Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Marlboro, NY
May 6, 2024 1:52 PM EDT (17:52 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:44 AM Sunset 8:00 PM Moonrise 4:45 AM Moonset 6:32 PM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 104 Pm Edt Mon May 6 2024
This afternoon - SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers early, then chance of showers and slight chance of tstms late.
Tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and slight chance of tstms in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Chance of showers after midnight.
Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of tstms.
Wed night - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: nw 1 ft at 2 seconds. Chance of showers in the evening.
Thu - E winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
Thu night - E winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely.
Fri - NE winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers.
Fri night - N winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 104 Pm Edt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Offshore high pressure will shift farther out into the atlantic today as a cold front approaches from the west and then passes through tonight. Weak high pressure briefly returns on Tuesday before the front returns as a warm front on Wednesday. A series of low pressure centers then impact the weather through Friday, and possibly into the weekend.
FXUS61 KALY 061730 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 130 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
SYNOPSIS
Behind a departing cold front, clouds will be clearing out for tonight. High pressure will allow for a mostly sunny and warmer day on Tuesday. Another storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms late Tuesday night into Wednesday, with more unsettled and cooler weather expected for the late week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 130 PM EDT...Surface cold front has been moving very slowly across the area. This boundary is just about to finally cross the Capital Region and Hudson Valley area. Ahead of the front, skies will continue to be fairly cloudy, with moist low levels still in place. Meanwhile, areas further north and west (such as the Mohawk Valley and Adirondacks) have already seen the low clouds clear away with falling dewpoints, although passing cirrus clouds are still allowing for some cloud cover.
Through the afternoon hours, the front will continue to slowly settle south and east. There still could be a stray shower that develops ahead or along the front for southeastern areas this afternoon, but this would be very spotty and brief. There could even be a rumble of thunder, but instability is very limited (MUCAPE just around 100-200 J/kg across far southern area), so this would be very isolated (if it occurs at all). Otherwise, skies will be slowly clearing from northwest to southeast through the rest of the day.
Highs will be warmer than yesterday, although the morning clouds have prevented temps from warming up too quickly. Highs look to reach around 70 in valley areas, with 60s for the hills and mountains.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
For tonight, aforementioned upper level disturbance across the Ohio Valley tracks toward the mid Atlantic coast. High clouds to the north of this system should linger across the region through midnight, before thinning from north to south thereafter. Once the high clouds clear out, temps may drop off rapidly across northern areas, which may also allow for patchy fog to form within river valleys. Low temps ranging from the lower/mid 40s across the southern Adirondacks, to the upper 40s to lower 50s elsewhere.
Mainly sunny skies are expected for Tuesday as a weak ridge of high pressure builds across the region. Max temps should reach the lower/mid 70s within valley areas and 65-70 across higher elevations.
Tuesday night may start clear to partly cloudy, however clouds will then thicken with showers developing after midnight from west to east ahead of an approaching warm front and fast moving upper level disturbance. Showalter Indices drop to between 0 and -2C for areas mainly west of the Hudson River toward daybreak Wednesday, so some rumbles of thunder may occur in these areas. Lows mainly in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
Showers and embedded thunderstorms should continue through Wednesday morning across the region with approaching warm front.
The warm front may then lift northeast into the upper Hudson Valley region and southern VT in the afternoon, allowing portions of the region to enter the warm sector of incoming system. Models suggest strong 0-6 km shear of 45-55 KT across the region, however there is high uncertainty regarding amounts of instability across the region, with highest probabilities of MU CAPES >500 J/kg generally south of I-90 Wednesday afternoon.
SPC has placed this area (south of I-90) within a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms, with isolated coverage expected ahead of incoming cold front from the northwest. Will have to watch trends as we get closer to see if instability parameters increase/decrease, which ultimately will depend on timing of cold front. High temps should reach the upper 60s to lower/mid 70s, although if sunshine breaks out earlier than expected, portions of the mid Hudson Valley could be warmer, perhaps reaching around 80.
Lingering showers possible Wednesday evening, otherwise clearing and cooler with lows mainly in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The extended forecast begins with wet and unsettled weather returning to the forecast area, as a positively tilted mid and upper level trough will be approaching from the Midwest and Great Lakes Region on Thursday. Broad southwest flow develops aloft, as a warm front and a low pressure system brings some showers in during the late the morning into the afternoon with PoPs kept in the likely and categorical range. The isentropic lift increases ahead of the warm front late in the day. A few rumbles of thunder may be possible south and west of the Capital Region. Max temps will be near normal with lower to mid 60s in the lower elevations and 50s over the higher terrain. The coverage of showers and isolated thunderstorms increases Thu night, as the warm front moves close to the NY and PA border. Likely PoPs were maintained THU night with lows in the 40s with pockets of upper 30s over the southern Greens and southern Dacks. The inclement weather continues on Friday with periods of rain continuing ahead of the upper low and the occluding cyclone.
