Monday, August21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
New Milford, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:07AMSunset 7:43PM Monday August 21, 2017 7:49 AM EDT (11:49 UTC) Moonrise 5:50AMMoonset 7:49PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 650 Am Edt Mon Aug 21 2017
Today..SW winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..W winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 650 Am Edt Mon Aug 21 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure building into the region through this morning will settle offshore this afternoon. High pressure moves farther offshore tonight into Tuesday. Meanwhile, a cold front will be approaching. The front will pass through on Wednesday, followed by high pressure later this week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Milford, CT
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location: 41.58, -73.41     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 211044
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
644 am edt Mon aug 21 2017

Synopsis
After any patchy morning fog burns off, skies will be mostly sunny
with warm temperatures today. It will continue to be warm and
it will become rather muggy for Tuesday, with some afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms thanks to a passing cold
front. Cooler and less humid air will move into the region for
Wednesday, with dry conditions expected for the rest of the
week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 620 am edt... Surface high pressure, located southeast of
the area off the mid-atlantic coast, is allowing for dry
conditions this morning. There are some passing thin mid and
high level clouds that are streaming into the region from the
west, but otherwise, skies are generally clear. Some patchy fog
has developed, mainly near bodies of water, thanks to the good
radiational cooling in place.

Any fog should dissipate within the next hour or so, and temps
will quickly warm this morning. Model soundings are showing 850
hpa temps around +16 degrees c and mixing may be even deeper
than that (possibly up to about 800 hpa), so it looks to be a
very warm afternoon, with highs reaching into the mid to upper
80s for many valley areas. Despite the good mixing, dewpoints
will be creeping up today thanks to an increasing southerly
flow, and reading with reach back into the 60s by later today,
so it will start to feel a little muggy out there.

Although the high pressure area will continue to depart, it
will remain close enough to the area to keep it precip free
through the day today. Much attention is being given to the sky
cover forecast, due to the partial solar eclipse that will occur
this afternoon. Based on the 3km hrrr, sky cover should be
fairly sunny for much of the area through the day. There could
be some passing scattered high clouds for areas south of albany
this afternoon, but sky cover will generally be fairly clear.

The time of MAX eclipse at albany is around 2:42 pm edt, with
the peak obscuration around 66 percent. Be sure to protect your
eyes if you plan to view the eclipse and check our social media
outlets for additional info.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday night
Mainly dry weather is anticipated for tonight, but it will stay
fairly mild and muggy with temps only falling into the mid to
upper 60s.

A strong upper level trough will be digging across ontario on
Tuesday and a surface cold front will be tracking across the
great lakes. Ahead of this boundary, a surface pre-frontal
trough will help get some showers and thunderstorms going across
western new york during the early afternoon hours, and these
will track eastward across our area by later in the afternoon
and through the evening hours.

Ahead of the boundary, the persistent southerly flow will
continue to allow for another warm and humid day, with highs
well into the 80s and dewpoints reaching the mid to upper 60s in
many locations. This should allow for at least a moderate amount
of instability. Models disagree on the exact amount of cape, but
at least 1000-1500 j kg looks to be in place by late in the day
on Tuesday. With the strong upper level dynamics approaching,
0-6 km bulk shear will be reaching around 40 kts, so the
ingredients are coming together for some stronger storms on
Tuesday. One mitigating factor will be that mid-level lapse
rates will be fairly weak (generally 6 deg km or less, but the
combo of instability shear should allow for some storm
organization. The main threat will be gusty winds, but with
pwats reaching around two inches, will also have to watch for
some locally heavy downpours as well.

The storms may linger into the first part of Tuesday night, but
should be ending from west to east as the front crosses the
area, as lows fall into the 60s.

On Wednesday, dewpoints will be falling during the day, as much
cooler and drier air moves into the area. Highs will generally
be in the 70s with a partly sunny sky. There still may be a
lingering shower due to the passing upper level trough, but most
areas should be dry. Skies should continue to clear out by
Wednesday night, as lows fall into the upper 40s to upper 50s,
as high pressure builds into the area.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
Extended period of fair weather with slightly below normal
temperatures.

