Sunrise 5:30 AM   Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 3:30 PM   Moonset 3:13 AM

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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1055 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Overnight - NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.Sat - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Sat night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the evening. Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Mon - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.

ANZ300 1055 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Weak high pressure remains over the region into Saturday night. A weakening trough of low pressure approaches from the west and dissipates by Saturday evening. High pressure generally remains in control through the middle of next week. A cold front approaches late in the week.

FXUS61 KALY 180532 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 132 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
With an upper level disturbance close to the region, it will be partly to mostly cloudy for tonight into Saturday, with a few spotty showers around. Clearing skies and warmer temperatures are expected on Sunday. Above normal warmth is expected for much of next week, with a chance for showers and thunderstorms returning by the middle of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 132 AM EDT...A sfc trough and an upper level disturbance over west-central NY and southern Quebec continues to produce lots of clouds and some showers mainly west of the forecast area over central NY where a few hundredths have occurred on the NYS Mesonet. We will keep a slight to low chance of a showers over the western Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley and eastern Catskills this morning. Temps have dropped off into the 50s with some upper 40s mover the higher terrain. Some adjustments to clouds...to increase to mostly cloudy this morning and the timing of showers with this update. Lows will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
On Saturday, the weak upper level disturbance to the west will be passing across the region. Moisture with this feature looks fairly limited and the best coverage of showers will mainly be to the west and southwest. In addition, the slow moving coastal low wobbling offshore may spread some moisture towards eastern New England, although this activity looks to generally stay to our east. Overall, while it looks fairly cloudy on Saturday, precip looks spotty for our area, with just slight to low chances across western, northern and far northeastern parts of the area. Any showers look brief and light, and most spots should be staying dry through the day. The clouds may hold temps down a tad, but it will still be comfortable and seasonable, with highs in the mid 60s to low 70s. Some clearing will finally occur by Saturday night as both disturbances finally starting moving away, with lows falling into the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Upper level ridging will be nosing into the area from the southwest for Sunday into Sunday night. This will allow for a partly to mostly clear sky. With warm temps aloft, it will be milder on Sunday, with highs well into the 70s in most spots.
Dewpoints will remain comfortable in the 50s. It will continue to stay dry and quiet into Sunday night with a mostly clear sky and temps in the 50s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Much warmer temperatures are expected through the long term period.

A sharp upper level ridge will be in place over the area for the start of the week. Strong southwest flow aloft will allowing for warming temps, with 850 hpa temps going from +13 C on Monday towards +16 C by the middle of the week. Valley highs to look reach into the 80s, especially by Tues/Wed when highs may reach the middle 80s across the area.

It should be rain-free for both Monday and Tuesday, although dewpoints will be rising towards 60 by the middle of the week.
Skies look fairly sunny on Monday and Tuesday with the ridging in place and no precip is expected.

By Wednesday into Thursday, the upper level ridge will be starting to shift eastward as an upper level disturbance and frontal boundary approaches from the west. This will allow for a threat for showers and thunderstorms both days, especially in the afternoon and evening hours. It's too early to say how strong storms will be, as it will depend on the front's timing and available instability, but we will continue to monitor.
Temps will continue to be warm in the 80s each day and it will be a little of muggy side as well.

Behind the departing front, somewhat cooler and drier air will move back into the region for Friday. Still, it looks warm with temps well into the 70s. With an upper level trough overhead, there will still be some clouds and perhaps a brief shower for northern areas, but most areas should be dry.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Through 06z Sunday...Flying conditions are currently VFR and should remain VFR through most if not all of the TAF period...Mid and high clouds increase through the night with skies becoming SCT to BKN overnight into the morning. Mid-level clouds between 4000-5000 expected to develop tomorrow and there could be a few showers around, especially at ALB/GFL/POU, so have added VCSH groups to the TAFs from late morning through mid to late afternoon tomorrow.
Showers will be isolated in nature, but if any showers move over one of the terminals then brief MVFR vsby reductions would be possible.

Showers diminish tomorrow evening with SCT to BKN mid-level clouds remaining through the end of the TAF period. With easterly flow, there may be some borderline MVFR cigs developing at POU/PSF towards the last few hours of the TAF valid period, but confidence on this is low at this time.

Winds will be light and variable through mid-morning, increasing to 5-10 kt from the east from mid-morning through this evening. Winds become light at 5 kt or less within a couple hours after sunset tomorrow at ALB/POU/GFL, but remain easterly at 5-10 kt at PSF. Some gusts up to around 15 kt are possible at PSF tomorrow afternoon through the end of the TAF period.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

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Poughkeepsie
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Fri -- 02:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:18 AM EDT     0.92 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:00 AM EDT     2.80 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:48 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:46 PM EDT     2.97 feet High Tide
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Poughkeepsie, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

Hyde Park
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Fri -- 02:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:44 AM EDT     0.92 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:26 AM EDT     2.88 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:14 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:12 PM EDT     3.06 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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