Thursday, March30, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lorain, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 7:54PM Thursday March 30, 2017 2:40 AM EDT (06:40 UTC) Moonrise 8:05AMMoonset 10:04PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LEZ145 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- 344 Pm Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east 10 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy this evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 20 knots. Rain showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 20 knots becoming south. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest 10 knots or less. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday. The water temperature off toledo is 36 degrees...off cleveland 38 degrees and off erie 38 degrees.
LEZ145 Expires:201703300215;;275402 FZUS51 KCLE 291944 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 344 PM EDT WED MAR 29 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ144>148-300215-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lorain, OH
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.46, -82.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcle 300534
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
134 am edt Thu mar 30 2017

Synopsis
High pressure north of lake erie will shift to new england on
Thursday. Low pressure will approach from the southern plains on
Thursday and drift east across lake erie on Friday. This system will
move off the east coast Saturday with high pressure expanding across
the local area for the weekend.

Near term /until 6 am this morning/
Based on latest hrrr and radar pix will adjust pops upward enough to
indicate a small chc for shra for areas around leri for a longer
part of the night as well as a small increase for the NW half in
general. Also inched lows up a degree or two due to current temps
and quickly increasing clouds.

Short term /6 am this morning through Saturday night/
Deep upper level trough over the plains will lift into the mid-
mississippi valley on Thursday then across central ohio on Friday. At
the surface, a warm front will lift north into the area on Thursday
with the typical delays expected near lake erie. Kept
temperatures in the 40s at toledo with the front not lifting
north of the lake until Friday. Moisture advection will ramp up
across the area on Thursday and expect a leading band of showers
to lift northeast across the area from mid-morning through late
afternoon. Better chances of rain and increasing chances of
thunderstorms will arrive from the west late in the day with the
approach of a 500mb jet streak. Widespread rain with scattered
thunderstorms expected Thursday night but will have to monitor
to see what role robust convection plays that will develop upstream
across the mississippi and tennessee valley.

Surface low will move into northwest ohio on Friday morning.

Some breaks will start to develop in the showers as drier air
gets wrapped into the system. Diurnally enhanced showers will
likely fill back in during the afternoon. As the low pulls away
to the east, northerly flow will pull the cold front south
behind it with cooler air returning Friday night and Saturday.

Qpf on Thursday and Friday is expected to range from three
quarters of an inch to an inch and a quarter unless moisture
transport gets disrupted by the upstream convection. The
moisture depth becomes shallow by Saturday morning with clouds
scattering out from the north as high pressure builds in.

Long term /Sunday through Wednesday/
Overall upper level pattern still progressive with time. Models
suggest periods of ridging with troughiness moving east across the
lower 48. However, deep trough digging into the pacific northwest
will cause amplification of the ridge in the eastern united states
by mid week.

The forecast area will see transitioning periods of waves of low
pressure alternated with areas of high pressure. So, the current
pattern continues through the early and middle part of next week.

This pattern will still keep the polar jet stream well north of the
area keeping the arctic cold air out of the forecast area for the
time being. Some hints indicate a brief shot of cold air by the end
of the week.

Surface high pressure will exit to the east on Sunday allowing a
southern stream low pressure system to move northeast toward the
area. This system will initially have limited moisture associated
with it but will eventually tap into some gulf moisture by Monday
night and force it north into the area. The low will track east
into the carolinas by Tuesday allowing high pressure to build in
from the north. The high will push east to the mid atlantic coast as
yet another storm system with limited moisture begins to approach
from the west on Wednesday.

Aviation /06z Thursday through Monday/
Ceilings will slowly lower and thicken through the overnight as
a warm front lifts into ohio. MVFR ceilings may arrive across
nw ohio by mid morning with areas of light rain beginning
shortly after. It will take longer for this to occur across the
eastern half of northern ohio into NW pa. Some ifr will be
possible with heavier showers in the morning hours. There may be
a general break in precipitation for several hours this
afternoon, but additional showers and likely a few thunderstorms
will develop and move in from the southwest across all TAF sites
this evening into the overnight hours.

Winds will become east at all locations and increase through
the morning. Winds will become gusty at times beginning later
this morning and continue into the afternoon. Gusts do not
appear that they will exceed the 20 to 25 knot range.

Outlook... Non-vfr continuing into Friday. Non-vfr possible
Sunday night into Monday.

Marine
Winds on the lake will be increasing from the east northeast and it
appears waves will be high enough for the western basin to support
small craft advisory criteria. So, will hoist a small advisory for
the western 2 lake nearshore zones from 2 am tonight through 5 pm on
Thursday. For the rest of the marine nearshore, winds should be
just offshore to prevent waves from reaching 4 feet. So, will not
issue an advisory for this area. Otherwise, winds are expected to
be fairly light through the rest of the forecast period except
Monday. Winds will increase out of the east-northeast Monday and
will likely need another small craft advisory then.

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt this afternoon for lez142-
143.

Synopsis... Kec
near term... Kec
short term... Kec
long term... Lombardy
aviation... Mottice
marine... Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 19 mi56 min NE 6 40°F 1020 hPa36°F
45169 21 mi21 min ESE 14 G 18 40°F 37°F2 ft35°F
45176 22 mi21 min NE 14 G 14 40°F 39°F2 ft36°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 29 mi41 min NE 6 G 8 42°F 1020.6 hPa (+0.0)33°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 30 mi41 min NE 9.9 G 13 40°F 36°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 37 mi41 min NE 11 G 17 42°F 1021.1 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
Last
24hr
W2
NW4
NW2
W2
--
NE1
E2
N4
N5
NE6
NE6
NE7
NE9
NE10
NE9
E6
E4
E7
NE4
E2
E6
G9
NE7
NE8
NE6
1 day
ago
E2
NE2
E2
E6
NE10
NE8
NE6
NE4
NE5
E4
G7
NE1
NW2
W4
W5
W5
W4
NW4
W5
NW10
NE3
NW2
G5
W3
NW4
N4
2 days
ago
SW9
G12
SW8
G11
SW9
G13
SW8
G11
SW7
G11
SW8
G12
SW7
G10
SW7
G10
W8
W3
N1
NW1
W1
--
SE2
E1
E4
NE4
E2
E2
NE3
E3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH8 mi48 minENE 710.00 miOvercast43°F33°F68%1020.6 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH16 mi50 minNNE 410.00 miOvercast46°F33°F61%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
Last 24hrNE5N4N3N5NE5NE4NE4NE66E9E8
G19
NE11
G24
NE14NE11NE13E13E10E10E10E8E6E5NE6NE7
1 day agoCalmN4N4NE11NE11N9N8N9N10N10N12N11N11N11N11N7N6N7N7NE9NE6N6NE7NE5
2 days agoSW7SW9W9W11SW10SW8SW7SW8W11SW9SW10W9W9SW12SW13W7SW5CalmNE5E5NE4E4E3NE5

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (2,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.