Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Northwood, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:05AMSunset 8:56PM Friday May 24, 2019 9:30 AM EDT (13:30 UTC) Moonrise 12:20AMMoonset 10:07AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 343 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019
Today..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Sunny this morning, then becoming partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday. The water temperature off toledo is 60 degrees, off cleveland 55 degrees and off erie 55 degrees.
LEZ142 Expires:201905241415;;370404 FZUS51 KCLE 240743 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 343 AM EDT Fri May 24 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>144-241415-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Northwood, OH
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location: 41.64, -83.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 241047
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
647 am edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will drift east across the great lakes today. A
warm front will lift northeast across the area tonight into
early Saturday as low pressure moves through the upper midwest
into central quebec. A cold front will drop south across the
area Sunday and will return north as a warm front Monday night.

Near term through Saturday
No changes to the forecast with the early morning update. Will
have to monitor upstream convection moving into NW in that could
possibly drift southeast and impact the western part of the area
midday. However, expect this activity to be on a diminishing
trend through the remainder of the morning and will ride with a
dry forecast for the time being.

Original discussion...

a relatively quiet end of the week is expected as high pressure
centered over the great lakes drifts east today. Ridging will
remain anchored over the area into tonight with a surface warm
front well south of the area across the ohio valley. Went with a
dry forecast across the area today, despite some of the higher
res models showing the potential for upstream convection diving
southeast into west central ohio later this morning midday.

Expect much of the activity to be dissipated by that point, with
any remaining organized activity south of the forecast area.

There is some potential for a pop up shower across the northeast
part of the forecast area this afternoon as a remnant mcv
tracks along the ridge across lake erie into NW pa western ny,
but confidence too low for a forecast mention given relatively
stable conditions. Temperatures will be on the cooler side today
with some flow off the lake. Went with highs in the low mid 70s
away from the lake, possibly reaching the upper 70s across the
far south. Temps will hold in the 60s near the lake. Forecast
temps are close to the warmest MOS and consensus raw model
guidance.

The ohio valley warm front will quickly lift north through the
area late tonight overnight. Precip activity will increase to
the north and west along a robust low level jet corridor nosing
through the southern great lakes. Expecting most of the upstream
activity to overtop the ridge and track north of the area
through the overnight into Saturday morning, but will carry some
low chance slight chance pops across the far north lake erie
during this time. Saturday will start out dry for most of the
area, but pops will increase through the day, especially late
afternoon into the evening hours across the northwest. Some weak
convergence across the east with modest destabilization may lead
to some early day convection, but the better forcing will be
east of the area by this time. Lows tonight will range from the
mid 60s southwest to the mid 50s northeast. Went on the warmer
end of guidance for highs on Saturday with mid upper 80s across
ohio and low 80s across NW pa, given decent insolation and good
waa through the peak heating period.

Short term Saturday night through Monday night
Saturday night will see decent chances for thunderstorms as a cold
front sags southward across the region. Upper level jet energy
combined with sufficient instability should allow for a few strong
to severe thunderstorms. Current indications are that the severe
threat would mainly be strong damaging winds between 21z and 03z.

The cold front should take all of this convection south of the cwa
by midnight with high pressure returning. This frontal boundary will
stall across southern ohio early Monday but will return as a warm
front Monday night. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible
with the warm advection associated with this boundary.

Saturday night will be warm with lows in the lower to mid 60s.

Slightly cooler on Sunday with highs in the 70s. Seasonable
temperatures Monday night with lows in the 50s.

Long term Tuesday through Thursday
Warm front will attempt to lift north of the region on Tuesday as
low pressure moves toward the upper great lakes. At this time we
will keep some low chances of showers and thunderstorms going for
Tuesday and Tuesday night with the better chances closer to the
lake. If the front ends up north of the lake these chances will be
removed over the next couple days. A stronger storm system will take
shape Wednesday night into Thursday and move across the great lakes
region. Each model has slightly different timing with the approach
of this next cold front Wednesday night into Thursday so confidence
is low with any of the details.

Temperatures will remain warm Tuesday into Wednesday with highs in
the 80s at most locations. If cloud cover becomes thick enough
across NW oh on wedneday highs may be held in the middle 70s.

Thursday should be cooler in the wake of a cold front with highs in
the 70s.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
Vfr conditions expected through the period as high pressure
drifts east across the great lakes region. Morning convection
will track across in towards NW oh midday. Expecting the
activity to diminish before it reaches ktol kfdy, but a very
small chance there could be a stray shra tsra at these sites
midday. A warm front will lift northeast towards the area
tonight, with some increased low mid level cloud cover late in
the period. A few showers storms are possible along the front
overnight, but should mainly stay north of the region, so no
precip in the forecast for this period. Light northerly winds
will become increasingly variable and will remain light through
the period as the ridge axis passes through the region, becoming
southerly late in the period.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible in thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday.

Marine
High pressure will be in control of the lake today with light winds.

An onshore flow will persist through the day along the south shore.

There will be a couple storm system that interact with the lake
tonight through Monday night. The first will lift a warm front
across the lake tonight with a southerly wind expected across the
entire lake by Saturday morning. Winds should shift to the southwest
through Saturday afternoon as a cold front sags toward the lake.

Will have to monitor geneva-on-the-lake to ripley for waves building
close to the 4 foot threshold for a few hours Saturday evening into
the overnight. The cold front will then stall over southern ohio
Sunday night with high pressure briefly ridging across the lake. The
stalled boundary over southern ohio will lift northward toward the
lake Monday night as the next storm system moves across the central
plains.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Greenawalt
near term... Greenawalt
short term... Mm
long term... Mm
aviation... Greenawalt
marine... Mm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 4 mi30 min NE 1.9 G 4.1 62°F 1021.1 hPa (+1.2)48°F
45165 14 mi20 min N 3.9 G 3.9 60°F 60°F1 ft52°F
TWCO1 14 mi20 min SSW 6 G 8 62°F 1017.8 hPa54°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 21 mi30 min N 7 G 8 58°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 35 mi30 min N 7 G 7 58°F 1021 hPa (+1.4)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 42 mi30 min W 2.9 G 4.1 60°F 60°F1020.5 hPa (+1.5)53°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH6 mi37 minN 010.00 miFair65°F52°F63%1020.8 hPa
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI11 mi35 minN 010.00 miFair63°F52°F70%1021 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Express Airport, OH16 mi38 minN 610.00 miFair64°F50°F60%1020.8 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI21 mi34 minN 510.00 miFair61°F55°F83%1020.7 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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NW9NW9NW7NW7NW6NW3CalmN5N6CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNE7CalmE7E7SE7CalmS7S8SW11SW8SW7S3SE5S5S6S5S6S7SW8S7S8W24
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2 days agoCalmE5E9
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NE9E7SE8E9E7E8E8E7E5E4E5E6E6E7E7E6E9E10E8E11--

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Detroit, MI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.