Saturday, June23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Grove, MA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:09AMSunset 8:25PM Saturday June 23, 2018 5:24 PM EDT (21:24 UTC) Moonrise 4:07PMMoonset 2:29AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ236 Narragansett Bay- 347 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Tonight..E winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog. A chance of showers with isolated tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..W winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 347 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. Showers and a few Thunderstorms will linger into Sun as a cold front moves across southern new england. The front will move offshore Mon. High pres builds into the region Tue through Thu. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Grove, MA
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location: 41.74, -71.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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Fxus61 kbox 232026
afdbox
area forecast discussion
national weather service boston norton ma
426 pm edt Sat jun 23 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will slowly shift north, bringing showers and a
few thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight. Low pressure from
the great lakes moves across new england Sunday and will bring
showers and a few thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon
and evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible
Monday. Sunny and seasonable weather Tuesday into Wednesday with
high pressure in control. After some showers and thunderstorms
Wednesday night and Thursday, summer heat and humidity will
return Friday and Saturday as this high moves east of the
region.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
Tonight...

radar shows showers upstream in pa. More showers thunder over
va. These trend to our area after 00z and through the first half
of the night.

The first of two shortwaves will move over new england during
that time. This will motivate a warm front to move north of our
area, generating low level lift during passage and bringing
higher dew points more humidity overnight. Pw values remain
elevated, roughly 1.5 to 1.75 inches, which is 1-1.5 sd above
normal. Expect showers and scattered tstms to continue through
the first part of the night. Once the warm front moves through,
expect precip to diminish. Min temps will be near dew point,
roughly mid 50s to lower 60s.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Sunday night
Another shortwave moves through the flow Sunday and Sunday
night. The shortwave will generate a wave on the warm front,
which then draws the warm front back to the south as a cold
front later in the day and early night. The upper temp field
features a small amount of cold advection, which will cause some
destabilization. The wind and divergence fields are enough to
generate adequate lift Sunday afternoon and early night.

With the high pw values, a few heavy downpours are possible. The
spc href ensemble shows a 70-90 percent chance CAPE reaching
1000 joules kg in western ct and western ma Sunday late
aftn evening. We will mention a chance of strong gusts and
locally heavy downpours.

We will forecast showers and scattered thunder, with the
favored time from midday through evening. Temps in the mixed
layer reach an equiv of 10-12c, so with appreciable heating we
should reach the 70s with the interior in the upper 70s low 80s.

Dew points will be in the 60s, so expect a warm muggy day. Min
temps Sunday night will be near the dew points, in the 60s.

Long term Monday through Saturday
Highlights...

* seasonable temperatures through thurs.With chance of showers
Monday and wed. Night thurs.

* prolonged heat wave may begin next weekend...

Monday...

a vigorous shortwave and cold pool aloft dives southward and
into northern ma on Monday. 500 mb temperatures drop to -22c
which leads to total totals indices on the order of 50-53 Monday
afternoon. Winds are forecast to be from the northeast in
eastern ma and ri but from the northwest in western ma and
northern ct, leading to some low level convergence. Despite
temperatures only reaching the low to mid 70s, the cold air
aloft will lead to enough instability to create a chance of
showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and early evening
hours. The best chances will be in central and eastern ma.

Tuesday...

sunny and pleasant with surface high pressure centered just south
of the region. Low humidity, with dewpoints in the mid and upper
40s. Clear tue. Night with pleasant sleeping conditions with
lows in the 50s.

Wednesday...

wed. Will be a mainly sunny day but clouds will increase mainly in
western areas as the afternoon progresses. This is due to a
significant influx of moisture aloft spreading in from west to
east. K indices increase from single digits to near 30 by wed.

Evening. Highs mainly 80 to 85.

Wednesday night and Thursday...

a cold front moves into the region with increasing moisture and
precipitable waters approaching 1.7 to 2.0 inches. Showers and a
few thunderstorms are likely, with some potentially heavy
downpours. The front exits the region thu. Night, bringing an
end to the precipitation.

Friday and Saturday...

the upper level pattern changes significantly, with a closed
ridge of high pressure becoming centered just south of our
region... And strengthening through the weekend and into the
following week, for that matter. High pressure at the surface
slides off to our southeast. This will lead to mainly sunny
skies, but high heat and humidity. Have used wpc guidance
temperatures, which were on the upper end of guidance values,
for this time period. Forecasting upper 80s and lower 90s Friday
and lower to mid 90s on Saturday, with dewpoints rising to near
70 by Saturday. Heat advisories will likely be needed,
especially by Saturday.

Although the forecast does not go beyond Saturday, there are
signals that this could be the beginnings of a prolonged heat
wave, with the heat and humidity possibly lasting well into the
first week of july.

Aviation 20z Saturday through Thursday
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Sunday night ... High confidence through midday,
then moderate confidence.

Tonight...

showers and a few thunderstorms developing upstream during the
afternoon will move through the region this evening and early
tonight. Meanwhile a warm front is moving north across the
region, and this is bringing lower cigs. Ifr CIGS will move
north, covering much of the region by this evening and linger
through the night. Showers will bring brief vsby reductions to
2-4 miles. Vsbys will go even lower in fog along the south
coast with potential for 1 4 mile vsbys on nantucket.

Sunday...

ifr CIGS vsbys early, but improving toVFR during the morning.

Low conditions may continue through the morning on the islands,
but should improve toVFR around midday. Low pressure moves
across new england during the day, swinging a cold front through
the region during the afternoon evening. This will bring showers
and a few thunderstorms. Overall conditions should beVFR from
midday through evening, but with brief lowering to MVFR during
showers tstrms.

Sunday night...

showers scattered tstms end early. Any low conditions will
improve toVFR overnight. Winds trend nnw overnight bringing
drier air.

