Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lakewood, OH
April 28, 2024 7:58 AM EDT (11:58 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:25 AM Sunset 8:23 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 8:12 AM |
LEZ146 Expires:202404281415;;510764 Fzus51 Kcle 280742 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 342 am edt Sun apr 28 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145>147-281415- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh- 342 am edt Sun apr 28 2024
Today - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms this morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms early this afternoon. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clearing. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday - South winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers with a chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday.
the water temperature off toledo is 53 degrees, off cleveland 49 degrees, and off erie 49 degrees.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 342 am edt Sun apr 28 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145>147-281415- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh- 342 am edt Sun apr 28 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday.
the water temperature off toledo is 53 degrees, off cleveland 49 degrees, and off erie 49 degrees.
LEZ100
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 281031 AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 631 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024
12z TAF Aviation and Near Term Forecast Update
SYNOPSIS
Our region will be near the top edge of a large upper level ridge of high pressure that is centered over the southeastern U.S. today and Monday. An area of low pressure over the Central Plains will move northeast into the Upper Midwest Monday. A weak front will move east across the region Monday night into Tuesday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
630 am update...
We adjusted hourly POPs just a tad downward from now through the afternoon hours. The original forecast guidance and hourly POPs seemed just a little overdone and nudge them downward between 20 and 40 percent for areas near the lakeshore into far NEOH and NWPA. We think areas south of the Ohio Turnpike will remain rain free for the rest of today and have taken out the POPs.
Otherwise, we are already starting out warm and on our way to the lower and maybe a few mid 80s this afternoon.
Previous discussion...
The main weather story for this near term forecast discussion will be the very warm weather today and tomorrow. Temperatures will be feeling more like early July than late April today and Monday with some climate locations potentially within a few degrees of record high temps. We have added a climate section at the bottom of this discussion with the current record high temperatures and associated years.
Strong warm air advection continues this morning and will through Monday. Temperatures are starting off the 60s and a few locations still near 70 degrees at this very early morning hour. Our area is near the top of a large upper level ridge of high pressure that is centered near the Southeast CONUS. We have some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms on radar this morning near northwest Ohio and the Lake Erie Islands. This convection is mainly driven by a weak mid level disturbance that is riding up and over that upper level ridge.
As the early morning hours goes along, that area of showers and isolated thunder should expand eastward for areas near the lakeshore and eventually over towards far NEOH and NWPA later this morning. We have kept the POPs between 30 and 50 percent through midday for the lakeshore into far NEOH and NWPA. The POPs will decrease from west to east over NEOH/NWPA this afternoon. As for high temperatures, we added a degree or two on top of guidance for this afternoon. With partly cloudy skies and a low level flow from the south-southwest, we should easily top out in the lower 80s for most of northern Ohio and upper 70s for NWPA. Tonight's temperatures will stay on the warm side with low temps back into the low to mid 60s.
The same storm system that brought all the very bad weather and severe storms across the Central Plains region this weekend will weaken as it tracks through the Upper Midwest and western Great Lakes region Monday. An upper level trough will swing through the Upper Midwest and western Great Lakes region Monday. An area of low pressure and trailing weak front will move through the southern Great Lakes and Upper Ohio Valley regions late Monday. Ahead of this advancing weather system, we will see another very warm day Monday with high temperatures reaching the lower to middle 80s. Again, we added a degree or two on top of forecast guidance given the very warm air advection. A few climate locations will be within the daily record high temperature Monday afternoon. See the climate section in this discussion for that info.
Most of Monday will be dry until late afternoon when the weak front moves into western Ohio. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will become likely late Monday afternoon into the evening. The thermodynamics with this system will be on the weaker side. MLCAPE values will be up to 1000 J/kg and lapse rates will be relatively weak as well. Bulk shear values will be around 35 knots. Given the forecast environment, a couple stronger storms may be possible but overall it doesn't seem to be a very setup for organized convection at this time.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
An upper trough cutting through the Northwest Great Lakes will support a cold front across the area on Monday night into Tuesday.
