Thursday, January18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lakeside, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:51AMSunset 5:31PM Thursday January 18, 2018 12:45 AM EST (05:45 UTC) Moonrise 8:49AMMoonset 7:10PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ143 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 928 Pm Est Wed Jan 17 2018
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly clear. The lake is mostly ice covered.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday. The water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees...off cleveland 33 degrees and off erie 32 degrees.
LEZ143 Expires:201801180345;;611482 FZUS51 KCLE 180228 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 928 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>149-180345-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lakeside, OH
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location: 41.57, -82.79     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 180105
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
805 pm est Wed jan 17 2018

Synopsis High pressure will continue pushing up the ohio valley
tonight then settle over the southeast third of the country through
Sunday. A low will move out of the southern plains Sunday night and
move across the great lakes Tuesday.

Near term through Thursday night
Mainly SW winds should keep the lake effect snow showers out over
the lake tonight. Cloud cover running lower than expected so have
adjusted forecast to show less cloudiness rest of the night. This
means temps will be lower but winds also lighter which should offset
each other as far as wind chill readings are concerned.

Otherwise... Upper level high pressure from the plains is
expected to build east across the area over the next 24 to at
least 36 hours resulting in a warming trend across the region.

Temperatures tomorrow are expected to be around 10 degrees
warmer compared to this afternoon... But still between 3 and 5
degrees below normal.

Snow showers are forecast to develop Thursday evening and continue
into at least Friday morning but should remain confined to erie
county pa.

Short term Friday through Saturday night
A brief pattern change is taking shape across the lower 48 but
albeit brief. Upper level flow appears to be shaping up for a more
zonal flow during the weekend. Another upper level trough will dive
into the western united states by Sunday and will help to build a
ridge over the eastern united states into early next week. So, this
means a return to milder temperatures and a bit of a thaw in late
january.

The dominating weather feature will be a large area of high pressure
that will settle into the southeastern united states by Thursday and
move slowly off the east coast over the weekend. The surface high
will bring a return south to southwest flow of air into the local
area. This will result in the warm air advection expected to take
place over the weekend. 850 mb temperatures warm from 4 degrees c
to 6 degrees c by Saturday and possibly as high as plus 8 degrees c
by Sunday night. The warmer air will aid in snowmelt once again and
hopefully slow enough to avoid issues with the local rivers.

The deep trough aloft entering the west coast will move quickly east
and cause a panhandle low pressure at the surface to develop. The
low is expected to track northeast into the western great lakes
keeping the forecast in the warm sector Sunday.

The warm front will develop north of the forecast area and become
nearly stationary Saturday night. Moisture will begin to stream
east along the frontal boundary and will set the stage for some
light rain to move into the area Saturday night into Sunday. Rain
could possibly be mixed with snow along the northern tier Saturday
night.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
The long term begins Sunday night with models in general agreement
showing a surface low in the central plains however there are
differences in position and system speed that will eventually impact
timing in the area. In general the GFS is the faster model vs the
ecmwf with the low movement. However the frontal timing as slowed on
both models vs earlier runs with passage now Monday late
afternoon evening vs mid day. This seems reasonable given how
wrapped up the system is. For Sunday night much of the isentropic
lift appears northeast of the region but the warm front may still be
lodged in northeast oh. Will continue with low chance pops as the
gfs moistens the region fairly well through the overnight. Monday
still need likely pops with prefrontal rain moves through. Will
continue with likely pops Monday evening tapering to a chance east
after midnight. Tuesday into Wednesday the airmass dries out as high
pressure builds in. Will still continue with chance pops Tuesday
tapering to chance pops just northeast half Tuesday night. Wednesday
will keep dry for now other than a slight chance northeast. Temps
above normal Monday and near normal Tuesday and Wednesday.

Aviation 00z Thursday through Monday
High pressure at the surface and aloft will be moving over the area
tonight bringing dry air and should result in decreasing clouds and
vfr conditions the rest of tonight and Thu morning. Some lake effect
clouds may skim eri from time to time but the snow showers should
stay off to the ne. SW winds of 5 to 15 knots should prevail.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible Saturday afternoon into Sunday.

Marine
Southwest flow will persist across the lake over the next 5 days
with some minor changes in wind speed. No real strong winds
expected on the lake through this forecast period. Some movement of
the ice from the western end of the lake will take place into the
open waters causing some ridging and rafting of the ice to take
place. Ice fishing enthusiasts should be ALERT over the next 5 days
for ice floes breaking off and drifting away from shore.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Riley adams
near term... Riley adams
short term... Lombardy
long term... Tk
aviation... Adams
marine... Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 4 mi45 min N 11 G 18 15°F 1024.2 hPa (-2.6)9°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 5 mi45 min SW 22 G 25 15°F 1024.8 hPa (-2.8)
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 17 mi45 min SW 14 G 21 15°F 1022.4 hPa (-2.3)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 20 mi60 min SSW 6 15°F 1024 hPa7°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 28 mi45 min SW 24 G 26 16°F
LORO1 32 mi75 min SW 22 G 26 17°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 37 mi45 min SW 12 G 18 16°F 1022.9 hPa (-2.6)8°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH36 mi52 minno data10.00 miFair14°F3°F64%1026 hPa

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7SW7SW7SW8SW9W7SW8SW6SW8SW7SW8W9W10W12--SW9SW12SW13SW12SW12W13SW11SW14--
1 day agoSW5W4W4W11W9W13W11W8SW8SW9W11SW13W11W11W11W9W10W8W8W7W7SW7W9SW8
2 days agoSE5E4CalmE3CalmSE6SE7S6S8S8S9S10S13S10S14S10S9S6S7S7SW6W6W8W7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.