Monday, November19, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Noxen, PA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 4:42PM Monday November 19, 2018 11:37 AM EST (16:37 UTC) Moonrise 3:07PMMoonset 2:44AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noxen, PA
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location: 41.46, -76     debug

Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 191153
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
653 am est Mon nov 19 2018

A weak boundary moving through northeast pennsylvania will keep
light rain and snow over the area until daybreak. Mainly dry
weather is expected later this morning through early afternoon
before another area of low pressure passes to our south
overnight. This system will spread snow across much of northeast
pennsylvania, the southern tier and western catskills late
today. In the wyoming valley mainly rain is forecast. By
Tuesday morning, 1 to 3 inches of snow is possible especially
in the higher elevations.

Near term through Tuesday
Today tonight... Early this morning a weak boundary moving
through northeast pennsylvania is producing light snow rain.

Radar trends show this activity slowly weakening which should
result in mainly dry conditions by sunrise. Much of the morning
through early afternoon will remain dry but primarily overcast.

A better defined mid level wave and area of low pressure
currently over kentucky will track northeast to southern new
england by Tuesday morning. Forcing and moisture is more
significant with this feature than the one departing the area.

A mix of rain snow will overspread northeast pennsylvania, the
southern tier and western catskills from mid afternoon into the
early evening. Boundary layer temperatures are marginal to
support snow initially but diurnal cooling will change the
precipitation to mainly snow during the evening. In the wyoming
valley mainly rain is expected through most of the event. Snow
totals by Tuesday morning will range from 1 to 3 inches with the
greatest amounts in the higher elevations of delaware and
sullivan counties.

Tuesday... Upper level trough moves through the area with cold
air advection during the afternoon. Scattered snow rain showers
are expected with activity primarily in the form of snow by
afternoon. The highest probability for snow showers will be
southeast of lake ontario where some lake enhancement will

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday
This will be a very cold and winter-like period, with snow
showers around at times.

Tuesday night: west-northwest flow over seasonably cold air will be
over the area behind the departing upper level trough. Conditions
look at least somewhat favorable for lake effect snow showers along
a 290-300 degree flow. Inversion levels and moisture depths reach
between 7.5 to 10k ft agl on the forecast soundings, which is
relatively favorable for lake effect development. Could be looking
at a few inches of snow mainly along and north of the ny thruway
during this period, with minor dustings possible further south
across the rest of central ny from scattered snow showers flurries.

Most of NE pa stays dry under partly cloudy skies... With perhaps
just a stray flurry. Overnight lows range from 20-25 across most of
our forecast area.

Wednesday: will feature the arctic frontal boundary pushing through
the area from north to south midday or afternoon. Temperatures will
fall during the afternoon hours, especially from the twin tiers
north. In this same area there will be a good chance for snow
showers and even snow squalls around... Late morning and into the
afternoon. Forecast soundings show steep low level lapse rates along
with about 50 j kg of CAPE as the arctic boundary pushes through.

Also, well aligned strong, gusty northwest winds between 15-25 mph,
with gusts up to 40 mph within the well mixed boundary layer. All in
all confidence is fairly high that parts of the area will see these
gusty snow squalls move through. Surface temperatures may briefly
reach the lower 30s in the lower elevations during the late morning
hours... Then as the front moves through and brings the associated
snow showers squalls temperatures will fall into the 20s... This will
mean potential for melting initially, then flash-freezing on area
roadways will be possible. Snowfall amounts during the day Wednesday
will range from 1-2" in central ny, with a coating to 1" for NE pa.

This could certainly have an impact on holiday travel... Please be
sure to stay updated on the latest weather forecasts and conditions
if planning to travel Wednesday.