Kbos terminal... High confidence in TAF trends. Moderate
confidence in timing.

Kbdl terminal... High confidence in TAF trends. Moderate
confidence in timing.

Outlook Monday through Thursday ... Moderate confidence.

Monday: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Breezy. Slight
chance shra, slight chance tsra.

Monday night through Tuesday night:VFR.

Wednesday:VFR. Breezy.

Wednesday night: mainly MVFR, with areasVFR possible. Breezy.

Chance shra and tsra.

Thursday: mainly MVFR, with localVFR possible. Breezy. Chance
shra and tsra.

Marine
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Sunday night ... High confidence.

Tonight...

e-se winds with gusts, but generally below 20 knots. Winds
become light with variable directions tonight. The outer edge of
the southern waters shows 5 foot seas. Showers and scattered
thunderstorms will swing across from the mid atlantic states
early tonight, then move off to the east after midnight.

Expect areas of fog with visibility 2 miles or less.

Sunday...

winds shift out of the southwest during the day but remain
light. Seas will mostly be less than 5 feet, except for seas at
5 feet on the outer part of the southern outer waters. Much of
this is from a 5-6 foot swell south of our waters. Visibility 1
to 3 miles early in fog, improving by midday. Expect a chance
of showers and scattered thunderstorms, mostly during the
afternoon.

Sunday night...

winds less than 25 knots, and seas mostly less than 5 feet.

Some lingering 5 foot seas in the southern part of our southern
waters. A cold front will move south across the waters early in
the night, and may continue to generate showers and a chance of
a thunderstorm. This should move out to sea overnight.

Outlook Monday through Thursday ... Moderate confidence.

Monday: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Slight chance of rain showers.

Monday night: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft.

Tuesday: winds less than 25 kt. Seas below 5 ft.

Tuesday night through Wednesday: winds less than 25 kt. Seas
locally approaching 5 ft.

Wednesday night: low risk for small craft advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Slight chance of showers or
a thunderstorm.

Thursday: moderate risk for small craft advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to as much as 7 ft on the outer
waters. Chance of showers and a few thunderstorms.

Box watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ma... None.

Ri... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 2 am Sunday to 6 am edt Monday for
anz254>256.

Synopsis... Wtb gaf
near term... Wtb
short term... Wtb
long term... Gaf
aviation... Wtb gaf
marine... Wtb gaf


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 3 mi54 min NNE 11 G 12 63°F 69°F1010.3 hPa
PVDR1 5 mi54 min NE 6 G 8.9 64°F 1010.9 hPa60°F
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 7 mi99 min ENE 8.9 64°F 1011 hPa63°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 7 mi54 min ENE 7 G 9.9 63°F 1010.4 hPa
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 7 mi54 min ENE 8.9 G 11 62°F 66°F1010.3 hPa
FRXM3 7 mi54 min 63°F 61°F
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 7 mi54 min NE 11 G 14 63°F 1010.3 hPa
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 8 mi54 min 63°F 68°F1010.8 hPa
PRUR1 9 mi54 min 62°F 61°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 12 mi54 min NNE 11 G 12 62°F 68°F1010.5 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 16 mi54 min N 6 G 8.9 63°F 61°F1010 hPa
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 28 mi84 min NE 13 G 14 61°F 1010.5 hPa (-1.5)
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 37 mi54 min 64°F 64°F1010.3 hPa
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 43 mi99 min 1.9 66°F 1010 hPa65°F
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 45 mi54 min 61°F 1011 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 49 mi54 min ENE 5.1 G 7 65°F 62°F1009.6 hPa

Wind History for Conimicut Light, RI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Providence, Theodore Francis Green State Airport, RI7 mi33 minNE 710.00 miOvercast64°F59°F84%1010.7 hPa
N. Kingston / Quonset, RI11 mi34 minENE 105.00 miFog/Mist63°F59°F88%1010.5 hPa
Pawtucket, North Central State Airport, RI13 mi28 minNE 95.00 miFog/Mist61°F57°F90%1005.4 hPa
Newport, Newport State Airport, RI14 mi31 minNE 52.50 miFog/Mist63°F62°F97%1010.1 hPa
Taunton, Taunton Municipal Airport, MA18 mi32 minVar 42.50 miFog/Mist62°F59°F90%1010.4 hPa
New Bedford, New Bedford Regional Airport, MA18 mi31 minNE 73.00 miFog/Mist63°F63°F100%1009.9 hPa

Wind History from PVD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS11S8S7S5SE6SE8CalmCalmCalmE4NE4NE5NE5NE6NE7E7SE6E11NE7E8NE9NE11NE9NE7
1 day agoS8S7S7S3S4CalmCalmCalmNW3--N4N4N7NE8NE8NE7NE7E84SE8S11S10S11S12
2 days agoSW9SW9SW9S6SW8SW5SW6W6SW6SW5SW5W6SW5S5SW4S8SE8SE8SE66SE6S7SE11
G21
S12

Tide / Current Tables for Warren, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island
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Warren
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:05 AM EDT     4.46 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:51 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:33 PM EDT     5.39 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.71.22.13.14.14.54.13.121.10.60.50.71.22.13.34.55.35.34.53.32.11.20.7

Tide / Current Tables for Westport River Entrance, Massachusetts Current
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Westport River Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:12 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:18 AM EDT     2.42 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 05:37 AM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:04 AM EDT     -2.12 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 12:35 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:43 PM EDT     2.46 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 04:05 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:02 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:35 PM EDT     -2.24 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.20.81.72.42.21-0.6-1.7-2.1-2-1.6-1.2-0.50.41.42.22.41.60.1-1.4-2.1-2.2-2-1.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.