Tuesday, December18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Raynham Center, MA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:16PM Tuesday December 18, 2018 3:14 PM EST (20:14 UTC) Moonrise 2:43PMMoonset 3:12AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ234 Buzzards Bay- 140 Pm Est Tue Dec 18 2018
.gale warning in effect until 10 pm est this evening...
This afternoon..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of light freezing spray in the evening.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. A chance of rain in the evening, then rain after midnight.
Fri..SE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Fri night..S winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas around 5 ft. Rain, mainly in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 5 ft.
Sat night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 140 Pm Est Tue Dec 18 2018
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. NW gales on the waters this afternoon, will diminish tonight into Wed as high pres crests over the waters. This high pres will shift offshore late Wed into Thu, resulting in sw winds and moderating temperatures. A storm system will approach srn new england from the sw Fri and Fri night, which will bring a slug of rain along with unseasonably muggy conditions. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Raynham Center, MA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.9, -71.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbox 181735
afdbox
area forecast discussion
national weather service boston norton ma
1235 pm est Tue dec 18 2018

Synopsis
Expect windy and cold conditions today. High pressure will
bring dry conditions for mid week, with a moderating
temperature trend peaking on Friday. Strong low pressure will
pass west of the region Thursday night into early next weekend,
bringing rain that will fall heavily at times especially during
Friday. Colder temperatures then return early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
1015 am update...

gusty northwest winds continue this morning... Recent
observations have been near or below wind advisory criteria and
are expected to decrease slowly through the day. For this reason
the wind advisory has been shortened, ending at 11 am. Winds,
though, will remain elevated through the afternoon. As expected
a few mid-high clouds traverse the eastern ma coast as the
shortwave rotates through... These should be brief and scattered
in nature.

645 am update...

upper low pressure south of nova scotia. A shortwave in the flow
around the low sweeps across eastern mass this morning and then
moves out to sea.

11z pressure change chart shows the core of pressure rises
directly over SRN new england. Expect this to move offshore
during the morning, at which point pressures rise more slowly
and the pressure gradient relaxes... Therefore, less wind.

Observed winds along the coast have been borderline for a wind
advisory, but close enough to keep the advisory in place
through the morning.

Mixing to about 925 mb, with temps at that level around -8c.

That suggests high temps either side of freezing. So the current
forecast looks fine at this time.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Wednesday
High pressure will be our dominant weather feature tonight into
Wednesday. Winds will continue to diminish through this period,
and be more from the W than nw. Dry weather expected through
this period.

Very cold conditions tonight, with low temperatures in the
single digits above zero and teens common away from the
immediate coast. With some sunshine Wednesday and warm air
advection beginning, high temperatures recover some, but will
remain below normal.

Long term Wednesday night through Monday
Big picture...

Thursday shows ridges over the western atlantic and the rockies,
while a deep trough digs over the mississippi valley. Closed low in
the base of the deep trough will sweep up the east coast Friday and
across new england Saturday. The flow over the usa then becomes more
zonal, with an embedded shortwave moving through early in the week.

Mass field show good agreement through Friday and possibly Saturday.

Mslp fields show the surface low taking an inside track through
ny pa Friday. All show the zonal upper flow Sunday-Monday, but with
different timing for the movement of the shortwave. Thermal fields
are similar through Friday with h850 temperatures in the mid teens
briefly moving up across our area Friday.

Concerns...

Thursday-Friday...

as noted, the midwest deep trough ejects up the eastern usa Thursday
night and Friday, crossing new england Saturday. The atlantic high
should keep enough low level dry air to keep the weather dry during
the day Thursday.

Deep moisture moves in Thursday night with pw values forecast to 1
inch all the way to the white mtns while values of 1.5 inches reach
the south coast. As per the SPC sounding climatology, even the 1
inch values are at the upper end of what is expected in mid
december while 1.5 inches would be at or near record levels.

South to southeast flow builds Thursday night with 65 to 85 knot
winds forecast at 850 mb and winds near 35 knot forecast at 1000 mb.

The former actually suggests surface winds could gust to 45 knots.

Bufkit soundings show abv freezing air to at least 800 mb. Based on
this and the expected storm track through new york, expect southern
new england will have rain developing Thursday night, especially
after midnight, and continuing through Friday. Rainfall should total
at least 1-2 inches with potential for some higher amounts.

