Friday, March24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Toledo, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 7:53PM Friday March 24, 2017 4:04 AM EDT (08:04 UTC) Moonrise 4:34AMMoonset 3:13PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 401 Am Edt Fri Mar 24 2017
Today..South winds 10 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A slight chance of showers through mid morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 20 knots becoming south and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming east and increasing to 10 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the morning...then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
Saturday night..East winds 10 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday. The water temperature off toledo is 35 degrees...off cleveland 36 degrees and off erie 35 degrees.
LEZ142 Expires:201703241430;;992138 FZUS51 KCLE 240801 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 401 AM EDT FRI MAR 24 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ142>144-241430-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Toledo, OH
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location: 41.66, -83.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 240722
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
322 am edt Fri mar 24 2017

Synopsis
A warm front over the midwest will lift north across the area
this morning. Saturday, low pressure over missouri will move
northeast to near chicago by Sunday morning. Sunday the low will
continue northeast across the central great lakes.

Near term /through today/
Rain moving east across the area early today. If timing holds,
the precip should move east of ashtabula/trumbull counties
around 7am and out of nwrn pa around 8am. Have moved pops to
categorical in the grids across the region through the early
morning based on timing. Will also linger likely/chance pops in
nwrn pa into mid morning in case timing is too fast. With the
warm front north of the area for the late morning and
afternoon... Still believe there will be at least some sunshine.

Will still hold onto 65 to 70% coverage but should yield a
"partly sunny" forecast in the zones. Impressive warm advection
took place from late yday and through the night. By 12z 850mb
temps should be +10 to +12c across the area. This along with the
broken sunshine should get afternoon temps into the 60s. Early
today models show a 50-60kt low level jet across the area. Winds
drop off back to around 30kts later this afternoon. With good
mixing expected it should be a breezy day with sustained winds
15 to 25 mph with gusts over 30mph.

Short term /tonight through Monday night/
Tonight the warm front will be to our north but should begin to
sag south towards morning possibly nudging back into the area.

Believe for the most part we should remain dry with the focus
for precip remaining north of the front. Will bring a slight
chance into the northern counties after midnight and then
increase to low chance pops extreme north towards dawn. Saturday
glfmx moisture will begin to get pulled north through the
mississippi valley ahead of the low in missouri. Looking at the
nam and GFS this deeper moisture doesnt quite reach into the
area however it will be just to our west and south by 00z
Sunday. Still, enough moisture in the deep southerly flow to
expect scattered showers. The NAM also brings 500 j/kg of cape
into the western counties during the afternoon. Best chances
will be west so will have likely pops there and chance pops
elsewhere. Will also have a chance of thunder where pops are
likely. No big changes for the rest of the period. Saturday
night and Sunday look wet as the gulf moisture gets wrapped
across the area. Sunday night the low weakens and the moisture
begins moving northeast out of the area. Forcing is minimal so
will continue lowering pops through the night west to east.

Monday will still keep chance pops in place as low pressure
moves across southern missouri. Temps on the mild side.

Long term /Tuesday through Thursday/
Extended pattern continues to be in a state of flux with fairly
rapid transitions between shortwave troughs and minor ridging taking
place. This means overall weather pattern will be fluctuating
between dry periods and wet periods. Polar jet stream is progged to
remain north of the area keeping any arctic air masses from pushing
south into the forecast area for the foreseeable future.

First in a series of upper level trough/ridge pairs moves east into
the area Tuesday. This trough will develop a weak positive vorticity
maximum and result in a weak surface low pressure system that will
move east across the ohio valley region. Limited moisture with the
features will move east across the forecast area as well on Tuesday.

Hence, will keep a mention of showers in the forecast during the day
pulling out to the east Tuesday night as the upper level and surface
ridge builds east.

