Friday, March24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bratenahl, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 7:45PM Friday March 24, 2017 2:02 AM EDT (06:02 UTC) Moonrise 4:25AMMoonset 3:05PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 943 Pm Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. A chance of rain showers after midnight. Rain showers likely late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..South winds 10 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A chance of rain showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 20 knots diminishing to around 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. A chance of showers in the morning...then showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday. The water temperature off toledo is 35 degrees...off cleveland 36 degrees and off erie 35 degrees.
LEZ146 Expires:201703240815;;979377 FZUS51 KCLE 240143 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 943 PM EDT THU MAR 23 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ145>149-240815-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bratenahl, OH
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location: 41.56, -81.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 240538
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
138 am edt Fri mar 24 2017

Synopsis
High pressure along the east coast will move off the coast
tonight. A warm front over the midwest will lift north of the
area Friday morning. Weakening low pressure will track across
the great lakes this weekend.

Near term /until 6 am this morning/
Dew points away from lake erie continue to be quite low. Really
impressive push of warm advection pivoting across the western
great lakes and moving east tonight. The low level jet is
progged to increase and approach 50 knots near NW oh by
daybreak. The zone of most impressive isentropic ascent will
move quickly across the forecast area later tonight and early
Friday morning. There are scattered showers throughout this zone
crossing indiana. This showers have to overcome the dry
boundary layer but the bigger drops will survive the fall from
mid levels. Better chance for measurable showers north where the
condensation pressure deficits are less. Lightning has been a
little more regular than I originally thought in indiana and
will mention it for the toledo area. Cannot rule out a lightning
flash or two elsewhere but not as good a chance farther east
out ahead of the low level jet.

Temperatures aloft will warm as fast or faster than at the
surface so no real risk of frozen precip. Low temperatures will
likely be realized the first half of the night then temps will
rise with the south wind and increasing clouds. Surface temps
should be above freezing by the time the showers reach northwest
pa before daybreak. Made minor temperature and dew point
adjustments tonight based on current trends and slight
adjustments to speed up the arrival and departure of the
showers.

Short term /6 am this morning through Sunday night/
Spring like weather will return to the area. The next 36 hours
or so should be dry as the surface baroclinic zones moves off
well to the north. Will begin to bring in precip chances on
Saturday but even then the southeast end of the area could
remain dry well into Saturday night. Will eventually need high
precip chances late Saturday night through Sunday. By that time
surface dewpoints will be well into the 50s. There could be some
thunder on Sunday ahead of an approaching cold front. Already
had a mention in the forecast and that seems reasonable. It
should start to dry out from southwest to northeast on Sunday
night but the evening hours should be wet... Especially in the
east.

Temps will be tricky during the period and depend quite a bit on
how much precip develops on Saturday. Readings could make a run
toward the upper 60s in the east... Especially if there are a few
peaks on sunshine.

Long term /Monday through Thursday/
Active weather pattern with a period of above normal temperatures
expected in the long term period. Low pressure is expected to be
centered over the eastern great lakes by Monday morning, exiting the
region. A few lingering showers are possible, especially across the
eastern part of the forecast area, with slight chance/chance pops
reflected in the forecast. Another phasing low will track into the
great lakes/ohio valley region Monday night through Tuesday with
another shot of rain by Monday night, reflected in the grids with
high chance/likely pops. High pressure will settle southeast across
the great lakes by Tuesday night, with generally dry conditions
expected as the associated cold front from the mon. Night/tue. Low
get shunted south along the ohio river. This is expected to bring
dry conditions to the region from Wednesday through Thursday. Precip
chances will increase again just beyond the forecast period as low
pressure moves out of the plains into the region by next
Friday/Saturday. Above normal temps in the upper 50s/low 60s
expected Monday and Tuesday, with a slight cool down to near
normal temps in the upper 40s to mid 50s for Wednesday and
Thursday.

Aviation /06z Friday through Tuesday/
A warm front will begin to lift north across the area this
morning while an upper level feature slides east along the warm
frontal boundary. Showers will move east with the upper level
feature early this morning and then end by day break. Ceilings
should remainVFR through the duration of the rainfall. Main
issue will be the development of wind shear between 1500 and
2000 feet and winds increase to 45 to 50 knots along the warm
front. Once warm front lifts north, stronger winds will mix down
to the surface ending threat for wind shear this morning. As
upper level feature moves east and warm front lifts north, we
should see improving ceilings to 25000 feet. Then, another shot
of low level moisture will push east over the area tonight
dropping ceilings down to around 2500 feet. Winds will diminish
tonight.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr Saturday and Sunday. NonVFR
possible again Monday night and Tuesday.

Marine
Lake is expected to be relatively quiet through Thursday night and
then begin to increase in intensity from the south to southwest
through Friday. Flow suggests winds will keep highest waves away
from the nearshore waters to avoid small craft advisories at this
time. Winds diminish to light southerly over the weekend but begin
to increase slightly again Saturday night as a backdoor cold front
begins to push south across the lake. Cold front will stall over the
lake and lift north as a warm front Sunday but winds remain light
through Monday.

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Kosarik
near term... Kosarik
short term... Kubina
long term... Greenawalt
aviation... Lombardy
marine... Greenawalt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 2 mi45 min SSE 5.1 G 9.9 46°F 1021.5 hPa4°F
45169 12 mi33 min SW 7.8 G 9.7 40°F 35°F2 ft26°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 22 mi45 min S 17 G 21 47°F 1021.6 hPa11°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 39 mi61 min SSE 11 G 16 44°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 49 mi78 min SSE 2.9 47°F 1022 hPa14°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH5 mi70 minSSE 1510.00 miOvercast46°F8°F21%1022.5 hPa
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH7 mi3.3 hrsS 810.00 miMostly Cloudy45°F8°F23%1024.4 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH16 mi72 minSSE 910.00 miOvercast47°F10°F22%1023.7 hPa

Wind History from BKL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4SE4CalmSE5SE5SE4SE9SE7SE7SE9SE8
G15
N12N11NE12NE11N8S10SE6SE6SE10
G15
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1 day agoN24
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N11N12N7N9N8NW7NW4CalmCalmCalmN7CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW3N3CalmCalmW5SW5CalmSW5W8W8W8W8W6CalmW6W7W11W7N18
G25
N14N18NW18N23
G28
N21
G27

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.