Tuesday, March26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
New Milford, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 7:12PM Tuesday March 26, 2019 5:57 AM EDT (09:57 UTC) Moonrise 12:37AMMoonset 10:30AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 333 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2019
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas around 2 ft this morning, then 1 ft or less.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
ANZ300 333 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will build across the region through mid week, then move offshore on Thursday. A weak cold front passing by early Friday will be followed by a warm front moving north early Saturday. A stronger frontal system will approach for the late weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Milford, CT
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location: 41.58, -73.41     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 260838
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
438 am edt Tue mar 26 2019

Synopsis
Fair weather with mainly clear skies for a couple more days as
high pressure moves over the region. It will be chilly again
today and tonight then temperatures will warm to seasonable
levels Wednesday with above normal readings for the rest of the
work week into the weekend. Our next chance for any showers will
come Thursday afternoon and night as a cold front approaches
and moves into the area.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Sprawling surface high centered over the midwest and western
great lakes will shift southeastward and is expected to be
centered over the eastern great lakes and ohio valley by this
evening. Aloft the upper level trough axis will finally move off
to our east this afternoon with heights beginning to rise.

Highs today will be a bit lower than Monday with readings from
the upper 20s to lower 40s, around 10 degrees below normal. Good
news is winds will be rather light and will have abundant
sunshine. Relative humidity levels will be very dry today as
dew points remain very low in the single digits with some below
zero readings.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Thursday night
It will be chilly tonight as the center of the surface high is
expected to pass directly over the region early Wednesday
morning plus some weak ridging occurs aloft. With clear skies
and light variable to calm winds temperatures are expected to
bottom out around 15 degrees below normal mainly in the teens.

Single digits readings are expected across much of the western
adirondacks and across the higher terrain of the southern green
mountains.

Moderating temperatures as the high shifts off the coast
Wednesday afternoon and a southerly return flows develops.

After our cold start, temperatures are expected to rebound to
seasonable levels in the afternoon with highs mainly in the 40s
with some lower 50s up the immediate hudson river valley into
the capital district.

It will be even warmer Thursday with broad southwesterly flow
across the region between the departing high and an approaching
trough and cold front despite an increase in clouds. Expecting
highs in the 50s with mid and upper 40s above 1500 feet. Chances
for rain showers are expected to move into the northwestern
portion of the local area during the afternoon as a low level
jet moves in and heights begin to fall. Chances for the showers
will spread across the rest of the area at night with the best
chances to the north and west of the capital district closer to
the upper level support short wave as it pass across eastern
canada. Mild night with lows only in the 30s to lower 40s.

Long term Friday through Monday
Upper level flow pattern Friday will be dominated by an anomalously
strong upper low centered over hudson bay. Fast zonal flow along the
southern periphery of this low over the northern tier of the conus
will become highly amplified by the weekend. This will occur as
northern stream energy along the southwest flank of the upper low
merges with energy ejecting out of the central plains. The result
will be a deep positively tilted trough over the western great lakes
Saturday, pivoting through the northeast and acquiring a negative
tilt on Sunday.

Friday Friday night, a few light showers cannot be ruled out as the
washed out front returns north as a warm front. Any precipitation
looks to be light and spotty with an absence of upper level forcing.

Another seasonably mild day is expected with forecast high
temperatures possibly around 10f above normal.

Saturday into Saturday night, elongated surface low will be
developing along a sharp baroclinic zone associated with the leading
edge of the approaching upper trough. Precipitation is expected to
be widespread along and to the cool side of the baroclinic zone.

Consensus puts the boundary and associated precipitation mainly west
of our area Saturday, putting much of the forecast area into the
warm sector. We could be looking at a very mild day assuming the
boundary stays west, with strong southerly flow in the warm sector.

We still do have chance pops over much of the forecast area due to
uncertainty with the position and speed of the boundary, and even
likely pops over portions of the western adirondacks as model
consensus favors the precip reaching there late in the day. Most
probable time for precipitation associated with this system is
Saturday night into Sunday, although there is still
considerable uncertainty with the timing. P-type looks to be
mainly rain, although if the trough acquires a negative tilt
earlier than current consensus (a la the 12z.25 ecmwf), we could
see rain changing to snow, particularly north and west of the
capital district. Temperatures will crash behind the sharp
boundary Sunday into Sunday night, returning near or a bit below
normal. As the trough shifts east, high pressure is forecast to
build in for Monday, leading to a dry but seasonably cool day.

Aviation 08z Tuesday through Saturday
High pressure will continue to build into the area through the taf
period, resulting in clear skies. Winds will be from the north to
northwest throughout the period, generally less than 10 kt tonight,
increasing to around 10 kt with some gusts near 20 kt Tuesday late
morning, and decreasing to less than 10 kt again around sunset
Tuesday.

Outlook...

Wednesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday: low operational impact. Breezy no sig wx.

Thursday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Friday: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Friday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Saturday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Saturday night: moderate operational impact. Likely shra.

Sunday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Fire weather
Minimum relative humidity values mainly in the 20s this afternoon
and again Wednesday afternoon.

Fair weather with mainly clear skies for a couple more days as
high pressure moves over the region. Our next chances for any
showers will come Thursday afternoon and night as a cold front
approaches and moves into the area.

Hydrology
No hydrological issues are expected at this time. Looking at fair
weather with mainly clear skies for a couple more days as high
pressure moves over the region. Our next chances for showers
come Thursday afternoon and night with only light precipitation
expected.

Below normal temperatures today then they moderate with above
normal readings Thursday into the weekend. The diurnal melting
of the remaining snowpack will occur.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Iaa
near term... Iaa
short term... Iaa
long term... Thompson
aviation... Thompson
fire weather... Iaa
hydrology... Iaa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 31 mi45 min 32°F 40°F1020.8 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 34 mi39 min 33°F 43°F1021.3 hPa
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 40 mi87 min Calm 29°F 1023 hPa11°F
TKPN6 41 mi45 min 32°F 1023.3 hPa17°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Danbury, Danbury Municipal Airport, CT15 mi64 minNNE 610.00 miFair29°F1°F31%1021.6 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT16 mi66 minN 810.00 miFair28°F6°F39%1022.4 hPa

Wind History from DXR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr5NW4N6N7N9N9N9NE7NE543N5N5NE7N6NE35N6NE3CalmN7N7N9N6
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Tide / Current Tables for Shelton, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Shelton
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Tue -- 12:33 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:35 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:35 AM EDT     5.21 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:11 PM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:09 PM EDT     4.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.21.12.6455.24.73.92.91.910.3-0.10.31.42.844.64.53.93.22.41.5

Tide / Current Tables for New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York
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New Hamburg
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:12 AM EDT     3.22 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:55 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:43 PM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.91.82.533.23.12.61.91.20.70.30.10.51.11.82.32.62.72.41.91.30.80.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.