Tuesday, October17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hyde Park, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 6:11PM Tuesday October 17, 2017 8:20 PM EDT (00:20 UTC) Moonrise 4:43AMMoonset 5:30PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 735 Pm Edt Tue Oct 17 2017
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..N winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 735 Pm Edt Tue Oct 17 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure settles just south of the coastal waters tonight into Wednesday and will remain in control through the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hyde Park, NY
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location: 41.78, -73.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 172349
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
749 pm edt Tue oct 17 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will move off the eastern seaboard tonight, and
will remain in the vicinity through the remainder of the week,
allowing dry conditions to persist through the weekend.

Temperatures will trend back to above seasonal normals.

Near term through Wednesday
Ridging will dominate with it strengthen some on Wednesday.

Mainly clear skies expected; some thin cirrus may graze area
overnight into Wednesday as a short wave passes to our north.

Also there is the possibility for some fog late tonight into
early Wednesday morning; especially in areas prone to fog
development.

Not as cold as last night; seasonable chilly with lows in the
mid 30s to lower 40s. Temperatures will moderate Wednesday
rising to above normal levels with the surface high centered to
south. Expecting highs in the upper 50s to near 70 degrees;
around 10 degrees above normal.

Winds will range from light southerly to calm overnight with a
light south to southwest flow Wednesday.

Short term Wednesday night through Friday
Wednesday night into Thursday, weak height falls will occur
locally as a baggy midlevel trough approaches in conjunction
with a stronger disturbance tracking east to the north of the
international border. The effect this will have on the local
weather will be largely nil as the column will remain very dry
and local forcing will be weak. Mid and high level clouds may
increase somewhat. Lows Wednesday night will be milder than
tonight with a warmer airmass in place. As for high temps
Thursday, mav MOS is 5-10f warmer than met MOS over much of the
capital district, likely due to the forecast deeper mixing and
veered SW flow in the GFS compared with the nam. Will use a
blend of the two, similar to the superblend temps. We saw last
Sunday that the warm temps forecast by the mav MOS ended up
being too high which could end up being the case here.

Surface winds will veer Thursday night into Friday as a weak
frontal boundary tracks through the region and high pressure
rebuilds into the upper ohio valley and western new york. Temps
will be knocked down a few degrees relative to Thursday as h850
temps fall around 5c. Still expecting highs several degrees
above normal with abundant sunshine.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
High pressure will transit the region over the weekend,
providing a continuation of tranquil and seasonably mild
weather. Signals of a pattern change for early next week as a
strong pacific jet carves out an upper trough over the northern
plains which migrates eastward. Considerable uncertainty with
how this will play out, but medium-range forecast models and
ensembles suggest shower chances as early as Monday as the
leading edge of height falls approaches, but more likely by
Tuesday and thereafter.

Aviation 00z Wednesday through Sunday
Ridging will dominate with it strengthen some on Wednesday.

There is the possibility for some MVFR fog possible late
tonight into early Wednesday morning at kgfl and kpsf. Otherwise
vfr conditions are expected through the TAF period;
00z Thursday. Some thin cirrus may graze area overnight into
Wednesday as a short wave passes to our north.

Winds will range from light southerly to calm overnight with a
light south to southwest flow Wednesday.

Outlook...

Wednesday night-Sunday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
High pressure will move off the eastern seaboard tonight, and
will remain in the vicinity through the remainder of the week,
allowing dry conditions to persist through the weekend.

Temperatures will trend back to above seasonal normals.

After some dew frost formation tonight, rh values will bottom
out mainly in the 40 to 50 percent range Wednesday and Thursday.

Winds will be from the west to southwest at mainly around 5 to
10 mph Wednesday and Thursday, possibly a bit higher on
Thursday.

Hydrology
No precipitation is expected through at least the end of the
week thanks to persistent high pressure, with flows remaining
at normal to below normal seasonal levels. The next chance of
rainfall is early next week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Kl thompson
near term... Iaa 11
short term... Thompson
long term... Thompson
aviation... Iaa
fire weather... Thompson
hydrology... Kl thompson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 17 mi51 min 52°F 1023 hPa38°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 58 mi51 min SW 6 G 8.9 66°F1024.3 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 60 mi96 min S 12 G 14 57°F 39°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY10 mi28 minN 010.00 miFair48°F36°F63%1023.5 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY20 mi36 minWSW 510.00 miClear50°F37°F62%1024.4 hPa

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW11NW4CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3NE5CalmCalmSW5SW6S7S4S4Calm
1 day agoSW8SW7S5S4W7SW6W4W96N5NW10NW9NW9NE9NW8N9N9N8NW7NW6NW6N4N4NW10
G15
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4SE3SW85
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Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
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Hyde Park
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Tue -- 04:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:14 AM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:12 PM EDT     3.75 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 06:34 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.63.32.61.81.10.3-0.10.10.81.82.73.43.73.632.21.40.70.10.10.71.62.53.2

Tide / Current Tables for Poughkeepsie, Hudson River, New York
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Poughkeepsie
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Tue -- 04:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:46 AM EDT     3.65 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:08 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.42.92.21.50.70-0.10.31.22.12.93.53.63.32.61.81.10.4-00.31.122.73.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.