The front will support a window for showers and thunderstorms across the forecast area and have continued a window of categorical PoPs ahead of this feature. The front will exit to the southeast during the daytime hours on Tuesday and have PoPs trending down with the departure of the system. An upper ridge will develop behind the upper trough and support a brief window of surface high pressure across the region on Tuesday night into Wednesday and have a dry forecast. The surface high will move east and return flow across the region will allow for warm advection and additional moisture to enter. This will give a window for some isolated showers to return Wednesday night, but the main window for rain will be in the long term forecast period below. Temperatures for the period will be warm for the end of April and start of May. Warm air advection behind the high pressure on Wednesday will be supportive of 80 degree highs to return.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The forecast for the end of the week will return to unsettled as an upper trough will dig into the central CONUS and support a low pressure system that will move toward the Great Lakes region for Friday and extend a cold front across the region early Saturday.
Rain chances will increase on Thursday as the warm front ahead of the system will bring some extra moisture, which may allow for some shower and isolated storm activity. The main window for convection appears to be Friday ahead of the cold front as the upper trough becomes negatively tilted across the Great Lakes and there will be the best widespread lift for convection. Have Friday afternoon with likely PoPs to reflect this. The cold front will move through the region during the first half of Saturday and have PoPs trending down with the frontal passage. There are still some timing differences among the strength and trajectory of the upper trough that will dictate the late week weather, so PoPs are a bit more broadbrushed then what will be expected later in the week. Temperatures will start warm in the 80s but likely return toward normal on Saturday in the 60s with the cold frontal passage.
AVIATION /12Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/
VFR conditions are expected to continue for this set of TAFs.
The only exception may be for ERI this morning with a TEMPO group between 13z and 16z due to scattered rain showers that may briefly bring MVFR visibility at the airfield. There could be an isolated thunderstorm near ERI today but the overall potential and exact timing was not great enough to mention in the TAF with this update. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy today into tonight with VFR ceilings for all sites.
Winds will continue from the south or southwest 10 to 15 knots through the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 to 25 knots will be possible after 15z this morning through the afternoon as well.
winds will decrease to 10 knots or less after sunset this evening.
Outlook...Non-VFR possible in isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms on Monday. Non-VFR is most likely in showers and thunderstorms Monday night into Tuesday with a cold front.
MARINE
Southwest flow will continue across Lake Erie today but high pressure reestablishing itself from the east will allow for the pressure gradient to weaken and winds to diminish through the day.
The surface high will be pushed east on Monday by a cold front that will clear the lake late Monday into Tuesday. Prior to the frontal approach, there may be a window for a modified lake breeze off Erie, PA and Ashtabula for some onshore flow. Once the front approaches, southwest flow will return. Winds will veer slightly to the west behind the front on Tuesday but the wind field appears unimpressive at this time. High pressure will return for Wednesday and southerly flow will return over the lake. A warm front will cross the lake on Thursday and allow for more southeasterly flow to be favored and winds may marginally increase. At this time, no marine weather headlines are expected.
CLIMATE
Forecast high temperatures today and Monday may be within a few degrees of the daily record maximums for some climate locations. Here are the current record high temperatures for Sunday, April 28th and Monday, April 29th.
April 28th April 29th Record/Year Record/Year Cleveland 88/1986 84/1899 Toledo 84/1990 87/1899 Erie 89/1990 82/1899 Youngstown 87/1986/1990 85/1942 Canton-Akron 88/1986 84/1888 Mansfield 83/1986 81/1942
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 631 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024
12z TAF Aviation and Near Term Forecast Update
SYNOPSIS
Our region will be near the top edge of a large upper level ridge of high pressure that is centered over the southeastern U.S. today and Monday. An area of low pressure over the Central Plains will move northeast into the Upper Midwest Monday. A weak front will move east across the region Monday night into Tuesday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
630 am update...