Potential for winds at advisory levels, especially in
eastern central mass and ri.

Rest of the period...

dry. Height contours at 500 mb are forecast above normal Wednesday
night through Saturday, then seasonable or a little below on Sunday
and Monday. This would mean above normal temperatures late this
week, trending to seasonably cold temps early next week.

Aviation 18z Tuesday through Sunday
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Wednesday ... High confidence.

Today... VFR. Windy with gusts to 25-30 kts out of the nw.

Tonight... VFR. NW wind gusts 20-25 kt early, diminishing to
less than 20 kt by midnight.

Wednesday...VFR. Light W SW winds.

Kbos terminal... High confidence in taf.

Kbdl terminal... High confidence in taf.

Outlook Wednesday night through Saturday ...

Wednesday night through Thursday:VFR.

Thursday night: mainly MVFR. Breezy. Ra.

Friday: mainly ifr, with areas MVFR possible. Windy with gusts
to 35 kt. Ra, patchy br.

Friday night: mainly ifr, with areas MVFR possible. Windy with
local gusts to 30 kt. Ra, patchy br.

Saturday: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Windy with
local gusts to 30 kt. Chance ra.

Marine
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Wednesday ... High confidence.

Buoy reports and some of the airport observations on the cape
and islands all show NW winds gusting to gale or near-gale
levels. This should continue through the morning, then subside
this afternoon. The winds will maintain rough seas, which will
take longer to subside across the eastern and southern outer
coastal waters of ma and ri. Seas continue to subside Wednesday.

Significantly colder air will move across the waters today into
tonight. With the gusty winds and rough seas, areas of light
freezing spray are likely along the nearshore waters of the ma
coast into this evening.

Outlook Wednesday night through Saturday ...

Wednesday night through Thursday: winds less than 25 kt.

Thursday night: low risk for small craft advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Rain.

Friday: low risk for gale force winds with gusts up to 35 kt.

Areas of rough seas. Rain.

Friday night: moderate risk for small craft advisory winds with
areas of gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 12 ft. Rain
likely.

Saturday: moderate risk for small craft advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 12 ft. Slight chance of
rain.

Tides coastal flooding
South to southeast winds Friday will come as astronomical tides
are trending higher. The winds will build seas offshore to 12-14
feet. Forecast guidance also shows a zone of 15-second wave
periods extending from the gulf of maine into massachusetts bay.

All of this shows a potential for building seas along the south
coast Friday, where the flow is onshore, and into parts of the
mass east coast.

This is still a ways in the future, but it will bear watching
for potential coastal splashover or minor flooding Friday.

Box watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ma... None.

Ri... None.

Marine... Gale warning until 10 pm est this evening for anz232>235-237-
255-256.

Gale warning until 9 pm est this evening for anz230.

Gale warning until 11 pm est this evening for anz231.

Gale warning until 1 pm est this afternoon for anz236.

Gale warning until midnight est tonight for anz250-251-254.

Synopsis... Wtb belk
near term... Wtb bw
short term... Belk
long term... Wtb
aviation... Wtb bw
marine... Wtb belk
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 16 mi50 min 33°F 42°F1012.9 hPa
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 16 mi44 min NW 20 G 26 35°F 1012.6 hPa
FRXM3 16 mi44 min 33°F 16°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 21 mi50 min N 17 G 24 32°F 45°F1012.5 hPa
PVDR1 21 mi44 min NW 19 G 22 33°F 1013.1 hPa11°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 21 mi44 min NW 23 G 32 33°F 44°F1012.7 hPa
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 25 mi50 min N 11 G 21 32°F 1013 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 25 mi89 min NNW 9.9 33°F 1012 hPa10°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 30 mi50 min NW 13 G 18 33°F 44°F1013 hPa
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 31 mi44 min 33°F 1011.9 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 32 mi50 min NNW 15 G 24 33°F 40°F1012.8 hPa
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 32 mi44 min 34°F 40°F1011.3 hPa
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 34 mi89 min 8 33°F 1010 hPa11°F
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 35 mi74 min NNW 26 G 29 32°F 1011.9 hPa (+2.0)
44090 37 mi44 min 42°F8 ft
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 37 mi84 min NW 27 G 33 31°F 46°F6 ft1009.3 hPa (+1.2)18°F
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 48 mi74 min NW 19 G 27 1010.2 hPa (+1.5)
44029 - Buoy A0102 - Mass. Bay/Stellwagen 49 mi70 min NW 33 G 41 30°F 44°F5 ft1009 hPa

