Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Long Beach, IN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:52PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 4:24 PM CST (22:24 UTC) Moonrise 9:08PMMoonset 10:01AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ046 Michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 252 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday afternoon...
Tonight..West wind 10 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Cloudy through midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Slight chance of freezing rain through midnight. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet after midnight.
Thursday..West wind 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 knots. Chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 4 to 7 feet occasionally to 9 feet in the afternoon.
Thursday night..West wind 20 to 25 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Heavy freezing spray. Chance of snow showers. Waves 6 to 10 feet occasionally to 13 feet.
Friday..West wind 15 to 25 knots. Heavy freezing spray through the day. Slight chance of snow showers in the morning. Chance of snow in the afternoon. Waves 5 to 8 feet occasionally to 10 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet in the afternoon. The water temperature off michigan city is 33 degrees...and 33 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ046 Expires:201901240515;;813331 FZUS53 KIWX 231954 CCA NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana...Correction National Weather Service Northern Indiana 252 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ046-240515-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Long Beach, IN
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location: 41.74, -86.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 231957
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
257 pm est Wed jan 23 2019

Synopsis
Issued at 208 pm est Wed jan 23 2019
a cold front crossing the area will usher in colder air overnight
with a few snow showers possible downwind of lake michigan. Much
colder air will then follow late Thursday as an arctic cold front
swings through the area. Bitterly cold highs in the single digits
expected on Friday with wind chill values around 20 below zero.

Periodic snow showers will be possible at times through the
weekend... Especially in the lake effect snow belts... But any
accumulations will be light.

Short term (tonight through Thursday night)
issued at 208 pm est Wed jan 23 2019
cold front pushing through WRN zones at this hour and will clear ern
zones by sundown. Thus frontal rain band will come to an end w-e
this aftn with sharp post frontal cold advection following this
evening. Water ponding on area roads will refreeze in short order as
temps crash through the 20s.

Robust NRN stream SW disturbance amplifying through the james bay
vicinity Thursday will send another surge of arctic air south into
the oh valley. Expect sct snow showers with frontal passage in the
aftn and some limited lake response. However given inherent dryness
of this airmass, limited fetch and general poor microphysical
structure aloft accumulations will be quite limited < 3" in
aggregate in favored lake zones.

Long term (Friday through Tuesday)
issued at 208 pm est Wed jan 23 2019
lake based snow showers will diminish Fri morning as flow backs
ahead of new SW disturbance amplifying through base of broad ERN us
upper trough. This system still looks quite disorganized not to
mention moisture starved yet will spread some light snow across the
area Fri night Sat morning along with some moderation in temps.

Otherwise things remain interesting heading into Mon as vigorous sw
originating out of the epac south of the aleutians overtops WRN noam
upper ridge and amplifies sewd through the great lakes. As noted
yesterday emergence of lead current of return moisture off the gomex
along with strong warm advection into retreating cold dome implying
a robust precip response INVOF low level baroclinic zone. Too early
to suggest any further detail other than some ptype issues likely in
the CWA given eroding cold dome. However deterministic signals,
along with considerable ensemble spread continue to oscillate with
where this system ultimately tracks.

Thereafter looks to bring about the coldest airmass yet with
upstream cross polar flow developing as polar vortex swings south of
hudson bay mid week.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Thursday afternoon)
issued at 1205 pm est Wed jan 23 2019
a steady light rain and lifr to ifr conditions will likely continue
at kfwa through 21 22z, while ksbn begins to dry out with lingering
areas of drizzle. Mainly dry with some improvement into low MVFR
otherwise into tonight-thur. There is an outside chance for patchy
drizzle or snow flurries at ksbn tonight given some lake
enhancement, though chances are too low for a mention in the taf.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... Winter weather advisory from 1 pm Thursday to 10 am est Friday
for miz077-078.

Oh... None.

Lm... Small craft advisory until 5 am est Thursday for lmz043-046.

Synopsis... T
short term... T
long term... T
aviation... Steinwedel
visit us at

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 16 mi45 min WNW 7 G 8.9 28°F 1007.8 hPa
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 32 mi145 min NW 13 G 16 33°F 1005.1 hPa (+1.7)
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL 35 mi37 min W 5.1 G 8.9 25°F 1007.2 hPa22°F
JAKI2 37 mi145 min WNW 6 G 9.9 27°F
CNII2 40 mi25 min WNW 8.9 G 15 26°F 21°F
FSTI2 44 mi145 min NW 16 25°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Michigan City Municipal Airport, IN4 mi1.8 hrsWNW 9 G 141.75 miLight Snow30°F28°F93%1006.1 hPa

Wind History from MGC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S5S4S4SE4S3CalmSE4SE3S4SE4SE4S4S5SE6S5SW7W6W6NW7NW8NW10
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1 day agoSE6SE7SE9
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2 days agoSE5CalmCalmCalmE6E8NE8E6E8E6E4CalmSW5CalmCalmCalmSE6SE5SE4SE5S5SE7SE6SE4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.