Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rocky Ridge, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:55AMSunset 5:32PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 4:27 AM EST (09:27 UTC) Moonrise 7:30AMMoonset 5:20PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Lake Erie Open Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 403 Am Est Tue Jan 16 2018
Today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of flurries. The lake is mostly ice covered.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of flurries early, then a chance of snow showers from late evening on.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers in the morning.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.
Thursday..Southwest winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 25 knots.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.
LEZ163 Expires:201801161530;;523627 FZUS61 KCLE 160903 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 403 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS...A weak trough of low pressure averaging 30.30 inches will linger across the eastern lakes through Tuesday. High pressure of 30.60 inches from the northern Plains will build into the Ohio Valley on Wednesday then settle south towards the gulf coast by Friday. Meanwhile a trough averaging 29.80 inches will pass north of the Great Lakes on Thursday. LEZ162>166-161530-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rocky Ridge, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 160900
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
400 am est Tue jan 16 2018

Synopsis
Weakening low pressure across lower michigan will drift
northeast today and leave a trough across the area for tonight.

High pressure will push up the ohio valley Wednesday and
Thursday then weaken and shift to the southeast u.S. For
Saturday. This will bring a warming trend to the area for the
second half of the week.

Near term through Wednesday
Cold air is really pushing into the area on the backside of
the clipper which is now broadly centered across lower
michigan ontario. Single digit readings are commonplace across
in and western oh including into the findlay area. Hancock and
wood counties are really the only portion of our area that will
be flirting with the -10 wind chill criteria through around 9 am
this morning. For this limited and marginal situation, we will
continue just to mention it in the hwo and in the forecast
itself. Interestingly enough, guidance temperatures across the
area today have quite the spread. Not quite sure what the met
guidance is seeing bringing fdy all the way up to 18 later this
afternoon especially after seeing the cold located upstream.

This cold air is just now arriving and therefore have sided
with the cooler mav and ec numbers. Far eastern areas still
will have snow chances and only minor accumulations if any.

Elsewhere only a few flurries here and there. Any breaks in the
overcast will be limited and fill back in.

Tonight the upper trough rotates across. Have the mention of
flurries with this. Lake effect enhancement a tough call with
an ice covered lake. With the trough swinging across have snow
shower chances across primarily erie co pa overnight with the
lake possibly providing some enhancement. Nothing organized.

Again guidance temperatures vary. Have gone on the colder side,
but not as cold as the ec hoping that cloud cover keeps us away
from too many sub zero temperatures. Winds will be lighter and
wind chills likely will not reach colder than the -10 mark.

Warm advection begins Wednesday and the area should recover
nicely into the upper teens and lower 20s.

Short term Wednesday night through Friday night
A quiet stretch of weather is in store later this week with a slow
warming trend developing. Shortwave ridging will be overhead on
Wednesday night followed by a compact upper wave passing northeast
of the area on Thursday. Southwesterly flow and warm advection will
be on the increase as the gradient tightens between surface high
pressure over the ohio valley and the approaching trough to the
north. Low levels will be dry with just passing mid and high clouds
and expecting partly to mostly sunny skies on Thursday and Friday.

High pressure along the gulf coast shifts to the east coast Friday
into Saturday allowing low level moisture return to develop. The
cloud field will thicken on Saturday with continued warm advection
and increasing isentropic ascent. High temperatures through the
period will gradually climb from the mid 20s on Thursday to the
lower 40s on Saturday.

Long term Saturday through Monday
The long term begins with a deep upper trough over the four corners
region and ridging across the eastern united states. Light rain
showers are possible Saturday night into early Sunday as a warm
front lifts north across the area. Temperatures on Sunday in the
warm sector will approach 50 degrees or better, melting the snowpack
once again. The upper low is expected to lift out of the plains and
move northeast across the midwest and upper great lakes Sunday night
through Monday night. Showers will accompany the occluded front as
it sweeps eastward Sunday night into Monday. Current timing suggests
highs on Monday will occur early in the day, with temperatures
falling behind the front to near normal values by Tuesday.

Aviation 06z Tuesday through Saturday
Largely MVFR for the remainder of the night. Steady light snow
will continue a while longer at cak yng although it is really
close to being finished at cak. This will continue the ifr
conditions there. Across the western terminals a few breaks will
allow for temporary pop ups toVFR. Weakening surface low will
remain north of the lake today with the upper trough arriving
for Tuesday night. Have continued the MVFR through the day
today as the most likely scenario, but dryingVFR noted just
upstream. Higher confidence that non-vfr conditions take place
Tuesday evening as the upper trough approaches. Southwest winds
will persist through the TAF period.

Outlook... Non-vfr likely Tuesday night into Wednesday with a
gradual shift to mainly just the snowbelt later on Wednesday.

Marine
Southwest winds will increase to 10 to 20 knots on lake erie today
behind a cold front. Winds will relax some Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning as a weak trough moves across the lake. Late
Wednesday into Thursday southwest winds will increase on the lake
again as the gradient tightens between high pressure over the ohio
valley and a series of troughs sliding across the upper lakes.

Southwest winds of 20-30 knots are possible on Thursday. Breezy
southwest winds of 10-20 knots continue into the weekend with a
return to above normal temperatures.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Oudeman
near term... Oudeman
short term... Kec
long term... Kec
aviation... Oudeman
marine... Kec


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi37 min SW 14 G 16 13°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 14 mi27 min WSW 20 G 22 11°F 1029.7 hPa (+2.5)
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi39 min SSW 8 G 12 11°F 1027.8 hPa6°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 22 mi39 min SW 5.1 G 9.9 12°F 1028.7 hPa7°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi27 min WSW 11 G 15 13°F 1026.8 hPa (+2.4)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi102 min WSW 4.1 19°F 1027 hPa13°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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N1

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi34 minSW 127.00 miOvercast10°F5°F80%1029.7 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI24 mi30 minSW 107.00 miLight Snow15°F8°F77%1027.4 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE8SE9SE8E9SE8E10SE10SE11SE11SE8S5S6S6S5S5S7SW7SW8SW8SW15SW16
G21
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1 day agoCalmS3S3SE3S3S9S10S10S10S10S9S5SE9SE9SE8SE6SE5E5SE6SE7SE5SE7SE9SE7
2 days agoNW14NW10NW14
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NW12N9NW8NW5NW6NW9NW7NW11NW4NW73NE3CalmNE4SW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.