Monday, August20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bliss Corner, MA

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Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 7:36PM Monday August 20, 2018 3:01 AM EDT (07:01 UTC) Moonrise 3:46PMMoonset 12:49AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ235 Rhode Island Sound- 116 Am Edt Mon Aug 20 2018
Rest of tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Patchy fog. A slight chance of showers with patchy drizzle. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tue..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Patchy fog. Showers and tstms likely.
Wed..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Patchy fog. Showers and tstms likely.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 116 Am Edt Mon Aug 20 2018
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. A front will remain stalled south of new england overnight. Weak waves of low pres will move along it, bringing scattered showers and patchy fog, especially across the southern waters along with gusty ne winds up to around 25 kt. High pres will build across the waters from the N through Tue, then retreating ne Tue night. Low pres with its associated fronts will approach the waters from the W on Wed, then head offshore Wed night. Dry high pres will build in from the W on Thu and Fri. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bliss Corner, MA
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location: 41.46, -71.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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Fxus61 kbox 200310
afdbox
area forecast discussion
national weather service boston norton ma
1110 pm edt Sun aug 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure over the maritimes and a stalled front to the
south will combine to bring a northeast flow to southern new
england through Monday night. A cold front will bring showers
and thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday. High pressure
will build over the region Thursday, bringing fair weather and
comfortable humidity through the weekend.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
1030 pm update...

patchy showers and drizzle was moving onshore across portions of
e mass, especially from kpym southward as seen on latest
observations. Noting bands of showers moving westward off mass
bay, though mostly not reaching the ground from kghg northward
where t TD from 5 to 8 degrees were in place from kbos through
kbvy and kpsm at 02z.

Will see scattered showers and patchy drizzle across eastern
areas with the NE low level wind flow, along with patchy fog
especially across S coastal ri and SE mass through the night.

Elsewhere, conditions were dry with clear to partly cloudy
skies. A few lower clouds may sneak into central areas, as well
as develop across portions of the ct valley after 07z or so as
temps bottom out in the upper 50s to around 60, close to the
dewpoints.

Have updated near term to bring conditions current and
incorporated trends into the remainder of the overnight
forecast.

Previous discussion...

widely scattered showers have developed near CAPE cod and
islands this evening, which are too shallow to easily be
detected by kbox radar. Most of the high-res guidance keeps this
activity across SE ma tonight, although some models try to
bring few showers into boston and providence which seems too
aggressive.

Otherwise clouds will spread inland across most of sne tonight.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Monday night
High pressure remains in place over the maritimes with a
resulting northeast low level flow over southern new england.

Low level moisture will diminish through the day as the sun
heats the air, so morning clouds should give way to more Sun in
the afternoon. CAPE cod and southeast mass in general may have
the toughest road to sun. Another shortwave moves overhead and
may generate a light shower or sprinkle mainly along the cape
and islands.

Sea temps around the coast are in the upper 60s and 70s, which
will influence values along the coast, with temps in the lower
70s. Inland temps will be more subject to mixing, with mixing
to 900 mb suggested by the forecast data. Temps at that level
are equiv to 9-10c at 850 mb... So MAX sfc temp potential would
be in the mid to upper 70s. If we were to mix up to 850 mb
directly, slightly warmer temperatures would support MAX sfc
temps around 80f.

Similar air mass Monday night, with dew points a degree or two
lower. Expect min sfc temps roughly 55-65.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
Highlights...

* strong severe storms possible Tuesday night and Wednesday.

* fair weather Thursday into the weekend with comfortable humidity.

Overview...

large scale pattern features upper trough over northeast
through end of week before we see re-emergence of upper ridge
which begins to establish itself closer to sne by end of
weekend. Aside from brief return of tropical humidity Tuesday
night and Wednesday ahead of cold front, this setup favors near
average temperatures but more importantly brings our first
stretch of more comfortable humidity (dewpoints in 50s and 60s)
later this week and into weekend. It does appear that heat and
humidity may very well return beyond Sunday as upper ridge
becomes more dominant.

Details...

main concern deals with potential for strong or even severe storms
Tuesday night and Wednesday. Localized wind damage flash flooding
are main threats but an isolated short-lived tornado is also
possible.

Low CAPE high shear environment in place ahead of cold front should
be favorable for strong or even severe thunderstorms late Tuesday
night (after midnight) into Wednesday morning. SPC sref shows decent
probabilities of more than 500 j kg of MLCAPE and 0-1km helicity of
more than 100. Tropical airmass returns as GEFS shows precipitable
water values climbing above 2 inches (+2-3 sd) and dewpoints rise
back into 70s. 12z nam GFS support this thinking and show 30-40kt of
0-6km shear collocated with best instability.

Linear convection looks to be favored but typical of these
environments, we also need to be concerned with possibility of an
isolated, short-lived tornado developing along line due to low lcls
and high 0-500m helicity of over 100.

For now, this is something to be aware of which will be refined in
later forecasts.

Front moves offshore around midday Wednesday. Drying and subsidence
behind short wave will bring an end to showers storms by early
Wednesday afternoon. A prolonged stretch of dry and more comfortable
weather follows Thursday and into weekend as high pressure builds
over region.