We adjusted hourly POPs just a tad downward from now through the afternoon hours. The original forecast guidance and hourly POPs seemed just a little overdone and nudge them downward between 20 and 40 percent for areas near the lakeshore into far NEOH and NWPA. We think areas south of the Ohio Turnpike will remain rain free for the rest of today and have taken out the POPs.
Otherwise, we are already starting out warm and on our way to the lower and maybe a few mid 80s this afternoon.
Previous discussion...
The main weather story for this near term forecast discussion will be the very warm weather today and tomorrow. Temperatures will be feeling more like early July than late April today and Monday with some climate locations potentially within a few degrees of record high temps. We have added a climate section at the bottom of this discussion with the current record high temperatures and associated years.
Strong warm air advection continues this morning and will through Monday. Temperatures are starting off the 60s and a few locations still near 70 degrees at this very early morning hour. Our area is near the top of a large upper level ridge of high pressure that is centered near the Southeast CONUS. We have some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms on radar this morning near northwest Ohio and the Lake Erie Islands. This convection is mainly driven by a weak mid level disturbance that is riding up and over that upper level ridge.
As the early morning hours goes along, that area of showers and isolated thunder should expand eastward for areas near the lakeshore and eventually over towards far NEOH and NWPA later this morning. We have kept the POPs between 30 and 50 percent through midday for the lakeshore into far NEOH and NWPA. The POPs will decrease from west to east over NEOH/NWPA this afternoon. As for high temperatures, we added a degree or two on top of guidance for this afternoon. With partly cloudy skies and a low level flow from the south-southwest, we should easily top out in the lower 80s for most of northern Ohio and upper 70s for NWPA. Tonight's temperatures will stay on the warm side with low temps back into the low to mid 60s.
The same storm system that brought all the very bad weather and severe storms across the Central Plains region this weekend will weaken as it tracks through the Upper Midwest and western Great Lakes region Monday. An upper level trough will swing through the Upper Midwest and western Great Lakes region Monday. An area of low pressure and trailing weak front will move through the southern Great Lakes and Upper Ohio Valley regions late Monday. Ahead of this advancing weather system, we will see another very warm day Monday with high temperatures reaching the lower to middle 80s. Again, we added a degree or two on top of forecast guidance given the very warm air advection. A few climate locations will be within the daily record high temperature Monday afternoon. See the climate section in this discussion for that info.
Most of Monday will be dry until late afternoon when the weak front moves into western Ohio. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will become likely late Monday afternoon into the evening. The thermodynamics with this system will be on the weaker side. MLCAPE values will be up to 1000 J/kg and lapse rates will be relatively weak as well. Bulk shear values will be around 35 knots. Given the forecast environment, a couple stronger storms may be possible but overall it doesn't seem to be a very setup for organized convection at this time.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
An upper trough cutting through the Northwest Great Lakes will support a cold front across the area on Monday night into Tuesday.
The front will support a window for showers and thunderstorms across the forecast area and have continued a window of categorical PoPs ahead of this feature. The front will exit to the southeast during the daytime hours on Tuesday and have PoPs trending down with the departure of the system. An upper ridge will develop behind the upper trough and support a brief window of surface high pressure across the region on Tuesday night into Wednesday and have a dry forecast. The surface high will move east and return flow across the region will allow for warm advection and additional moisture to enter. This will give a window for some isolated showers to return Wednesday night, but the main window for rain will be in the long term forecast period below. Temperatures for the period will be warm for the end of April and start of May. Warm air advection behind the high pressure on Wednesday will be supportive of 80 degree highs to return.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The forecast for the end of the week will return to unsettled as an upper trough will dig into the central CONUS and support a low pressure system that will move toward the Great Lakes region for Friday and extend a cold front across the region early Saturday.