Upper level ridge amplifies Wednesday and Thursday helping to build
surface ridge over the area. Then, by Thursday, next trough diving
southeast out of the northern rockies evolves into a potent upper
level low pressure system that becomes vertically stacked over
arkansas. Once the low pressure system rounds the base of the mean
trough, it lifts northeast toward the area to bring more rain to the
area by Friday.

As mentioned, temperatures should remain mild through the forecast
period.

Aviation /06z Friday through Tuesday/
A warm front will begin to lift north across the area this
morning while an upper level feature slides east along the warm
frontal boundary. Showers will move east with the upper level
feature early this morning and then end by day break. Ceilings
should remainVFR through the duration of the rainfall. Main
issue will be the development of wind shear between 1500 and
2000 feet and winds increase to 45 to 50 knots along the warm
front. Once warm front lifts north, stronger winds will mix down
to the surface ending threat for wind shear this morning. As
upper level feature moves east and warm front lifts north, we
should see improving ceilings to 25000 feet. Then, another shot
of low level moisture will push east over the area tonight
dropping ceilings down to around 2500 feet. Winds will diminish
tonight.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr Saturday and Sunday. NonVFR
possible again Monday night and Tuesday.

Marine
Lake winds will be on the increase today as a warm front lifts north
of the area. Warm air advection in the wake of the warm front will
likely be strong enough to push the cold dome over the lake to the
north allowing some of the wind to mix down to the surface. Not
expecting small craft advisory criteria to be met due to short fetch
over the nearshore waters. Winds diminish overnight as warm front
becomes stationary and tries to push back south as a back door cold
front late tonight. Northeast flow develops Saturday and will likely
need a small craft advisory headline by Saturday morning continuing
into Sunday morning. Warm front lifts back north Sunday allowing
winds to diminish once again. Generally light and variable winds
Monday into Tuesday.

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tk
near term... Tk
short term... Tk
long term... Lombardy
aviation... Lombardy
marine... Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 6 mi47 min S 9.9 G 12 42°F 1018.3 hPa37°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 23 mi65 min SSE 14 G 15 38°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 39 mi65 min SE 9.9 G 12 39°F 1020.8 hPa (-1.9)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 46 mi47 min S 5.1 G 9.9 41°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Last
24hr
SE7
G10
SE4
G7
SE7
G10
S6
G9
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G10
SE6
G9
E7
G10
SE11
G14
E12
G17
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G17
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G15
E8
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E5
NE1
SE1
G7
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G11
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G12
1 day
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N6
G12
N10
G16
N5
G18
N6
G11
N5
G12
N7
G13
N6
G12
NE5
G12
NE4
G8
E6
G10
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E8
G11
E6
G9
NE7
G10
E6
G10
E8
E9
SE7
SE5
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SE2
G7
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2 days
ago
W3
W3
W4
NW6
G9
NW4
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S2
SW6
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G9
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G13
W14
G20
NW12
G19
NW15
G21
W13
G19
NW13
G16
NW16
G20
N13
G27
N14
G26
N11
G18
N6
NW9
G16
N9
G19
N10
G17

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI7 mi71 minSSE 410.00 miLight Rain42°F37°F87%1019.3 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH9 mi72 minSSE 93.00 miRain Fog/Mist42°F39°F92%1020.2 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Express Airport, OH12 mi73 minSSE 610.00 miOvercast41°F37°F86%1019.6 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI21 mi72 minS 10 G 167.00 miRain39°F37°F95%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from DUH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE8E6E10E9E7
G14
E8E8E9E7
G14
E6E8E4E5SE4E3E3SE6S4S4
1 day agoN7
G14
N9
G14
N8N6N6N8NE7NE8N5
G14
NE8SE5SE6NE4E3E5SE4SE5SE3SE3SE4S3CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmW4W3CalmNW4W4W4W4W6W9
G18
NW7
G16
NW7
G18
NW8
G16
NW9
G17
NW8
G15
NW9
G16
N18
G27
N11
G19
N7N9
G15
N10
G21
N10
G16
N8
G17

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Detroit, MI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.