Tuesday, November13, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rocky River, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:10PM Tuesday November 13, 2018 1:28 AM EST (06:28 UTC) Moonrise 12:25PMMoonset 10:14PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 333 Pm Est Mon Nov 12 2018
Tonight..Light and variable winds becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. Rain and snow after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Rain and snow. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. A chance of snow and rain showers in the evening, then a chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday. The water temperature off toledo is 40 degrees, off cleveland 50 degrees and off erie 48 degrees.
LEZ146 Expires:201811130315;;206593 FZUS51 KCLE 122033 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 333 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ146>149-130315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rocky River, OH
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location: 41.48, -81.85     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 130618
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
118 am est Tue nov 13 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure over the northern gulf coast will move northeast
to the coast of new jersey by Tuesday morning. High pressure to
the lee of the rockies will build east toward the local area
extending a ridge east over the region Tuesday afternoon through
Tuesday night. High pressure will develop over the region
Wednesday and move northeast to maine by Wednesday night.

Another area of low pressure will develop over florida and move
northeast along the coast to maine by the end of the work week.

Near term through today
A lot of dry air to overcome across the area to get the
precipitation to reach the surface. Made some adjustments to
pops across the area to account for lack of precipitation at
this time. Clouds will persist through the rest of the night and
made a few adjustments to temperatures.

Original...

another round of light snow and snow showers is on the way for
northern ohio into northwest pennsylvania. A sharp upper level
trough is moving through the great lakes region over the next
24 hours. A surface cold front is moving westward across the
midwest will be pushing through northern ohio late tonight and
Tuesday morning.

Models have back off somewhat on moisture availability with the
synoptic system moving overhead tonight and early on Tuesday.

The light QPF will be favoring areas of northwest ohio and areas
of east central ohio. We are seeing radar echoes slowly filling
in and developing but this precipitation is initially fighting
some dry area closer to the surface with dewpoint depressions a
little high at this time. Eventually by mid to late evening, we
will see light precip begin to reach the ground in the form of
light rain or rain snow mix changing to all snow as the night
goes along. We will mention the possibility of a dusting to up
to 1 inch of snowfall area wide tonight into Tuesday morning
with the best chance of an inch will be northwest ohio near the
toledo area and across the snowbelt region.

The synoptic system pulls away during the day on Tuesday with
northwest winds ushering in colder air. Lake effect clouds and
scattered snow showers will be a common theme for Tuesday
especially for the snowbelt areas. The high-res models show lake
effect snow bands organizing and impacting far northeast ohio
into northwest pennsylvania tomorrow afternoon through early on
Wednesday. Additional 3 to 6 inches will be possible for these
areas under the persistent bands. We will likely need a winter
weather advisory for later tomorrow into tomorrow night and will
allow the overnight shift to take a closer look at the timing,
locations, and fine tune the amounts. Otherwise cold weather
Tuesday with highs only in the 30s and much colder for Tuesday
night with lows in the lower to middle 20s.

Short term tonight through Thursday night
Could see some lingering snow showers in the snowbelt Wednesday
morning, with the 850mb temps still around -12c. But much drier air
pushes in quickly as a large area of high pressure moves into the
lower lakes. The high will slide east across the lower lakes and
move off the new england coast early Thursday. Although models
differ some on the exact track and timing of the next system, the
trends are the same. A coastal low will track up the east coast
with a weak low or trough lifting north across the forecast area
late Thursday into Thursday night. Precip will likely start as a mix
then transition to snow Thursday evening night. Snow gradually ends
Friday as high pressure moves into the upper ohio valley lower
lakes.

Long term Friday through Monday
The progressive pattern continues into the long term forecast. The
high over the lower lakes sags SE allowing a clipper like system to
track across the great lakes Saturday. Although low stays north of
forecast area does drag another weak cold front across the area.

Timing of the front still in doubt. GFS moves the front through
Saturday while the ECMWF holds off until Saturday evening. After
that another area of high pressure tracks east across the lower
lakes, giving us a couple of days of dry conditions.

Aviation 06z Tuesday through Saturday
Air mass over the local area is pretty dry in the lower levels
and this will limit precipitation threat across the area
overnight. Pulled back a bit on the precipitation during the
overnight hours and morning. Low ceilings continue to be
troublesome at toledo and findlay while the eastern sites are
stillVFR at this time. As low pressure system pulls out to the
northeast, the low will pull some of the lower ceilings east
into the rest of the forecast area. As the synoptic
precipitation pulls out to the northeast, lake effect will
develop across northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania later
today and continue into Wednesday morning. Drier air will begin
to push into the region Wednesday and bring an end to the
lake effect snow. Winds will be increasing through the day as
high pressure builds east toward the area.

Outlook... Non-vfr through Wednesday northeast ohio and
northwest pennsylvania. Non-vfr possible again Thursday night
and Friday.

Marine
Winds turn to the NW tonight as a weak cold front pushes across the
lake. A small craft advisory will be needed Tuesday as the
winds increase to 15 to 25 knots as a coastal low tracks NE off
the mid atlantic coast. Small craft will likely continue into
Wednesday, when coastal low tracks into nova scotia and high
pressure builds across the lower lakes. Another small craft
advisory likely Thursday as second coastal low tracks NE along
the mid atlantic coast.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Griffin
near term... Griffin lombardy
short term... Djb
long term... Djb
aviation... Lombardy
marine... Djb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 12 mi46 min S 1.9 G 2.9 37°F 50°F1021.5 hPa24°F
LORO1 18 mi58 min N 12 G 15 40°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 32 mi38 min NNW 12 G 14 38°F 1 ft1022.3 hPa35°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 36 mi40 min SW 5.1 G 6 36°F 40°F1021.5 hPa27°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 37 mi28 min N 8 G 12 38°F 1020 hPa (-1.7)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 47 mi46 min NNW 8.9 G 9.9 37°F 44°F1022.7 hPa34°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH4 mi37 minSW 310.00 miOvercast36°F28°F73%1022.6 hPa
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH9 mi35 minN 010.00 miOvercast39°F24°F55%1021.6 hPa
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH20 mi35 minNNW 410.00 miOvercast34°F25°F70%1022.2 hPa
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH21 mi2.7 hrsS 620.00 miOvercast36°F26°F70%1023 hPa

Wind History from CLE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3S4S4CalmS3CalmCalmCalmSE6S5W3W4CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3S5SW4CalmSW3SW3
1 day agoSW6SW7SW7SW5S5S5S5S8S8S7S6SW10S9S9SW9SW7S5S4S3S4S3S5S4S5
2 days agoSW18W19W18
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.