Wednesday, May22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rocky Ridge, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 8:54PM Wednesday May 22, 2019 4:37 PM EDT (20:37 UTC) Moonrise 11:36PMMoonset 8:13AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LEZ163 Expires:201905230215;;289290 Fzus61 Kcle 221933 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 333 Pm Edt Wed May 22 2019 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis..A warm front will move northeast across lake erie this evening and tonight as low pressure 29.60 inches move onto lake superior. The low will continue across ontario into quebec Thursday dragging a trailing cold front across the lake. A ridge averaging 30.20 inches will move east across the lake Friday. A warm front will follow Friday night. A cold front will drop southeast across the lake Saturday night. High pressure 30.00 inches will move east across the central great lakes Sunday. A warm front will approach from the south on Monday. Lez162-163-230215- lake erie open waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie open waters from reno beach to the islands oh- 333 pm edt Wed may 22 2019
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms early. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Friday..North winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday night..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Sunday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ163


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rocky Ridge, OH
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.71, -83.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcle 221948
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
348 pm edt Wed may 22 2019

Synopsis
A warm front extending from low pressure over minnesota will
lift north across the area over the course of this evening and
tonight. As low pressure continues northeast across the upper
great lakes on Thursday, a cold front will settle south across
the area. This boundary will lift back north on Saturday as a
warm front then stall overhead on Sunday.

Near term through Thursday night
Plume of moisture continues to stream northward into ohio this
afternoon in advance of a warm front moving into central oh.

Scattered showers continue to break out and, up to this point,
have been without thunder. Closer to the warm front marginal
mucape exists and expect scattered thunderstorms to be possible
east of i-71 this evening as a narrow nose of instability works
into eastern oh with the shear to loosely organize storms. Mid
level lapse rates continue to remain poor. After about 10 or 11
pm, the remainder of the tonight forecast is dry, but we will
be looking upstream as convection nears northwest oh Thursday
morning. Latest trends is for this initial convection to arrive
earlier, but be able to retain modest strength. Low level jet
will carry this into the area and have likely pops march across
the area during the morning hours. Lapse rates are better and
will have a narrow corridor of MLCAPE and shear to maintain the
convection across. If indeed this is the case, pops would need
to be raised. But cold front is still off to the northwest and
will not cross until later in the afternoon so some
redevelopment is likely with at least scattered coverage. Areas
along east remain in the SPC slight risk. Partially clearing and
drying out faster too Thursday night with high pressure
shifting across the central great lakes. Temperatures will be
mild tonight in the warm sector with the southerly flow. Warm
again Thursday, although it may be a slow start with precip to
start. Lows in the lower mid 50s Thursday night in the wake of
the cold front.

Short term Friday through Saturday night
Friday begins with high pressure across the area, extending in
from the north. To our west and southwest, a warm front will be
near a chicago to cincinnati line. As the front moves ene into
the area Friday night, the NAM shows capes rise to over 1000
j kg in the warm sector but much of this is elevated and the air
aloft will be fairly dry so for now will have Friday dry and
Friday night mainly slight chance with a low chance pop north.

Saturday capes again rise to 1500-2000 j kg with afternoon
heating. Models also show a cold front advancing into the area
from the north. The day should start dry for most but in the
afternoon will boost pops to likely much of the area. Models
hinting on the cold front stalling out dissipating somewhere in
the area Saturday night although for now will taper pops into
the low chance slight chance category. Sunday will continue with
chance likely pops with the weak front in the area. Highs
Friday mostly 70s. Highs Saturday 80 to 85. Sunday highs 75 to
80.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
Monday the weak cold front from Sunday will track back north as
a warm front ahead of low pressure moving into the western
lakes. No real forcing otherwise so will just have chance pops
for the day for afternoon evening convection. Monday night will
drop to slight chance as the low moves northeast through the
western and central lakes. Seems any forcing would be well away
from the area. Tuesday the GFS shows stability rather low with
afternoon li's around -7c and what looks like a prefrontal
trough in advance of the warm front tracking across the area in
the afternoon. For now will have chance pops. The cold front
associated with the low will move through on Wednesday. Will
continue with chance pops for the balance of the forecast.

