Wednesday, May24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Vermilion, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 8:51PM Wednesday May 24, 2017 11:16 PM EDT (03:16 UTC) Moonrise 4:30AMMoonset 6:29PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LEZ145 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 949 Am Edt Wed May 24 2017
This afternoon..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. A chance of showers late this morning...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening...then showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees...off cleveland 57 degrees and off erie 57 degrees.
LEZ145 Expires:201705242015;;131514 FZUS51 KCLE 241349 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 949 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ142>146-242015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vermilion, OH
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.41, -82.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcle 250200
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1000 pm edt Wed may 24 2017

Synopsis
Low pressure over southwest ohio will move slowly northeast into new
england by Friday. Weak high pressure will build over the area
Friday night then shift east to allow low pressure to move northeast
into the area by Sunday that will then hang around into Tuesday.

Near term through Thursday
Update... No big changes.

Original... Low pressure over SW oh will drift slowly NE tonight
which should help a band of shra and possible tsra to spread ne
across the CWA followed by a decrease in activity over all but
the far NE by the end of the night. A few areas could see
locally heavy rain where some of the stronger convection occurs,
but in general rainfall amounts should range from a quarter to
three quarters of an inch.

After highs today mainly in the 60s, low should only fall into the
50s.

Short term Thursday night through Saturday night
The slow moving low will continue to produce fairly widespread shra
and possible tsra Thu into Thu night that should finally shift into
mainly the east half for Fri as the low shifts into new england.

Even though more sunshine is expected for fri, cooler air will be
brought SE into the area so temps both Thu and Fri will be below
normal, especially in the NE on fri.

Weak high pressure will work across the area late Fri which should
provide a brief period of dry wx. However, moisture and possible
rain from the next system will likely start to push into the area
fri night and continue on and off thru Sat night. However, models
keep making adjustments so confidence in timing of precip low for
the Fri night thru Sat night period but fairly high confidence that
rain will occur at some point.

As rains continue to occur, the threat for flooding will likely
increase Thu thru the weekend.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
Not much confidence on the timing of the cold front on Sunday. With
the trough aloft well to the west, we could see a prefrontal trough
or multiple troughs until the front clears the area (which could
take until Sunday night). Will have somewhat higher pops across the
eastern half of the forecast area, generally from about i-71 east.

Will include a mention of thunder. The air mass is warm and will
stick close to guidance. If it were to be rainy, then temperatures
could be suppressed but if there are sunny breaks, temps should warm
well into the 70s, perhaps even around 80.

A decent trough is progged to linger the first half of next week and
several short waves are forecast to move through the trough. The
first on Monday is stronger on the GFS versus the ecmwf. The cmc
maintains more of a closed low over the great lakes. Given the
differences in the models and the troughy pattern, will forecast a
generic chance of showers with temps a bit cooler on Monday and the
same for Tuesday. By Tuesday, temperatures should be below normal.

The GFS drops another wave through the trough on Wednesday while the
ecmwf begins to flatten the trough with rising heights. The forecast
will continue with a small chance of showers and temperatures below
normal.

Aviation 00z Thursday through Monday
Upper level low pressure system and surface low pressure will
continue to rotate around the area through the next 24 hours.

This will continue to push low ceilings and MVFR visibilities
over much of the area through the night into tomorrow. Some
areas of thunderstorms are possible as well with the activity
near toledo and findlay. Otherwise, winds will be 5 to 10 knots
through the period gradually shifting in response to the
surface low pressure system movement.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr through Thursday night in showers
and again for the weekend in possible showers and thunderstorms.

Marine
Low pressure developing in the lower ohio valley will be responsible
for an increasing east northeast fetch gradient on lake erie through
the first half of tonight. Current thinking is that the wind and
waves may stay just below small craft advisory criteria on the west
half of the lake this evening but it will certainly get choppy. High
lake levels will also lead to high water levels on the western basin
but we will probably stay just below the lakeshore flood warning
criteria.

Some uncertainty on where the surface low will be tracking on
Thursday. Most of the computer guidance would suggest the surface
low will end of near lake erie, perhaps near sandusky or cleveland,
but with the uncertainty, the wind direction forecast should be used
with caution on Thursday. Winds speeds should be light by Thursday
morning in the vicinity of the low and for most of lake erie though.

The low should move east of the lake Thursday night and the flow
will come around from the west and then northwest. The wnw flow will
likely back to southwest by the weekend. The next cold front is
likely on Sunday. South winds ahead of the front will become
westerly behind the front by Sunday night. Thunderstorms may
accompany the front on Sunday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Adams
near term... Adams tk
short term... Adams
long term... Kosarik
aviation... Lombardy
marine... Kosarik


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 8 mi91 min NE 1 61°F 998 hPa59°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 19 mi36 min E 12 G 16 57°F 56°F998.4 hPa56°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 22 mi46 min ENE 12 G 15 59°F 998 hPa59°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 30 mi76 min NE 11 G 16 59°F 997.4 hPa (-1.0)
45169 32 mi26 min SE 14 G 18 61°F 56°F2 ft999 hPa57°F
45176 33 mi26 min SSE 16 G 18 62°F 61°F3 ft998.6 hPa58°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 39 mi46 min SE 4.1 G 8 61°F 998.5 hPa55°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
Last
24hr
E10
G13
E6
E5
G8
E4
SE4
G7
S4
SE3
G6
SE3
SE1
NE4
E6
E6
G9
E5
G10
NE10
NE9
NE11
G14
E13
NE15
G19
NE17
G23
NE14
G19
E12
E10
G14
NE9
NE13
1 day
ago
S3
S2
S3
S3
G7
S5
S5
G9
S4
G8
S4
G7
S5
S5
S5
G8
S2
G6
E5
E5
NE2
G5
NE3
NE4
G8
NE4
G7
NE4
G8
NE5
G9
NE8
G11
E7
E7
NE9
G12
2 days
ago
W6
G9
W9
W8
G12
W3
G6
W5
G9
SW5
G10
SW8
G13
SW4
G13
SW7
G16
W6
G13
W10
G14
W11
G16
W13
G19
W8
G14
SW8
G15
W11
G15
SW10
G15
N5
NW5
SW6
G11
SW3
G7
SW3
G7
SW2
SW3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last 24hrS3S3CalmS3S4S4W5S8S10
G17
E7S9E55NE10NE12NE10NE7NE6E5CalmCalmSE4SW4SW3
1 day agoW8W12W9W18W14W12
G16
W12
G16
W10
G19
W14
G21
W11SW12W13W13SW12W10W8W7SW5SW5S3S5SW5SW4S3
2 days ago--------------------------------------SW6W6W7W8W6

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (23,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.