Monday, November12, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Put-in-Bay, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 5:16PM Monday November 12, 2018 8:25 PM EST (01:25 UTC) Moonrise 11:47AMMoonset 9:24PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Lake Erie Open Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- 342 Pm Est Mon Nov 12 2018
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 knots or less increasing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain and snow early, then rain and snow likely from late evening on. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain and snow early, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of rain during the day, then snow or rain showers likely Thursday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..West winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of snow and rain showers during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Saturday..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. A chance of snow showers during the day. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
LEZ163 Expires:201811130315;;207007 FZUS61 KCLE 122042 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 342 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS...A weak cold front across the Central Great Lakes will push south across Lake Erie tonight. However, low pressure 29.90 inches over the Gulf Coast will deepen to 29.40 inches as it tracks NE along the East Coast on Tuesday. The low will deepen to 28.90 inches Wednesday as it tracks into Quebec. High pressure 30.50 inches will slide across the Upper Ohio Valley Wednesday and move off the New England Coast Thursday. Another coastal low will track NE off the East Coast Thursday. LEZ162>165-130315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Put-in-Bay, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 130001
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
701 pm est Mon nov 12 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure over the northern gulf coast will move northeast
to the coast of new jersey by Tuesday morning. High pressure to
the lee of the rockies will build east toward the local area
extending a ridge east over the region Tuesday afternoon through
Tuesday night. High pressure will develop over the region
Wednesday and move northeast to maine by Wednesday night.

Another area of low pressure will develop over florida and move
northeast along the coast to maine by the end of the work week.

Near term through Tuesday
Update... Made only minor changes for the early evening, mainly
to back off pops just for the next hour or two as most of the
radar return over the area is not reaching the ground. Rain snow
now working into western indiana and will move into nwrn oh by
02z-03z if current timing holds. No other changes.

Another round of light snow and snow showers is on the way for
northern ohio into northwest pennsylvania. A sharp upper level
trough is moving through the great lakes region over the next
24 hours. A surface cold front is moving westward across the
midwest will be pushing through northern ohio late tonight and
Tuesday morning.

Models have back off somewhat on moisture availability with the
synoptic system moving overhead tonight and early on Tuesday.

The light QPF will be favoring areas of northwest ohio and areas
of east central ohio. We are seeing radar echoes slowly filling
in and developing but this precipitation is initially fighting
some dry area closer to the surface with dewpoint depressions a
little high at this time. Eventually by mid to late evening, we
will see light precip begin to reach the ground in the form of
light rain or rain snow mix changing to all snow as the night
goes along. We will mention the possibility of a dusting to up
to 1 inch of snowfall area wide tonight into Tuesday morning
with the best chance of an inch will be northwest ohio near the
toledo area and across the snowbelt region.

The synoptic system pulls away during the day on Tuesday with
northwest winds ushering in colder air. Lake effect clouds and
scattered snow showers will be a common theme for Tuesday
especially for the snowbelt areas. The high-res models show lake
effect snow bands organizing and impacting far northeast ohio
into northwest pennsylvania tomorrow afternoon through early on
Wednesday. Additional 3 to 6 inches will be possible for these
areas under the persistent bands. We will likely need a winter
weather advisory for later tomorrow into tomorrow night and will
allow the overnight shift to take a closer look at the timing,
locations, and fine tune the amounts. Otherwise cold weather
Tuesday with highs only in the 30s and much colder for Tuesday
night with lows in the lower to middle 20s.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday night
Could see some lingering snow showers in the snowbelt Wednesday
morning, with the 850mb temps still around -12c. But much drier air
pushes in quickly as a large area of high pressure moves into the
lower lakes. The high will slide east across the lower lakes and
move off the new england coast early Thursday. Although models
differ some on the exact track and timing of the next system, the
trends are the same. A coastal low will track up the east coast
with a weak low or trough lifting north across the forecast area
late Thursday into Thursday night. Precip will likely start as a mix
then transition to snow Thursday evening night. Snow gradually ends
Friday as high pressure moves into the upper ohio valley lower
lakes.

Long term Friday through Monday
The progressive pattern continues into the long term forecast. The
high over the lower lakes sags SE allowing a clipper like system to
track across the great lakes Saturday. Although low stays north of
forecast area does drag another weak cold front across the area.

Timing of the front still in doubt. GFS moves the front through
Saturday while the ECMWF holds off until Saturday evening. After
that another area of high pressure tracks east across the lower
lakes, giving us a couple of days of dry conditions.

Aviation 00z Tuesday through Saturday
The TAF period begins withVFR conditions, though not for too
much longer. MVFR conditions will encompass the area as two
separate areas of snow impact NW oh, eastern oh and NW pa. The
heaviest snow bands could bring tempo ifr conditions to ktol
and kyng, though wasn't confident enough to put into taf. A dry
slot located over northern oh will slowly fill in tonight and
bring widespread MVFR CIGS to all TAF sites. CIGS will lower to
ifr levels for several hours tomorrow morning, especially
between 09-15z. Scattered snow showers will linger through
Tuesday afternoon, especially at keri, kcle, kcak, and kyng.

Winds will be light and variable tonight with a shift to
northwesterly winds Tuesday morning.

Outlook... Non-vfr all areas through Tuesday and then through
Wednesday northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania. Non-vfr
possible again Thursday night and Friday.

Marine
Winds turn to the NW tonight as a weak cold front pushes across the
lake. A small craft advisory will be needed Tuesday as the
winds increase to 15 to 25 knots as a coastal low tracks NE off
the mid atlantic coast. Small craft will likely continue into
Wednesday, when coastal low tracks into nova scotia and high
pressure builds across the lower lakes. Another small craft
advisory likely Thursday as second coastal low tracks NE along
the mid atlantic coast.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Griffin
near term... Griffin tk
short term... Djb
long term... Djb
aviation... Saunders
marine... Djb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TWCO1 10 mi26 min NNW 6 G 7 41°F 1020.3 hPa (-0.6)32°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi146 min WNW 2.9 G 4.1 40°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 13 mi26 min NE 1.9 G 1.9 39°F 1023.7 hPa (-0.7)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi38 min NNE 1.9 G 2.9
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi38 min Calm G 0 38°F 1023.1 hPa28°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi26 min SW 2.9 G 5.1 37°F 1021 hPa (-1.0)
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 36 mi36 min NNW 3.9 G 5.8 41°F 1023.4 hPa28°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi101 min Calm 35°F 1023 hPa28°F
LORO1 49 mi56 min SE 4.1 G 4.1 40°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi33 minN 09.00 miOvercast38°F28°F70%1024 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4S3S4SW3CalmSW3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW9SW10SW9W8W8W6SW6S5S4S4S5S8S8S10S11S10SW11SW12SW14SW10SW6SW3S3S5
2 days agoW22
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.