Rain chances will increase on Thursday as the warm front ahead of the system will bring some extra moisture, which may allow for some shower and isolated storm activity. The main window for convection appears to be Friday ahead of the cold front as the upper trough becomes negatively tilted across the Great Lakes and there will be the best widespread lift for convection. Have Friday afternoon with likely PoPs to reflect this. The cold front will move through the region during the first half of Saturday and have PoPs trending down with the frontal passage. There are still some timing differences among the strength and trajectory of the upper trough that will dictate the late week weather, so PoPs are a bit more broadbrushed then what will be expected later in the week. Temperatures will start warm in the 80s but likely return toward normal on Saturday in the 60s with the cold frontal passage.
AVIATION /12Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/
VFR conditions are expected to continue for this set of TAFs.
The only exception may be for ERI this morning with a TEMPO group between 13z and 16z due to scattered rain showers that may briefly bring MVFR visibility at the airfield. There could be an isolated thunderstorm near ERI today but the overall potential and exact timing was not great enough to mention in the TAF with this update. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy today into tonight with VFR ceilings for all sites.
Winds will continue from the south or southwest 10 to 15 knots through the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 to 25 knots will be possible after 15z this morning through the afternoon as well.
winds will decrease to 10 knots or less after sunset this evening.
Outlook...Non-VFR possible in isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms on Monday. Non-VFR is most likely in showers and thunderstorms Monday night into Tuesday with a cold front.
MARINE
Southwest flow will continue across Lake Erie today but high pressure reestablishing itself from the east will allow for the pressure gradient to weaken and winds to diminish through the day.
The surface high will be pushed east on Monday by a cold front that will clear the lake late Monday into Tuesday. Prior to the frontal approach, there may be a window for a modified lake breeze off Erie, PA and Ashtabula for some onshore flow. Once the front approaches, southwest flow will return. Winds will veer slightly to the west behind the front on Tuesday but the wind field appears unimpressive at this time. High pressure will return for Wednesday and southerly flow will return over the lake. A warm front will cross the lake on Thursday and allow for more southeasterly flow to be favored and winds may marginally increase. At this time, no marine weather headlines are expected.
CLIMATE
Forecast high temperatures today and Monday may be within a few degrees of the daily record maximums for some climate locations. Here are the current record high temperatures for Sunday, April 28th and Monday, April 29th.
April 28th April 29th Record/Year Record/Year Cleveland 88/1986 84/1899 Toledo 84/1990 87/1899 Erie 89/1990 82/1899 Youngstown 87/1986/1990 85/1942 Canton-Akron 88/1986 84/1888 Mansfield 83/1986 81/1942
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH | 7 mi | 58 min | SSW 5.1G | 53°F | 30.03 | |||
| LORO1 | 23 mi | 88 min | SW 11G | 69°F | ||||
| FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH | 31 mi | 58 min | SSW 12G | 56°F | 30.02 | |||
| 45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH | 36 mi | 48 min | SW 3.9G | 56°F | 49°F | 30.06 | 53°F | |
| 45203 | 41 mi | 38 min | WSW 12G | 66°F | 54°F | 0 ft | 57°F | |
| OWMO1 | 41 mi | 58 min | SW 8.9 | 67°F | 55°F | |||
| OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH | 41 mi | 73 min | SW 2.9 | 66°F | 30.06 | 57°F | ||
| HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH | 42 mi | 58 min | SW 9.9G | 67°F | 30.01 | |||
| GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH | 48 mi | 88 min | SSW 5.1G |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBKL BURKE LAKEFRONT,OH | 4 sm | 65 min | S 08 | 10 sm | Overcast | 72°F | 57°F | 60% | 30.06 | |
| KCLE CLEVELANDHOPKINS INTL,OH | 8 sm | 67 min | SSW 10 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 68°F | 55°F | 64% | 30.06 | |
| KCGF CUYAHOGA COUNTY,OH | 15 sm | 73 min | SW 07 | 10 sm | Overcast | 68°F | 57°F | 68% | 30.09 | |
| KLNN LAKE COUNTY EXECUTIVE,OH | 23 sm | 23 min | SW 08 | 10 sm | Overcast | 68°F | 55°F | 64% | 30.09 |
Cleveland, OH,
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