Aviation 03z Monday through Friday
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Monday night ... Moderate confidence
overnight...

ifr-lifr CIGS MVFR-ifr vsbys mainly from kghg-kewb line eastward
through the remainder of the night, otherwise, areas of MVFR
cigs and some MVFR vsbys in patchy fog across the remainder of e
coastal mass extending into E ri. May see some MVFR CIGS at
times across NE ct and portions of the ct valley, mainly after
08z. Light sct showers patchy drizzle moving onshore mainly near
and S of kghg and especially across CAPE cod and islands.

Monday...

conditions ranging fromVFR northwest to MVFR-ifr CIGS SE mass
to start the day. Expect Sun heating to eat away at the sky
cover, bringingVFR conditions to all areas. Exception to this
could be nantucket and parts of CAPE cod, where 2000-3000 foot
cigs may linger through the day. Northeast gusts to 20 knots
mainly along the coastline.

Monday night...

vfr lingers in the west. MVFR ifr CIGS expands over
eastern central mass and ri northeast ct due to marine flow.

Kbos terminal... Moderate confidence in taf.

MVFR cigs, around 1500 feet, across the airport, though may
lower to ifr after 06z or so. May also see a few showers from
time to time through the night with ifr vsbys in patchy fog.

Conditions improve toVFR around 9-10 am.

Kbdl terminal... High confidence in taf. MainlyVFR. May see
brief MVFR CIGS after 08z through around 9 am or so.

Outlook Tuesday through Friday ...

Tuesday: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible.

Tuesday night: mainlyVFR, with areas ifr possible. Chance
shra, tsra likely, patchy br.

Wednesday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Windy with
local gusts to 30 kt. Chance shra, chance tsra, patchy br.

Wednesday night through Friday:VFR.

Marine
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Monday night ... High confidence.

Ne winds through the period. Wind gusts near 25 knots slowly
diminish tonight but 5-6 foot seas linger on the outer waters. A
combination of wind and seas will keep small craft advisory in
effect overnight mainly across the outer waters through Monday,
then, then areal coverage slowly diminishes Monday night.

Spotty light showers sprinkles are possible overnight into
Monday morning, but coverage will be very limited. Mainly good
visibility.

Outlook Tuesday through Friday ...

Tuesday: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Tuesday night: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft. Chance of rain showers, chance of thunderstorms, patchy
fog.

Wednesday: low risk for small craft advisory winds with gusts
up to 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers, chance
of thunderstorms, patchy fog.

Wednesday night: winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas.

Thursday: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft.

Thursday night through Friday: winds less than 25 kt.

Box watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ma... None.

Ri... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt Monday for anz250-256.

Small craft advisory until midnight edt tonight for anz251.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for anz254-255.

Synopsis... Wtb jwd
near term... Evt jwd
short term... Wtb
long term... Jwd
aviation... Wtb evt jwd
marine... Wtb evt jwd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 4 mi62 min NE 19 G 21 68°F 1018 hPa (-0.3)
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 17 mi38 min NNE 7 G 9.9 67°F 69°F1018.3 hPa
FRXM3 18 mi32 min 67°F 66°F
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 19 mi38 min 67°F 79°F1019.1 hPa
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 19 mi32 min 66°F 76°F1017.8 hPa
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 19 mi32 min NNE 9.9 G 14 67°F 1018.5 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 21 mi77 min NE 11 68°F 1019 hPa67°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 21 mi38 min NE 9.9 G 13 67°F 1018.6 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 22 mi38 min NNE 15 G 18 67°F 76°F1018.4 hPa
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 25 mi38 min N 8.9 G 12 67°F 76°F1018.7 hPa
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 28 mi77 min 1.9 68°F 1018 hPa67°F
PVDR1 30 mi32 min N 6 G 8.9 67°F 1019.2 hPa66°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 31 mi38 min NE 5.1 G 11 67°F 74°F1018.2 hPa
44097 - Block Island, RI (154) 34 mi49 min 72°F3 ft
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 39 mi22 min NE 16 G 19 69°F 1017.1 hPa67°F
44090 45 mi32 min 66°F2 ft

Wind History for Newport, RI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport, Newport State Airport, RI15 mi69 minNNE 102.50 miLight Rain Fog/Mist66°F66°F100%1018.1 hPa
New Bedford, New Bedford Regional Airport, MA16 mi69 minNNE 65.00 miFog/Mist66°F66°F100%1018.1 hPa
Marthas Vineyard Airport, MA21 mi69 minNE 96.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist68°F68°F100%1017.2 hPa

Wind History from UUU (wind in knots)
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1 day agoS8S8SW4Calm53S6354SW7SW9
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W3N7NE3S3NE3CalmNE7NE12NE11NE11NE9
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2 days agoS3CalmCalmCalmE5SE4S3S4S5S6S7S9SW9S7S8
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Tide / Current Tables for Westport Harbor Entrance, Massachusetts
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Westport Harbor Entrance
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Mon -- 12:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:57 AM EDT     2.50 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:25 AM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:30 PM EDT     3.04 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:42 PM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.31.92.32.52.31.91.410.80.70.70.91.422.6332.72.21.61.20.90.7

Tide / Current Tables for Westport River Entrance, Massachusetts Current
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Westport River Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:23 AM EDT     2.30 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:41 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:03 AM EDT     -1.96 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 11:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:49 PM EDT     2.13 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:01 PM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:28 PM EDT     -2.08 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.62.22.11-0.5-1.6-2-1.8-1.5-1.1-0.50.211.82.11.40-1.3-2-2-1.7-1.3-0.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.