With the upper low overhead max temps were lowered below the NBM values with 40s over the higher terrain and widespread lower to mid 50s in the valleys. The medium range guidance and ensembles have the cyclone pull away into northern New England and New Brunswick with the rain tapering to scattered showers. It will remain cool with lows in the mid/upper 30s to mid 40s. Total rainfall may range from 0.50" to 1.50" based on the WPC and probabilistic guidance with locally higher amounts THU-FRI.
A brief break in the rainfall is possible on Saturday with isolated showers or sprinkles over the higher terrain, as the upper level low moves away and short-wave ridging briefly builds in. Sun mixes with clouds with highs running about 5 degrees below normal with 50s to lower 60s for max temps. Clouds increase Saturday night with the next northern stream short-wave diving in across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic Region. The cyclonic vorticity advection increase the threat for scattered to numerous showers during the afternoon with temps near to slightly below normal to close the weekend. The latest Day 8-14 Outlook for 13-19 May 2024 from CPC is forecasting near normal temps with precipitation slightly above normal.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
MVFR ceilings this afternoon will become scattered between 18Z-20Z and more clearing through the evening will result in just scattered clouds above 3000 feet to SKC tonight. Clear sky and light winds could allow for some fog development at KGFL and KPSF between 08Z- 11Z but just intervals. By 12Z and through the rest of Tuesday morning and afternoon, VFR with just few to scattered clouds.
Winds will be south to west this afternoon at around 6 Kt, then light and variable to near calm tonight. Winds become north to northwest Tuesday morning at around 6 Kt and continues through Tuesday afternoon.
Outlook...
Tuesday Night: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact
Isolated SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Thursday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Friday: High Operational Impact. Likely RA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 130 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
SYNOPSIS
Behind a departing cold front, clouds will be clearing out for tonight. High pressure will allow for a mostly sunny and warmer day on Tuesday. Another storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms late Tuesday night into Wednesday, with more unsettled and cooler weather expected for the late week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 130 PM EDT...Surface cold front has been moving very slowly across the area. This boundary is just about to finally cross the Capital Region and Hudson Valley area. Ahead of the front, skies will continue to be fairly cloudy, with moist low levels still in place. Meanwhile, areas further north and west (such as the Mohawk Valley and Adirondacks) have already seen the low clouds clear away with falling dewpoints, although passing cirrus clouds are still allowing for some cloud cover.
Through the afternoon hours, the front will continue to slowly settle south and east. There still could be a stray shower that develops ahead or along the front for southeastern areas this afternoon, but this would be very spotty and brief. There could even be a rumble of thunder, but instability is very limited (MUCAPE just around 100-200 J/kg across far southern area), so this would be very isolated (if it occurs at all). Otherwise, skies will be slowly clearing from northwest to southeast through the rest of the day.
Highs will be warmer than yesterday, although the morning clouds have prevented temps from warming up too quickly. Highs look to reach around 70 in valley areas, with 60s for the hills and mountains.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
For tonight, aforementioned upper level disturbance across the Ohio Valley tracks toward the mid Atlantic coast. High clouds to the north of this system should linger across the region through midnight, before thinning from north to south thereafter. Once the high clouds clear out, temps may drop off rapidly across northern areas, which may also allow for patchy fog to form within river valleys. Low temps ranging from the lower/mid 40s across the southern Adirondacks, to the upper 40s to lower 50s elsewhere.
Mainly sunny skies are expected for Tuesday as a weak ridge of high pressure builds across the region. Max temps should reach the lower/mid 70s within valley areas and 65-70 across higher elevations.
Tuesday night may start clear to partly cloudy, however clouds will then thicken with showers developing after midnight from west to east ahead of an approaching warm front and fast moving upper level disturbance. Showalter Indices drop to between 0 and -2C for areas mainly west of the Hudson River toward daybreak Wednesday, so some rumbles of thunder may occur in these areas. Lows mainly in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
Showers and embedded thunderstorms should continue through Wednesday morning across the region with approaching warm front.
The warm front may then lift northeast into the upper Hudson Valley region and southern VT in the afternoon, allowing portions of the region to enter the warm sector of incoming system. Models suggest strong 0-6 km shear of 45-55 KT across the region, however there is high uncertainty regarding amounts of instability across the region, with highest probabilities of MU CAPES >500 J/kg generally south of I-90 Wednesday afternoon.
SPC has placed this area (south of I-90) within a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms, with isolated coverage expected ahead of incoming cold front from the northwest. Will have to watch trends as we get closer to see if instability parameters increase/decrease, which ultimately will depend on timing of cold front. High temps should reach the upper 60s to lower/mid 70s, although if sunshine breaks out earlier than expected, portions of the mid Hudson Valley could be warmer, perhaps reaching around 80.
