cooler and drier air for
Wednesday and reinforcing the northerly flow off of the cool
lake. For Wednesday expecting highs in the mid 40s near the lake
to the lower 50s well inland... The coolest day of the week. We
turn the weather over to the next low moving out of the southern
plains to the southern great lakes/ohio valley for the
remainder of the week. For Thursday with an approaching warm
front, shower chances will begin to increase. Winds will likely
remain east to east-northeast across the lakeshore which will
keep the toledo area cooler for yet another day.

Long term /Friday through Sunday/
The models continue to bring a series of upper lows from the
southwestern states that weaken as they track to the great lakes.

The next surface low is progged to cross the great lakes on Friday.

There is no agreement on the exact track of the low so while there
is good confidence for the threat of showers there is less
confidence on the temperature forecast. Will split the difference on
the high temperature forecast and there is probably more upside than
downside if we are in the warm sector much of the day. Will mention
thunder in the counties from around mansfield and akron south.

Showers could linger Friday night and into Saturday, especially
northeast oh and northwest pa. Forecast temperatures a little lower
than guidance on Saturday, especially near lake erie and in the
snowbelt with a north to northwest flow.

The models appear to be struggling in differentiating a northern
branch short wave on Sunday and the next upper low ejecting from the
southwestern states. There will likely be high pressure and dry air
at the surface and would just as well keep Sunday rainfree for now.

High temperatures will likely be near normal.

Aviation /06z Monday through Friday/
Weak occluded front over northwest ohio will push east overnight
and continue to weaken. Showers along the pa border will move
east. Some uncertainty on how much conditions may deteriorate
overnight. Ifr ceilings in northern indiana will probably clip
ktol in the early morning hours. Ifr clouds that have developed
at kcak and kyng may well linger into the daylight hours Monday
morning and could expand to kmfd. Conditions should improve
Monday late morning and especially afternoon as mixing
increases and ceilings rise. More rain and MVFR and eventually
ifr conditions are expected later Monday night as low pressure
moves into ohio.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr much of the time Tue then again by
thu.

Marine
A weakening front will slide across lake erie this morning. South
winds will diminish on eastern lake erie while southwest winds could
increase for a few hours on western lake erie. Winds and waves
should stay comfortably below small craft advisory criteria.

Low pressure will track south of lake erie on Tuesday and winds will
come around from the east backing northeast and north. The forecast
for winds and waves will be just below small craft advisory for
Tuesday. A small craft advisory may eventually be needed Wednesday
or more likely Thursday as the pressure gradient increases between
high pressure over eastern canada and low pressure tracking across
the plains states.

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Oudeman
near term... Oudeman
short term... Oudeman
long term... Kosarik
aviation... Kosarik
marine... Kosarik


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 3 mi60 min SW 2.9 53°F 1013 hPa50°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 13 mi45 min SW 4.1 G 7 52°F 51°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 22 mi45 min WSW 14 G 15 47°F 1012.5 hPa (+0.9)
45169 42 mi25 min W 7.8 G 9.7 44°F 36°F1 ft44°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH21 mi52 minWSW 1110.00 miOvercast53°F48°F86%1013.1 hPa

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6SE4SW3S10S11S8W9W5S4W5SW16
G22
S4S9S8S7S6S10SW9S7S7SW7SW9W9W11
1 day agoCalmS4W3N5N7NE8NE9NE12E9NE8NE9E13NE11NE9NE7E6NE5NE5E5E4E5E3E5E5
2 days agoS12S12SW12SW12SW20
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SW16SW9SW12SW15SW12SW13W10N7CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.