Aviation 18z Wednesday through Monday
Scattered showers, and eventually isolated scattered
thunderstorms are expected for the remainder of the afternoon
and through the evening hours. Best chance for thunder will be
mfd cak and possibly yng where they can get unstable. There is a
few hour window where some of the storms could get on the strong
side with brief gust of wind of 40 knots. OtherwiseVFR outside
of heavier showers or ts. Winds will be out of the south and
veer more southwesterly Thursday with gusts around 25 knots.

Convection will be approaching from the west early Thursday
morning and will likely impact cle mfd fdy tol before 18z
Thursday. Continued the mention of llws for tol fdy as the low
level jet approaches before morning. The actual cold front will
not cross until Thursday evening.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible in thunderstorms Thursday
afternoon Thursday night, and at times Saturday through Monday.

Marine
Have dropped the lakeshore flood warning as easterly flow has
weakened. Low pressure moves through the northern and central
lakes overnight forcing a warm front northeast across the lake.

A cold front will follow from the northwest on Thursday.

Guidance has winds increasing to around 15 to 20 knots on the
central and eastern basin. Highest waves are expected to remain
out of the nearshore waters but it will get close to small craft
conditions. For now will not issue a headline but one may be
needed. Winds turn northwest but diminish behind the cold front
Thursday night. Light wind will continue through Friday night.

Saturday southerly flow will increase to around 15 knots behind
another warm front and in advance of the next cold front. Winds
will diminish and turn northwest on Saturday night. Winds will
remain light through the balance of the forecast.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Oudeman
near term... Oudeman
short term... Tk
long term... Tk
aviation... Oudeman
marine... Tk


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi97 min E 2.9 G 2.9 57°F
45165 10 mi27 min ENE 3.9 G 5.8 59°F 60°F2 ft54°F
TWCO1 10 mi27 min NW 6 G 8 60°F 1012.5 hPa56°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 14 mi37 min NNW 1 G 1.9 61°F 1016.4 hPa (-1.0)
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi43 min S 5.1 G 7 68°F 1016.1 hPa57°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 22 mi43 min SSW 1.9 G 4.1 63°F 56°F1015.8 hPa57°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi37 min SSW 4.1 G 5.1 70°F 1014.9 hPa (-1.4)
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 36 mi67 min E 7.8 G 12 58°F 62°F1015.9 hPa55°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi112 min SE 1 66°F 1017 hPa63°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
Last
24hr
E7
E6
E8
G11
E5
E6
E9
G12
E9
E10
G14
E12
G15
E14
G18
E9
G12
E9
G13
E11
G14
E11
G15
E11
G14
E10
G14
N3
G6
E12
G18
E7
G10
E8
G11
E9
E4
E2
SW2
G5
1 day
ago
W13
G21
NW8
G15
NW11
G15
NW11
G15
NW7
G11
NW5
G8
NW5
NW5
NW4
NW3
G6
NW4
NW5
G8
N3
G6
NW3
NW5
E4
NW3
SE3
G10
E8
G11
NE12
G16
E10
G13
E11
E7
G11
E8
G11
2 days
ago
SW8
G11
S11
G14
S15
S9
G16
S10
G17
SW9
G16
SW5
G11
SW8
G12
SW7
G11
W5
G9
W6
G10
W7
G11
SW5
G8
W11
G17
W8
G12
W10
G21
W8
G12
W14
G19
W12
G22
W12
G19
W11
G19
W12
G19
W9
G19
W8
G15

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI24 mi41 minSE 410.00 miOvercast65°F58°F79%1016.3 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi44 minS 710.00 miPartly Cloudy71°F61°F71%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
Last 24hrE7E8E8E7E5E4E5E6E6E7E7E6E9E10E8E11--NE7CalmE7E7SE7CalmS7
1 day agoW16NW15NW9NW10NW10NW11NW6N7N3N3N4NW3N3CalmCalmCalmS4CalmE5E9
G15
NE9E7SE8E9
2 days agoSW13S9S15S15
G20
S15
G24
S15
G22
SW10SW10SW7SW7SW6SW6SW10W10W12W11
G20
W14
G21
W15W12W13NW15
G22
W15
G24
W17
G23
W15
G25

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (16,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.