Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oak Harbor, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 7:53PM Sunday March 26, 2017 8:40 PM EDT (00:40 UTC) Moonrise 5:45AMMoonset 5:24PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ143 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh- 1010 Am Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
This afternoon..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast 10 knots or less. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms early...then showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming east. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 38 degrees...off cleveland 38 degrees and off erie 36 degrees.
LEZ143 Expires:201703262015;;108830 FZUS51 KCLE 261410 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1010 AM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ142>147-262015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Harbor, OH
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location: 41.61, -83.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 262246
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
646 pm edt Sun mar 26 2017

Synopsis
A front will remain stalled near lake erie into Tuesday as waves of
low pressure ride northeast along the front eventually pulling the
front off to the southeast on Tuesday. High pressure will build
southeast into the area Tuesday night then lift northeast by
Thursday to allow a low to move up the ohio valley to new jersey by
Saturday.

Near term /until 6 am Monday morning/
Only made minor changes to the pops and weather to cover
current trends.

First wave of showers have rotated across the area with a break
expected for at least a couple hours in its wake. The next wave
of energy moving into northern ohio will likely bring a bit more
thunder. Will stick with chance wording at this point in time
since the coverage should not be more than scattered.

Previous discussion...

energy from the surface and upper low lifting NE across mi
tonight will induce bands of shra and tsra that will move ne
across the cwa. Most of the convection will shift into the east
by the latter part of the night as a weak cold front/trough gets
pulled east across the cwa. Some of the storms could be strong
but very few if any severe storms are expected. Total rainfall
from now until 8 am should generally range from around a quarter
of an inch to half an inch with locally higher amounts where
repeat tsra occur.

Lows will be seasonally warm, mostly in the low to mid 50s.

Short term /6 am Monday morning through Wednesday night/
There will only be a brief break in the rain threat the first half
of the day Monday as the next system moving toward the area will
provide for an increasing threat for shra/tsra in the
afternoon... Especially in the west half of the area.

With the track of the surface and upper low across the northern part
of the area, would think measurable rainfall will occur everywhere,
so will increase pops more Mon night into Tue along with qpf.

Temps will stay well above normal into Tue until cooler and drier
air push in for Tue night thru Wed night.

Long term /Thursday through Sunday/
The area will be located between high pressure over quebec on
Thursday with low pressure approaching from the plains. Another day
of easterly flow off lake erie could keep the toledo area several
degrees cooler than the rest of northern ohio. Nudged temperatures
down a few degrees downwind of the lake but hard to include much
detail as it will be highly dependent on storm track.

Showers will develop on Thursday night and continue through Friday
as the next in a series of low pressure systems tracks out of the
plains across the southern great lakes. Kept highs in the 50s on
Friday but entirely possible to reach the 60s if the more northern
track of the low shown by the ecmwf/canadian pans out. This system
pulls away to the east on Saturday but models in poor agreement with
regard to how much moisture/cloud cover lags behind. Showers should
taper off Saturday given the shallow moisture depth with quiet
weather on Sunday as weak high pressure arrives between systems.

Aviation /18z Sunday through Friday/
A frontal boundary extending from fdy-cle at 18z will lift
north through tol by 20z this afternoon. A wind shift to the
south will accompany the front and bring an end to the ifr
ceilings. Several bands of showers both overhead and upstream
will move east across the area through the evening. Ceilings
will trend towards MVFR this afternoon with brief jumps up to
vfr. Coverage of thunderstorms expected to increase after 21z as
upper low over illinois draws closer. As the rain departs, low
level wrap around moisture will increase from the west with most
sites seeing ifr ceilings fill in overnight. Visibilities are
harder to determine and will range from 1-5 miles. Conditions
will start to improve by 15z with ceilings lifting to MVFR.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr much of the time late Monday into
tue then again by thu.

Marine
Warm front will continue to move north of lake erie this evening
with weak low pressure slowly moving northeast across the central
great lakes. Southerly flow of 10 to 15 knots possible overnight
shifting to southwest on Monday as the low continues northeast into
canada. Another area of low pressure will move out of the plains and
cross the ohio valley on Monday night. Northerly winds will develop
and pull a cold front back south across lake erie. Winds only
expected to be 10-15 knots so may be able to avoid a small craft
advisory despite onshore flow but will need to monitor trends over
the next 36 hours. Strong high pressure will then build east across
ontario and quebec from Tuesday night through Thursday with
east/northeast winds on the lake. Easterly winds may increase to 15
to 20 knots for a period of time on Thursday and will need to keep
an eye out for small craft conditions on the western basin. Another
area of low pressure will approach from the plains towards Friday
but models in poor agreement on wind speeds and track at this time.

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Adams
near term... Adams/mullen
short term... Adams
long term... Kec
aviation... Kec
marine... Kec


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 14 mi41 min ESE 13 G 14 45°F 1012.4 hPa (-0.0)
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 16 mi101 min SE 7 G 8 42°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 20 mi41 min Calm G 1 45°F 1011.4 hPa (-0.3)43°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi41 min SE 2.9 G 4.1 47°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 36 mi56 min Calm 51°F 1013 hPa49°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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SW11
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E7
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W9
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W7
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH20 mi48 minE 35.00 miFog/Mist50°F48°F93%1012.5 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE15
G23
NE12NE12NE11NE12
G20
NE8NE8
G16
NE7NE6N6NE8NE7NE8SE7E4NE5E55E6NE5NE5NE5N3E3
1 day agoSW7SW11SW11SW11W5NE8NE6NE7E4E5NE4NE6NE6NE9NE10NE13NE12
G25
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2 days agoE6SE5SE4E3SE7SE7SE9S9S10S11S10SW12S14
G22
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G26
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G32
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SW18
G29
W13SW8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.