Wind History for Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
Last
24hr
W14
W15
G20
W16
W17
W19
G23
W14
G17
W17
G23
W20
W18
W21
G28
W20
G25
NW19
G25
NW24
G31
NW24
G34
NW23
G30
NW19
G29
NW18
G27
NW17
G24
NW20
G27
NW20
G28
NW17
G21
NW15
G20
NW17
G23
NW20
G26
1 day
ago
NE11
G15
NE15
NE15
G19
NE17
G22
NE22
G31
NE16
G20
NE18
G23
NE19
G24
NE19
G25
NE18
G27
NE17
G23
N15
G22
N15
G21
N16
G22
N15
N10
G15
N13
G17
NW14
G20
NW12
NW8
NW10
NW14
G19
W13
G20
W13
G18
2 days
ago
NE6
NE9
NE16
NE10
G13
NE10
NE11
NE9
NE7
NE11
NE10
NE9
G13
NE13
G19
NE12
G18
NE9
G12
NE11
G15
NE7
G10
NE10
G13
NE10
NE10
G14
NE15
G22
NE14
G18
NE13
G17
NE15
NE17
G21

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Taunton, Taunton Municipal Airport, MA1 mi22 minNW 11 G 2310.00 miFair33°F10°F38%1012.5 hPa
Plymouth, Plymouth Municipal Airport, MA15 mi22 minNW 15 G 2610.00 miFair33°F10°F38%1011.8 hPa
New Bedford, New Bedford Regional Airport, MA15 mi21 minNNW 11 G 2510.00 miFair32°F12°F45%1012 hPa
Pawtucket, North Central State Airport, RI20 mi18 minNW 12 G 2310.00 miFair29°F12°F49%1008 hPa
East Milton, MA22 mi18 minNW 15 G 27 mi28°F12°F51%1012.9 hPa
Norwood, Norwood Memorial Airport, MA22 mi21 minWNW 16 G 2710.00 miFair34°F10°F38%1013.2 hPa
Marshfield Airport, MA23 mi19 minNW 12 G 2510.00 miFair32°F10°F40%1011.8 hPa

Wind History from TAN (wind in knots)
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
Last 24hrW6W6W6W5W6
G14
W8W7W6W7W8W7NW16
G25
NW17
G25
NW14
G31
NW13
G27
NW13
G34
NW17
G28
NW16
G26
NW9
G25
NW15
G26
NW13
G24
NW11
G23
NW11
G20
NW11
G23
1 day ago655N8
G14
NE9
G18
NE9
G20
NE8
G16
NE10
G19
NE7
G20
N9
G19
NE8
G17
N8N9
G16
N10
G15
N9
G16
N8
G15
NW8NW8NW8NW7NW7
G14
CalmNW9
G17
W6
2 days agoCalmCalmNE6
G17
43N4NE3N3NE4NE664NE4NE5E75
G14
NE75
G15
E6NE56
G16
6NE75

Tide / Current Tables for Taunton, Taunton River, Massachusetts
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Taunton
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:12 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 04:57 AM EST     2.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:45 AM EST     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:43 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:15 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:17 PM EST     2.46 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:53 PM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.40.71.21.92.52.72.62.11.610.60.30.30.50.91.422.42.42.11.50.90.40.1

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Cod Canal, Massachusetts Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Cape Cod Canal
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:10 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:12 AM EST     3.77 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:44 AM EST     -0.03 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:34 AM EST     -4.02 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:42 AM EST     0.03 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:41 PM EST     3.71 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:13 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:07 PM EST     -0.18 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:57 PM EST     -4.05 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
2.53.43.83.73.22.3-1.4-3.1-3.9-4-3.4-2.31.533.63.73.42.71-2.7-3.7-4.1-3.7-2.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (15,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.