Thursday, May25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Toledo, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:03AMSunset 8:58PM Thursday May 25, 2017 2:15 PM EDT (18:15 UTC) Moonrise 5:18AMMoonset 7:49PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 1006 Am Edt Thu May 25 2017
This afternoon..East winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 knots or less increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely in the evening...then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday. The water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees...off cleveland 58 degrees and off erie 56 degrees.
LEZ142 Expires:201705252015;;184351 FZUS51 KCLE 251406 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1006 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ142>146-252015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Toledo, OH
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location: 41.66, -83.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 251752
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
152 pm edt Thu may 25 2017

Synopsis
Low pressure along the ohio and indiana border will shift to the
new england coast tonight. Weak high pressure will build over
the area Friday and Friday night then shift east over the
weekend. This will allow and area of low pressure to move
northeast into the area by Sunday. This system will then linger
over the region into Tuesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Energy rotating around the low should cause the widespread rain over
the east part of the CWA to spread west into early afternoon. This
east to west band should pivot to be more north to south oriented by
evening. However, the hrrr is currently off the mark so overall
confidence is lowered. Rainfall amounts today should range from a
half to two thirds of an in in the far NE to around a quarter inch
or less for the west two thirds. There shouldn't be problems
handling this amount of rainfall so the threat for any flooding
looks minimal.

Widespread cloud cover and rainfall should keep temps from rising
much with highs only in in a 62 to 68 degree range.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Sunday night
The models continue to change from run to run so confidence in
the timing and coverage of any precip during the period is low.

Unlike a couple days ago... It now looks like we may be able to
squeeze out some dry periods the next few days. Expect the
showers to end from west to east overnight as the surface low
shifts to the east coast. On Friday ridging will occur from the
south which will even end the precip threat in NW pa. Lot's of
differences after that with some of the guidance taking a
weak disturbance across the area Friday night into Saturday.

Think this may be a tad overdone and have lowered precip
chances both periods. Best chances for a few hundredths of rain
will be at the southern end of the area. Expect most locations
to be dry on Saturday. Up next will be an area of low pressure
heading out of the plains and likely affecting the area Saturday
night and Sunday. Todays model runs are much weaker with this
system. The previous forecast package already had likely or
better chances those periods and that seems reasonable for now.

Not expecting Sunday to be a complete wash out but there will
likely be a couple periods of rain. Will try to dry things out
from west to east on Sunday night.

Friday will be a tad cool but seasonable readings are expected
both Saturday and Sunday. May have to bump temps up those days
if the models continue to weaken the next system which would
allow for more dry weather and sunshine.

Long term Monday through Wednesday
For Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday we will have yet another upper
low meandering eastward across the region, although this one appears
to stay north across the central lakes and ontario. Again the
weather will remain unsettled and still have showers mentioned.

There is reasonable agreement too on the broad upper pattern amongst
the models. Smaller features short waves a ways off from being
resolved and will along with diurnal swings modulate the better
chances for precip. There may be a few opportunities for some
thunder, but will leave out that for now with lower confidence.

Memorial day temperatures will be seasonable in the 70s, but as the
cool upper low gets nearby and a cold front crosses Monday night,
temperatures fall back to 60s for most.

Aviation 18z Thursday through Tuesday
Showers with MVFR and local ifr visibilities continue to expand
in the vicinity of the upper low and surface low which are
drifting northeast across the forecast area. Ifr ceilings
across lake erie and some sections of the counties near lake
erie will spread back across the forecast area as the surface
low moves to the east late this afternoon and evening. Winds
will primarily become west-northwest tonight into Friday.

Ceilings will improve to MVFR Friday late morning and afternoon
withVFR conditions developing front west to east Friday
afternoon.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr likely at times over the weekend.

Marine
Pre-dawn low pressure was located across west central oh. It will
likely track close to the lake shore today. Winds will remain east-
northeast across the lake for a good part of today until the low
shifts across eastern oh. Winds will be strongest first thing this
morning and then pick up again toward Friday morning. Likely not
enough to generate small craft advisory conditions. High pressure
will be over the lake Friday bringing winds around to the south and
southeast by Saturday morning. The pattern will remain active. The
next low is expected to track across northern oh on Sunday. An
approach of a trough for Monday night will bring southwest winds
across the lake Monday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Kubina
near term... Kubina
short term... Kubina
long term... Oudeman
aviation... Kosarik
marine... Kosarik oudeman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 6 mi52 min NNE 1.9 G 7 61°F 998.1 hPa57°F
45165 17 mi36 min N 9.7 G 12 60°F 62°F2 ft58°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 23 mi56 min N 11 G 12 59°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 39 mi76 min E 5.1 G 7 61°F 997.2 hPa (+0.4)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 46 mi52 min E 5.1 G 7 60°F 998.1 hPa

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI7 mi21 minNNW 31.25 miFog/Mist60°F58°F96%998.6 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH9 mi23 minN 810.00 miOvercast64°F59°F84%998 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Express Airport, OH12 mi24 minNNW 118.00 miOvercast61°F59°F93%998 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI21 mi22 minN 510.00 miLight Rain61°F58°F91%998.3 hPa

Wind History from DUH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7E5E6E8E7E7E7E7----------E7E5E4E5E4NE4NE5NE5NE3N4N4
1 day agoSE4SE4E5E3E4NE4E4NE3NE3NE3CalmNE4NE4NE5E3CalmCalmE3E4E3E3E3E7E4
2 days agoW8
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W8W6SW4CalmCalmCalmSW3S3S3S4S4S5SW4SW3S4SW4W4SW3S4S8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Detroit, MI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.