An upper level short wave trough and a secondary front are expected
to swing through Thursday triggering isolated to scattered showers
mainly across the higher terrain. Then cool canadian high pressure
shifts southward and expand across the great lakes region and the
northeast over the weekend. An upper level trough will remain over
region however heights are expected gradually rise as the trough
weakens.

Temperatures are expected to run around 5 degrees below normal with
highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s and lows in mid 40s to mid 50s.

Cooler readings are expected across the higher terrain of the
western adirondacks, eastern catskills and southern green mountains
of vermont. Humidity levels will be comfortable with dew points
forecast to only be in the 40s and 50s.

Aviation 12z Monday through Friday
Ridging will dominate the region through the TAF period;
12z Tuesday. Fog will lift and burn off withVFR conditions
then expected into the evening hours. Skies will be mostly clear
to partly clouds with some cumulus and cirrus clouds moving
across the region. With the surface ridge shifting offshore
today a southerly flow will develop and dew points will be on
the rise so fog is expected to develop by late evening as winds
become calm with MVFR-ifr overnight.

A south-southwest flow will develop with some gusts into the
mid teens at kalb in the afternoon. Winds will diminish late
in the day into the evening becoming light variable to calm for
the overnight.

Outlook...

Tuesday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Tuesday night: high operational impact. Likely shra... Tsra.

Wednesday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Wednesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Friday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
After some patchy fog this morning, min rh today will be 45 to
55 percent with a mostly sunny sky. South to southwest winds
will be 5 to 15 mph. Most areas will see some showers or
thunderstorms tomorrow thanks to a cold front, mainly late in
the day. Min rh on Tuesday will only be 50 to 60 percent with
south winds at 5 to 15 mph.

Hydrology
Dry weather is expected today into most of tonight across the
region. An approaching cold front will allow for showers and
thunderstorms on Tuesday, mainly during the afternoon and
evening hours. Any thunderstorm will be capable of producing
locally heavy downpours. Although flash flooding is not
anticipated, locally heavy rainfall may result in minor flooding
of urban, poor drainage and low lying areas. Behind this
frontal system, mainly dry weather is expected for the rest of
the week.

Basin average rainfall on Tuesday will generally be around a
half inch, although point totals may be higher. This rainfall
will only allow for very minor rises on rivers and streams.

River and stream levels should quickly recede by Wednesday and
then remain steady for the rest of the week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Equipment
The kenx radar is expected to be out of service at least until
Friday, august 25th.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Frugis
near term... Frugis
short term... Frugis
long term... Iaa
aviation... Iaa
fire weather... Frugis
hydrology... Frugis
equipment... WFO aly


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 31 mi50 min N 2.9 G 2.9 67°F 74°F1021.7 hPa (+0.9)
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 34 mi50 min NE 1.9 G 2.9 67°F 76°F1022.4 hPa (+0.8)
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 40 mi80 min 56°F 1022 hPa55°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Danbury, Danbury Municipal Airport, CT15 mi57 minN 08.00 miFair62°F59°F90%1022.8 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT16 mi59 minN 010.00 miFair61°F59°F93%1023.9 hPa

Wind History from DXR (wind in knots)
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1 day ago3NW3CalmCalmS4W83W55W8SW7W3SW4CalmSW4CalmSW3CalmSW4SW4W4CalmCalmSW3
2 days agoS6S6S74S6SW4SW7S7S6S8S6S6S4NE4CalmSW5SW4CalmW3W4W4CalmSW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Shelton, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Shelton
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Mon -- 12:37 AM EDT     5.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:09 AM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:07 PM EDT     5.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:31 PM EDT     New Moon
Mon -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.75.95.44.43.320.8-0.1-0.5-01.43.24.85.65.44.63.62.51.30.3-0.2-0.112.8

Tide / Current Tables for Long Hill, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Long Hill
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:41 AM EDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:15 PM EDT     7.86 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:31 PM EDT     New Moon
Mon -- 06:57 PM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
8.37.66.24.42.50.8-0.3-0.50.62.64.86.87.87.66.54.93.11.40.1-0.30.42.34.56.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.