Wednesday night: very cold northwest flow continues over the region
behind the advancing arctic frontal boundary. Guidance is in good
agreement that 850mb temperatures reach -20c, along with 1000-500mb
thicknesses around 510dm. Lake effect snow showers and flurries will
be likely on a 310-330 degree flow through the overnight period,
extending down into the twin tiers of ny pa. Snow accumulations
Wednesday night should mainly be 1-2" from syracuse down to ithaca,
cortland and binghamton... With less than 1" elsewhere. No snow
accumulation is expected down in the wyoming valley region of ne
pa. Near record cold lows between 5 to 15 above zero.

Thanksgiving day: record cold temperatures expected, with northwest
winds 8-15 mph. This will create wind chills between 0 and 10 below
in the morning... Locally 15 below in the higher elevations of our
eastern zones. "high" temperatures for the day reach the
teens... Except perhaps around 20 in the syracuse metro area and the
wyoming valley region in NE pa. This would set record low maxes for
the date at all three of our major climate sites (syr, bgm and avp)
scattered snow showers and flurries continue under a nnw flow off
lake ontario and the finger lakes; accumulations mainly under 1 inch.

Long term Thursday night through Sunday
The extended period begins with very cold temperatures, but
then expect a moderating trend back toward the seasonal average
by the weekend.

Thursday night will feature a strong canadian high overhead, around
1040mb. This will bring light winds and mainly clear skies... I.E.

Ideal radiational cooling conditions. Overnight lows look to be in
the single digits just about everywhere in out cwa... But the locally
colder locations could end up below zero.

Friday starts over frigid but then quickly warms through the day as
warm air advection takes over ahead of the advancing upper level
ridge. There will be a large diurnal range in temperatures, as highs
reach the upper 20s to lower 30s under mostly sunny skies. Mostly
light south winds, 5 to 12 mph. Friday evening starts off cold, with
fairly good conditions for fast radiational cooling. Then,
temperatures may even increase a bit overnight as southerly winds
and cloud cover increases. Late evening lows look to fall between 15-
20 east of i-81, and 20-25 west.

Saturday and Sunday: looks unsettled and wet at this time as a long
wave trough upper level low slowly moves from the great lakes toward
the northeast us. Multiple fronts and waves of low pressure are
progged to move through our area during this timeframe. Could start
off mainly dry for the first half of Saturday, but then chances for
rain increase quickly for the afternoon, evening and overnight hours
as the first frontal system moves through. Expecting mainly rain for
ptype at this time... But cannot rule out a few localized pockets of
freezing rain depending on exact surface temperatures. Conditions
aloft look too warm for any snow concerns in our area through at
least Sunday. Highs should be mainly in the 40s over the weekend,
with overnight lows in the 30s.

Aviation 12z Monday through Friday
Widespread alternate required conditions are occurring across
the terminals early this morning with kelm kbgm near airport
minimums. By mid morning conditions will only improve to
MVFR alternate required across the southern terminals and low
vfr at krme ksyr. Later today a wave will move up from the south
bringing back ifr alternate min conditions in snow to kith kelm kbgm
at kavp alternate required ifr conditions in light rain will
begin around mid afternoon. At krme ksyr, MVFR alternate
required ceilings are forecast after 06z in light snow.

Light and variable winds through the period.


Tuesday through Tuesday night... Restrictions reappear with
chances of snow showers from additional weak waves of low
pressure, followed by lake effect snow showers later Tuesday-
Tuesday night for the ny terminals, especially ksyr- krme.

Wednesday through Wednesday night... Possible snow squalls brief
yet significant restrictions as arctic front slides through the
region, followed by lake effect snow showers and flurries.

Thursday...VFR except for intermittent restrictions from lake
effect flurries ksyr-kith-kelm-kbgm.

Thursday night through Friday...VFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Rrm
near term... Rrm
short term... Djp
long term... Djp
aviation... Rrm

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilkes-Barre - Scranton, Wilkes-Barre / Scranton International Airport, PA17 mi44 minN 02.50 miFog/Mist38°F36°F93%1019.6 hPa

Wind History from AVP (wind in knots)
Last 24hrS3SW4CalmCalmCalm5Calm34CalmCalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW10
2 days agoSW10SW11

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.