Lingering showers possible Wednesday evening, otherwise clearing and cooler with lows mainly in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The extended forecast begins with wet and unsettled weather returning to the forecast area, as a positively tilted mid and upper level trough will be approaching from the Midwest and Great Lakes Region on Thursday. Broad southwest flow develops aloft, as a warm front and a low pressure system brings some showers in during the late the morning into the afternoon with PoPs kept in the likely and categorical range. The isentropic lift increases ahead of the warm front late in the day. A few rumbles of thunder may be possible south and west of the Capital Region. Max temps will be near normal with lower to mid 60s in the lower elevations and 50s over the higher terrain. The coverage of showers and isolated thunderstorms increases Thu night, as the warm front moves close to the NY and PA border. Likely PoPs were maintained THU night with lows in the 40s with pockets of upper 30s over the southern Greens and southern Dacks. The inclement weather continues on Friday with periods of rain continuing ahead of the upper low and the occluding cyclone.
With the upper low overhead max temps were lowered below the NBM values with 40s over the higher terrain and widespread lower to mid 50s in the valleys. The medium range guidance and ensembles have the cyclone pull away into northern New England and New Brunswick with the rain tapering to scattered showers. It will remain cool with lows in the mid/upper 30s to mid 40s. Total rainfall may range from 0.50" to 1.50" based on the WPC and probabilistic guidance with locally higher amounts THU-FRI.
A brief break in the rainfall is possible on Saturday with isolated showers or sprinkles over the higher terrain, as the upper level low moves away and short-wave ridging briefly builds in. Sun mixes with clouds with highs running about 5 degrees below normal with 50s to lower 60s for max temps. Clouds increase Saturday night with the next northern stream short-wave diving in across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic Region. The cyclonic vorticity advection increase the threat for scattered to numerous showers during the afternoon with temps near to slightly below normal to close the weekend. The latest Day 8-14 Outlook for 13-19 May 2024 from CPC is forecasting near normal temps with precipitation slightly above normal.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
MVFR ceilings this afternoon will become scattered between 18Z-20Z and more clearing through the evening will result in just scattered clouds above 3000 feet to SKC tonight. Clear sky and light winds could allow for some fog development at KGFL and KPSF between 08Z- 11Z but just intervals. By 12Z and through the rest of Tuesday morning and afternoon, VFR with just few to scattered clouds.
Winds will be south to west this afternoon at around 6 Kt, then light and variable to near calm tonight. Winds become north to northwest Tuesday morning at around 6 Kt and continues through Tuesday afternoon.
Outlook...
Tuesday Night: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact
Isolated SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Thursday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Friday: High Operational Impact. Likely RA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| NPXN6 | 17 mi | 82 min | NW 6 | 60°F | 30.01 | 56°F | ||
| ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY | 30 mi | 82 min | 0 | 58°F | 29.98 | 53°F | ||
| TKPN6 | 30 mi | 82 min | 0G | 59°F | 59°F | 30.01 | 54°F | |
| 44022 - Execution Rocks | 50 mi | 37 min | S 5.8 | 60°F | 29.96 | 57°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPOU HUDSON VALLEY RGNL,NY | 5 sm | 59 min | W 04 | 10 sm | Overcast | 66°F | 59°F | 78% | 29.96 | |
| KSWF NEW YORK STEWART INTL,NY | 9 sm | 67 min | WSW 06 | 10 sm | Overcast | 68°F | 61°F | 78% | 29.97 | |
| KMGJ ORANGE COUNTY,NY | 17 sm | 58 min | SSW 07 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 66°F | 61°F | 83% | 29.96 |
New Hamburg
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:45 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 05:45 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 05:58 AM EDT -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:31 AM EDT 3.29 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:08 PM EDT -0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:32 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 07:59 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 11:52 PM EDT 3.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:45 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 05:45 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 05:58 AM EDT -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:31 AM EDT 3.29 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:08 PM EDT -0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:32 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 07:59 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 11:52 PM EDT 3.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.5 |
| 1 am |
| 2.9 |
| 2 am |
| 2.1 |
| 3 am |
| 1.3 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 0 |
| 6 am |
| -0.2 |
| 7 am |
| 0.2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.1 |
| 9 am |
| 2 |
| 10 am |
| 2.8 |
| 11 am |
| 3.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| -0 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.7 |
Newburgh
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:46 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 05:33 AM EDT -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 11:13 AM EDT 3.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:43 PM EDT -0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:32 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 07:59 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 11:34 PM EDT 3.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:46 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 05:33 AM EDT -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 11:13 AM EDT 3.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:43 PM EDT -0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:32 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 07:59 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 11:34 PM EDT 3.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Newburgh, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.3 |
| 1 am |
| 2.6 |
| 2 am |
| 1.8 |
| 3 am |
| 1 |
| 4 am |
| 0.3 |
| 5 am |
| -0.1 |
| 6 am |
| -0.1 |
| 7 am |
| 0.5 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 2.3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.9 |
| 11 am |
| 3.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.7 |
Upton, NY,
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