Friday, January19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sandusky, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:50AMSunset 5:33PM Friday January 19, 2018 6:29 AM EST (11:29 UTC) Moonrise 9:23AMMoonset 8:08PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 400 Am Est Fri Jan 19 2018
Today..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Sunny. The lake is mostly ice covered.
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Partly cloudy.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of drizzle overnight. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday. The water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees...off cleveland 33 degrees and off erie 32 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201801191500;;671044 FZUS51 KCLE 190900 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 400 AM EST Fri Jan 19 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>149-191500-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sandusky, OH
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location: 41.46, -82.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 191109
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
609 am est Fri jan 19 2018

Synopsis
A large area of high pressure will build east across the southern
united states today and eventually move off the east coast. The
high will extend a ridge north across the local area today through
Sunday. A deepening low pressure will move northeast out of the
oklahoma panhandle to the western great lakes by Monday evening
forcing a cold front east across the local area Monday night. High
pressure will build into the area from the west through the middle
of the week.

Near term through Saturday
No major changes with this update. Just made some minor
adjustments to hourly temperatures. Otherwise, some scattered
high clouds are beginning to stream into the northern portions
of the forecast area at this time. Still should see a lot of sun
today.

Previous discussion...

nearly zonal flow will occur across much of the united states today
and tonight. A digging trough and associated low pressure system
will move east into the western united states tonight and to the
rockies by Sunday. This feature will begin to amplify a broad ridge
over the eastern united states through this forecast period. In
response to the ridging in the east, a surface high pressure will
become the dominant weather feature across the entire eastern united
states through Saturday. As the high moves east across the southern
tier states, a return south to southwest flow will persist through
the period. Mid level warm advection to 10 degrees c is expected by
tonight. However, mid level cooling at 850 mb will drop temperatures
back to around 4 to 6 degrees c tonight with further cooling
Saturday.

The main issue with this forecast will be temperatures. Temperatures
are not expected to be as warm as previously thought in the previous
model runs for Saturday. As 850 mb temperatures cool back down,
temperatures will stay in the 30s for highs. Todays highs will be
warmer than yesterday with the low and mid level warm advection
expected.

Short term Saturday night through Monday night
Shallow moisture advection will continue Saturday night through
Sunday with a prolonged period of southwest flow on the back side of
surface high pressure over the southeastern states. Isentropic
ascent below 4k feet on Saturday night and Sunday will make drizzle
with light QPF amounts the most likely weather type and adjusted the
forecast accordingly. Given the increasing cloud field and low level
moisture, also raised min temperatures a couple degrees on Saturday
night into the lower 30s. Temperatures could dip below freezing in a
few locations early but should come up as any drizzle begins so not
expecting freezing drizzle to be an issue. Although temperatures
will continue to warm on Sunday, the warming will be suppressed by
overcast skies and increasing moisture.

Low pressure is still forecast to track out of the plains on Monday,
continuing northeast across the central great lakes through Tuesday.

The ECMWF remains on the slower side of the model guidance with this
system with the GFS continuing to slow and trend in this direction.

Scattered showers will be on the increase by Sunday night as deeper
moisture and shortwave energy approaches the region in advance of
the upper level low curling northeast out of the plains. Lowered
pops on Monday morning with best chances for rain coming Monday
afternoon into Monday night ahead of the cold front wrapping in from
the west. QPF with this system still appears to be below a half inch
for most areas. Much of the area will be near 50 degrees on Monday
ahead of the front which should melt the remainder of the snow. Have
also slowed down the transition to snow Monday night into Tuesday as
the boundary layer takes some time to cool back down.

Long term Tuesday through Thursday
Upper level low pulls away to the northeast Tuesday night with
another shortwave approaching from the northwest on Wednesday.

Precipitation type will have changed over to all snow by Tuesday
night with snow showers lingering in the snowbelt into Wednesday
before tapering off. The cool down will be short lived with warm
advection and a ridge building in aloft already from Thursday into
Friday.

Aviation 06z Friday through Tuesday
Mainly some high clouds will slide through the area but should
remain thin and scattered. Main issue will be winds at the
surface at 12 to 15 knots with higher gusts expected.

Outlook... Non-vfr Monday through Tuesday.

Marine
Southwest winds of 15-20 knots today will increase to 20-25 knots
overnight as low pressure passes north of the lakes. Southerly winds
will decrease Saturday night into Sunday then increase out of the
southwest late Monday as a cold front wraps in from the southwest.

The flow will finally shift around to the west as low pressure
departs to the east Tuesday night.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lombardy
near term... Lombardy
short term... Kec
long term... Kec
aviation... Lombardy
marine... Kec


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 6 mi42 min SSW 8 G 17 25°F 1017.1 hPa14°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 10 mi30 min SW 11 G 16 24°F 1015.6 hPa (+0.4)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 12 mi105 min SSW 5.1 24°F 1016 hPa12°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 14 mi30 min SSW 14 G 17 24°F 1017.2 hPa (+0.3)
LORO1 27 mi60 min SW 22 G 26 28°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 36 mi40 min SSW 14 G 15 22°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 44 mi42 min SW 7 G 11 24°F 1015.7 hPa13°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Last
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N9
G14
N11
N6
G11
SW7
G15
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G19
SW8
G16
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G20
SW7
G16
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G19
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G14
1 day
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SW6
G11
SW9
G16
N12
G16
N7
N7
SW9
G14
W13
G26
SW10
G15
SW10
G16
SW10
G16
W7
G12
N8
G13
N8
G11
N11
G17
N6
G13
N8
G15
N17
G27
N11
G18
N9
G18
N6
G11
N7
G15
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G18
N7
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NW7
G23
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SW9
G14
SW7
G13
SW6
G10
N8
G12
N12
G37
N9
G14
NW7
G19
N9
G12
SW8
G11
SW6
G13
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G12
SW6
G10
SW7
G13
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G13
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G13
SW5
G13
SW5
G8
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G11
SW7
G11
SW5
G10
SW3
G8
SW4
G8
SW4
G11
SW4
G7

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH29 mi37 minSW 810.00 miFair22°F9°F57%1018.8 hPa

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW12SW13W14W17SW17SW17
G22
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G24
SW17SW14SW17SW15SW14
G23
SW17SW18SW17SW17SW14SW15SW15SW13SW15SW16
G25
SW12SW8
1 day agoSW8SW6SW8SW7SW8W9W10W12--SW9SW12SW13SW12SW12W13SW11SW14--SW14SW15SW18W19
G24
SW20
G26
W13
2 days agoW11W8SW8SW9W11SW13W11W11W11W9W10W8W8W7W7SW7W9SW8SW7SW7SW7SW8SW9W7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.