Tuesday, May23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Middle, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 5:29AMSunset 8:19PM Tuesday May 23, 2017 4:49 AM EDT (08:49 UTC) Moonrise 4:18AMMoonset 5:43PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 253 Am Edt Tue May 23 2017
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming ne early this afternoon... Then becoming se around 5 kt late. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog early this morning. Slight chance of rain late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm early this morning.
Tonight..SE winds around 5 kt...becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the evening. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less...then around 2 ft after midnight. Chance of showers after midnight. Areas of fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Areas of fog in the morning. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt... Diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the evening...then 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the daytime.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming s. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 253 Am Edt Tue May 23 2017
Synopsis for long island waters and new york harbor.. A weak frontal system stalls south of the waters while high pressure builds to the north today. By Wednesday a wave of low pressure will move along the frontal boundary to the south. Brief high pressure builds Wednesday night before another low pressure system impacts the waters Thursday into Friday. High pressure is expected by the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Middletown city, NY
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location: 41.45, -74.44     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 230737
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
337 am edt Tue may 23 2017

Synopsis
A weak frontal boundary stalls south of the area today while
high pressure builds to the north. By tonight, a wave of low
pressure will move along the frontal boundary south of the
region. Weak high pressure builds in on Wednesday, followed by low
pressure Thursday into Friday. High pressure returns for the
beginning half of the upcoming holiday weekend, but low pressure
may again bring some unsettled weather during the latter half.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
The weak frontal boundary and associated rain has moved well
east of the area. Northwest flow behind the boundary will advect
in drier air that will gradually erode any remaining fog by
early morning. Mainly mid and high-level cloud cover is
expected for the remainder of the day in broad southwest flow
ahead of a larger scale upper low and a series of short waves
that will bring episodic rain to the region this week.

High temperatures will be closer to climatological normals,
generally in the 70s.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 pm Wednesday/
Mid and high-level clouds will continue to increase ahead of a
short-wave that will contribute to a deepening area of low
pressure of the coast. With the system passing to the south, the
best chance of any rainfall will be closer to the coast,
particularly across eastern long island and connecticut
overnight. Cloud cover and somewhat stronger northeast flow will
keep low temperatures close to normal. By afternoon, the low
departs giving way to south flow and near normal temperatures
that will be slightly cooler near the coast in onshore flow.

Long term /Wednesday night through Monday/
An unsettled weather pattern continues through the long term period.

Another round of rainfall arrives late Wednesday night, with
rainfall being most likely Thursday into Thursday night. Some
elevated instability should be present, so will keep isolated
thunder for Thursday and Thursday night. There could also be some
fog for late Wednesday night into Thursday morning with a warm
front not too far off to the south. The low exits to the NE on
Friday, but the threat of showers will remain in the forecast.

Temperatures will be slightly below normal on Thursday, then
return to more seasonable levels on Friday.

Weak high pressure then returns Friday night and Saturday. Will go
with a dry forecast and slightly above normal temperatures for now.

Another low pressure system is then expected for Sunday and Monday,
brining yet another round of unsettled weather to the region.

Aviation /07z Tuesday through Saturday/
Weak high pressure will build across the area this morning and
then offshore this afternoon.

Improving toVFR this morning with mid and high level clouds
increasing through the day. There is a low chance of light rain
at late this afternoon.Eavening, mainly at the coastal
terminals.

N-ne at 5-10kt this morning. An afternoon seabreeze is probable
at all but kswf/khpn.

Outlook for 06z Wednesday through Saturday
Tuesday night-Wednesday evening Vfr.

Wednesday night-Friday night MVFR or lower possible. Slight
chance of thunderstorms Thursday. E winds g20kt with llws
possible.

Saturday Vfr.

Marine
Winds and seas are expected to remain below small craft levels
through tonight. Overnight, an initially weak pressure gradient
will tighten as an area of low pressure moves up the coast. As
such, winds will increase allowing seas to gradually build to
sca levels by tomorrow afternoon/evening. Seas may remain
elevated on the ocean through Wednesday night. Low pressure will
approach the waters Thursday night through Friday night,
bringing the next chance if advisory level conditions. Seas will
increase again to 5-6 ft late Thursday night and continue
through Friday. Seas finally diminish Friday night to below 5
ft. Wind gust through this time will primarily remain between
20-25 kt. Conditions fall back below SCA levels for the weekend.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated tonight through the end of
the week.

Tides/coastal flooding
Minor coastal flooding thresholds may be reached with Wednesday
night's high tide cycle for southern sections of ny harbor, the
south shore back bays of western li/queens/brooklyn, and western
long island. A better chance of minor flooding arrives for Thursday
night, with northern ny harbor and parts of central LI sound also
included. Chances then lower on Friday night as winds likely shift
offshore.

Okx watches/warnings/advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Bc/md
near term... Md
short term... Md
long term... Bc
aviation... Dw
marine... Bc/md
hydrology... Bc/md
tides/coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 48 mi79 min 55°F 1014 hPa53°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 54 mi49 min 59°F 57°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 56 mi49 min 61°F 57°F1013 hPa (-1.1)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY10 mi55 minNE 37.00 miA Few Clouds55°F53°F93%1013.8 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY18 mi2.1 hrsN 04.00 miFog/Mist57°F57°F100%1014.9 hPa
Sussex, Sussex Airport, NJ19 mi56 minN 49.00 miFair55°F55°F100%1014.3 hPa

Wind History from MGJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S4S5S8S9S6SE6SE6CalmS4S3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmN6NE3
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmN73NE43CalmS55
G16
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SW11S9SW11S11
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S7S8S7S5S5S4S3S5
2 days agoNE9NE9NE9NE8NE11N9N766NW4CalmW5S4W3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Tue -- 04:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:56 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:22 AM EDT     3.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:04 PM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:47 PM EDT     3.58 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.721.20.60.200.41.22.12.7332.621.20.50.1-0.20.112.133.53.6

Tide / Current Tables for West Point, Hudson River, New York
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West Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:36 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:05 AM EDT     2.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:45 PM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:39 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:26 PM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
21.40.80.40.10.10.51.31.92.32.52.421.40.80.3-0-0.10.31.122.62.92.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.