Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bay View, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 7:55PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 1:22 AM EDT (05:22 UTC) Moonrise 7:30AMMoonset 8:55PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ143 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 355 Pm Edt Tue Mar 28 2017
Tonight..North winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east 10 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 20 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. A small craft advisory may be needed. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 40 degrees...off cleveland 39 degrees and off erie 38 degrees.
LEZ143 Expires:201703290215;;224696 FZUS51 KCLE 281955 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 355 PM EDT TUE MAR 28 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ142>146-290215-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay View, OH
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location: 41.52, -82.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 290141
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
941 pm edt Tue mar 28 2017

Synopsis
A ridge of high pressure will build east across the great lakes
through Wednesday night. A low pressure system will move from
missouri to lake erie by Friday and to the delaware coast by
Saturday morning. Another ridge of high pressure will build east
across the area Sunday and to the east coast by Monday. The
next area of low pressure will cross the ohio valley Monday
night into Tuesday.

Near term /until 6 am Wednesday morning/
Clearing line moving into NW oh with another hole over north
central ohio. Flow off of lake erie has been enough to keep
cloud cover thickest across NE oh into NW pa. As winds become ne
it appears some low clouds or fog may fill back in across NW oh.

Confidence is not all that high that the clouds will reform but
something to watch through sunrise.

Only minor changes have been made to the cloud cover and
temperature forecasts to reflect current trends. Lows should be
into the 30s for all locations. A few lower 30s will be possible
where it clears.

Short term /6 am Wednesday morning through Friday night/
Models are still struggling to come into agreement over the next
few days. The GFS is still the most aggressive with the moisture
and timing of the precipitation over the last several runs. The
gfs brings the precipitation well into the area during the day
Thursday while the rest of the models hold off until late
afternoon Thursday into Thursday night. Will lean in the
direction of the slower timing and areal coverage and keep at
chance of precipitation Thursday afternoon in the west and the
bulk of the precipitation later Thursday night.

Low pulls out to the east Friday and pulls the precipitation to
the east with it by Friday night.

Temperatures are expected to be on the increase through Friday
as warm air advection takes place in advance of the low pressure
system. Question is, how warm will it get in advance of the low
Friday. If dry slot wraps in like some models suggest, then
there is the possibility that I may be under cutting
temperatures for highs.

Cold air advection takes place Friday night in the wake of the
low pressure system as lows drop back into the 30s.

Long term /Saturday through Tuesday/
High pressure will build over the area behind the departing system
on Saturday. Cool northerly flow off the lake will keep temperatures
in the upper 40s and lower 50s with low clouds trying to clear out
through the day. Despite some increase in high cloud on Sunday,
better insolation should allow for a warming trend to develop.

Locations near lake erie may struggle to get out of the 40s with
continued east/northeast flow but most inland areas should push
into the mid and upper 50s.

Upper level ridge expands over the area on Sunday with another upper
level low moving out of the plains across the lower to mid
mississippi valley into Monday. Based on the current model
tracks, moisture should increase across the region on Monday
with chances of showers continuing into Tuesday. Will wait for
higher confidence in track before going with anything more than
just a chance of rain.

Aviation /00z Wednesday through Sunday/
Low level moisture is trapped over the region as high pressure
builds into the region at the surface and aloft. Believe most
locations will remain MVFR through the night. There will be
areas of ifr across inland TAF sites. If northern areas can
clear at all overnight we will need to monitor for some fog.

Current thinking is that the opportunity for fog will be small
as northeast winds begin to increase overnight. However will
monitor NW oh closely with low level moisture off of lake erie
possibly assisting with fog development. This will all hinge on
the amount of clearing that can drift into that region later
tonight.

Winds will become northeasterly for all locations overnight
with speeds increasing to around 10 knots toward sunrise.

Outlook... Non-vfr developing Thursday and continuing into
Friday. Non-vfr possible through Saturday morning NE oh and nw
pa.

Marine
High pressure will expand across the eastern great lakes through
Wednesday maintaining northeast winds of 5 to 15 knots on lake
erie. Easterly winds will increase on the lake on Thursday as
the gradient tightens between high pressure over eastern canada
and low pressure approaching from the plains. Easterly winds are
expected to reach 20 to 25 knots on Thursday and a small craft
advisory will likely be needed on the western basin into
Thursday night when winds veer to the south. The low pressure
system will make slow eastward progress across northern ohio on
Friday, pulling a cold front south across the lake in its wake.

Northerly winds are not expected to be much more than 15 knots
with the front but the onshore flow will lead to choppy
conditions in the nearshore waters. High pressure will build
across the lake over the weekend.

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lombardy
near term... Mullen
short term... Lombardy
long term... Kec
aviation... Mullen
marine... Kec


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 7 mi52 min N 11 G 12 39°F 35°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 8 mi82 min NE 5.1 G 8 38°F 1023.6 hPa (+1.8)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 21 mi97 min N 1 38°F 1023 hPa34°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 28 mi82 min NNE 7 G 8.9 39°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 35 mi52 min ENE 6 G 8 41°F 1022.6 hPa35°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH33 mi29 minE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy37°F35°F93%1023.9 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE7NE6NE10
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NE7NE9NE8NE8NE7N10N7N4NE6NE6NE5NE4NE4E5E3CalmN3NE6E5E3
1 day agoSW7SW7SW8SW8SW8SW7SW8SW7W8SW10SW9W6SW6S10SW9SW8W3SW3CalmCalmCalmE3NE4NE3
2 days agoNE8NE8
G16
NE7NE6N6NE8NE7NE8SE7E4NE5E55E6NE5NE5NE5N3E3W7CalmSE5S6S6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.