Tuesday, May21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Amherst, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:02AMSunset 8:47PM Tuesday May 21, 2019 3:35 AM EDT (07:35 UTC) Moonrise 10:42PMMoonset 7:20AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ145 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 946 Pm Edt Mon May 20 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until midnight edt tonight...
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. A chance of sprinkles after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday. The water temperature off toledo is 57 degrees, off cleveland 53 degrees and off erie 53 degrees.
LEZ145 Expires:201905210815;;196779 FZUS51 KCLE 210146 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 946 PM EDT Mon May 20 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ145-146-210815-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Amherst, OH
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location: 41.44, -82.26     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 210537
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
137 am edt Tue may 21 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will move east of the area tonight. High pressure
will build east across the region Tuesday. The high will move
east of the area Tuesday night and Wednesday. Low pressure will
approach the great lakes from the west and force a warm front
north across the local area Wednesday. The low will move east
across the northern lakes by Thursday and then off the new
england coast by Friday. A ridge will build east across the area
Friday.

Near term through today
Still seeing some weak returns moving across lake erie this
evening as the upper level trough moves across the central great
lakes. Do not think any locations will see more than a trace
but it may end up being enough to turn the windshield wipers on
if out and about through the night. These sprinkles will general
be near and east of the mid ohio region.

Previous discussion...

relatively quiet period shaping up for the next 36 hours as a
reinforcing cold front moves through the area this afternoon and
evening. The front will push east of the region tonight as high
pressure builds east toward the region. The high will bring
fair weather to the region. Initially though, as cold front
moves into the extreme eastern portions of the forecast area,
there is the threat for a few showers to develop. Latest
satellite imagery shows some convective activity trying to form
along the boundary and the front could spark a shower or two
this afternoon east. Otherwise, area should remain dry through
tonight into Tuesday night under the high pressure. Winds at 15
to 25 mph at this time are expected to diminish this evening as
pressure gradient weakens behind the cold front and in advance
of the high pressure center. Latest satellite is indicating
clouds are gradually becoming more diurnal and expecting clouds
to gradually thin mainly after midnight.

Short term tonight through Thursday night
Models continue to show enough moisture streaming northward on
Wednesday with a weak upper disturbance and the approach of a
warm front to continue the mention of a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. A ridge across the southeast u.S. Will then hold
for the rest of the week. A disturbance rounds the top of that
ridge, weakening it some, between Thursday and Thursday night.

This will allow a cold front to sink southward to the area. Will
have enhanced chances for showers thunderstorms complex that
period. Temperatures will be warm both days.

Long term Friday through Monday
The cold front from Thursday will remain in the vicinity through
the holiday weekend. Overall there is decent agreement in the
large scale with the ridge flattening some Saturday. This would
allow for weak disturbances to cross the area and allow for
showers thunderstorms to focus on the front over the weekend.

Cannot fine tune more than that just yet. Temperatures will
continue to run above normal.

Aviation 06z Tuesday through Saturday
BorderlineVFR-MVFR CIGS across northern ohio and nwrn pa at 06z
with satellite showing clearing progressing south into the area.

Skies have cleared at keri and ktol with clearing expected
within the next two to three hours kfdy to kyng. Concerned
about redevelopment of the stratus across nern oh and nwrn pa
and really anywhere else as well but for now will go with trends
and clear the area of lower clouds during the next couple
hours. Tuesday high clouds will increase from the west early. By
afternoon mid level deck should begin spreading in from the
west. On balance however, expectVFR conditions Tuesday with no
precip.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible Wednesday, Thursday, and Saturday.

Marine
West winds will come around to the northwest and begin to
subside after a final trough crosses the lake this evening and
high pressure begins to build overhead. Will keep the small
craft advisory and beach hazard statement going as is. The
western basin will highlight with 2 to 4 footers this evening.

High pressure will be overhead for Tuesday and into early
Wednesday. The east-northeast winds will be in place Tuesday
night and Wednesday. Then for Wednesday into the holiday
weekend, wind on the lake will be influenced by a cold front
that will remain in the vicinity. The front first settles
southward to the lake Thursday. Friday night may be the other
instance where the front temporarily gets pushed northward. The
entire second half of the week will have showers thunderstorms
in the forecast and will be dependent upon the position of that
front.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lombardy
near term... Lombardy mm
short term... Oudeman
long term... Oudeman
aviation... Tk
marine... Oudeman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LORO1 4 mi66 min NE 12 G 14 50°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 14 mi111 min NE 4.1 50°F 1020 hPa43°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 15 mi36 min ENE 13 G 13 50°F 1018.3 hPa (-0.0)
45169 26 mi26 min NNE 9.7 G 14 49°F 53°F2 ft1023.5 hPa
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 26 mi42 min NE 8.9 G 11 50°F 57°F1019.5 hPa43°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 33 mi36 min ENE 6 G 8 49°F 1020.3 hPa (+0.0)
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 34 mi42 min NE 13 G 15 49°F 57°F1019.5 hPa38°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH8 mi43 minNE 710.00 miA Few Clouds47°F36°F66%1020.1 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH21 mi45 minNNE 710.00 miA Few Clouds47°F39°F77%1020.6 hPa

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9W11W8W11
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1 day ago6S8S6S9S8SW11SW13
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6S12S7S7S9SW8
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2 days agoNE7NE7NE6NE8NE7E7E7E6S9S9W7W8W8NW7N4CalmE10E8S7S7S10S9S8S5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.