Saturday, September23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Friendsville, PA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 6:59PM Saturday September 23, 2017 2:19 PM EDT (18:19 UTC) Moonrise 9:11AMMoonset 8:09PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Friendsville , PA
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location: 41.88, -75.96     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 231744
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
144 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017

Synopsis
Strong high pressure will build in and persist across the region
this weekend and into the middle of next week with quiet weather and
warm temperatures. A more seasonal airmass, along with rain
showers, will arrive later this week.

Near term through Sunday
1050 am update...

forecast in great shape no changes necessary, enjoy!!!
225 am update... Very quiet weather conditions in the near term
with the only concern being the areas of fog, locally dense,
especially in the valleys this morning and again Sunday
morning... And the much above average temperatures this weekend.

Upper level ridge of high pressure and associated surface high will
continue to build across the ERN great lakes and northeast today
with generally quiet weather conditions. Already seeing patchy fog
develop on latest goes-16 nighttime microphysics composite
imagery... Mainly across the SRN tier of ny and just north of
syracuse in oswego county. Fog will likely continue to expand across
the susquehanna river basin early this morning, but the challenge
will be in determining if the fog to the north will make it south
into syracuse. Most of the high res model guidance initializing with
the fog shows a period of patchy fog into NRN onondaga county this
morning, but nothing too extensive in terms of coverage and
intensity.

After the fog lifts and mixes out this morning much of the area
should remain under mostly sunny skies with light winds and
temperatures climbing into the lower to mid 80s. The warmest
locations will be the lake plain of central ny and the wyoming
valley in NE pa... Where temps could rise into the upper 80s.

Should see another night of valley fog tonight and Sunday morning
similar to this morning, with high pressure continuing to dominate
the region. The warm air mass... 850mb temps around 2-3 standard
deviations above normal... Will MAX out on Sunday with highs
rocketing into the mid to upper 80s... Close to 90 across the valley
locations of the twin tiers and NE pa... And also the NRN portions of
the finger lakes into the mohawk valley.

Short term Sunday night through Tuesday night
350 am update...

warm high pressure at the surface and aloft will result in
temperatures approaching daily record highs.

We may be past the equinox now, but summer weather will be in
full swing early in the week. 500mb-700mb heights and 850mb
temperatures will be about two standard deviations or so above
normal, as very warm upper high finishes settling over from the
western-central great lakes to directly over our region. It
will be a stagnant thermally capped atmosphere. The lack of full
mixing will keep winds light and floppy while also maintaining
daytime dewpoints well into the 60s. That will make our Monday
highs of mid-to-upper 80s feel rather oppressive, with heat
indices at lower elevations into the lower 90s. Daily records
for Monday the 25th are 86 2007 for binghamton, 89 1908 for
scranton (avoca), and 91 2007 for syracuse. We are currently
forecasting highs to be only 1-3 degrees shy of those values,
and some spots could hit 90 degrees.

Canadian gem global model and to a lesser degree the NAM model
try to encroach just enough moisture into the area by Tuesday-
Tuesday night for perhaps a couple spotty showers in the
poconos to catskills; other models are dry. Overall the high
pressure has a pretty good hold on the region and so I limited
shower chances Tuesday to only slight range for now in those
locations and dry elsewhere. It appears to be another warm and
muggy day, with highs 14-18 degrees above normal; still within a
few degrees of daily records.

As for nighttime periods, with dewpoints above 60 degrees yet
also mainly clear sky Sunday night, conditions will be favorable for
valley fog which has been the ongoing theme of most nights
recently. Lows will be mainly in the lower 60s through the
period. There may be a few more clouds especially east of i-81
for Monday night and Tuesday night, but probably not enough to
prevent continued valley fog each night for typical locations.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
350 am update...

forecast adjusted towards latest multi-model blend. Still fairly
warm Wednesday but an abrupt change to a fresh fall air mass
expected later this week. Little change overall to prior
forecast.

Previous discussion...

by next Wednesday, the ridge will begin to break down as a cold
front approaches from the north and west. Also, maria will be
moving north and likely somewhere off the carolina coast around
this time but will likely stay far enough east not to have a
major impact on our weather. The cold front will bring a chance
of showers and even a few thunderstorms by Wednesday afternoon
into the evening. Beyond this time, temperatures will return to
more seasonable levels as the ridge is replaced by an upper
level trough. While no major systems are foreseen at this time
for late next week, we keep low chances for showers in the
forecast due to upper trough.

Aviation 18z Saturday through Thursday
Valley fog is expected again overnight with possibly stratus
impacting the lake plain and the western mohawk valley with
light northwest flow just off the deck resulting in low level
saturation from lake ontario. At kelm, conditions will be near
airport minimums from 09z-12z with improvement toVFR by 13z.

At kith, MVFR conditions are likely between 09z-13z with ifr
possible. At kbgm, MVFR conditions are possible from 10z-12z as
the fog lifts out of the valley. At ksyr krme, a low confidence
forecast with stratus development but possibly MVFR ifr
conditions between 10z-13z. At kavp, no restrictions are
forecast. Outside of the fog conditions will beVFR basically
skc.

Winds N NW at 5-8 knots becoming light and variable this evening
then NW on Sunday around 5 knots.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Tuesday...VFR except for fog possible each
late night early morning, especially at kelm but for other
terminals as well at times.

Wednesday Thursday... Restrictions possible in scattered
showers.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Bjt rrm
near term... Bjt rrm
short term... Mdp
long term... Mdp pcf
aviation... Rrm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY24 mi27 minN 810.00 miFair81°F51°F35%1019.8 hPa

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8N10N11N7N7N8N8N7N8CalmW4NW3NW4W3CalmW6NW4SE3N4N6NW4N83N8
1 day agoN7NW8NW8N6N6N7N8N8N6N7NE5N4CalmNE4N5NE5NE6N6NE5NE4N5--N10N7
2 days ago4N8N9
G15
N8N6N6NW7NW6N9N8N7N4N3CalmNW5NW5NW6NW5CalmNW3N3Calm3NE7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.