Saturday, May25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oswayo, PA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:36AMSunset 8:32PM Saturday May 25, 2019 12:02 AM EDT (04:02 UTC) Moonrise 12:34AMMoonset 10:42AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Expires:201905250315;;407213 Fzus51 Kbuf 242341 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 741 Pm Edt Fri May 24 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez040-041-250315- Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 741 Pm Edt Fri May 24 2019
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..West winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers Monday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Wednesday night. Waves 1 to 2 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ041


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oswayo , PA
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location: 41.91, -78.02     debug


Area Discussion for - State College, PA
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Fxus61 kctp 250144
afdctp
area forecast discussion
national weather service state college pa
944 pm edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
The holiday weekend will feature warmer temperatures, increasing
humidity and a renewed chance for showers and thunderstorms,
mainly during the afternoon and evening hours Saturday and
Sunday. Memorial day itself looks to offer up fantastic weather
for much of the day with near normal temperatures and
comfortably lower humidity.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
Mid to high cloud remnants of midwestern convection will continue
stream into central pa over the upper ridge axis located well
to our west over the central ohio valley. Min temps will be
similar or a few deg cooler tonight than those of early today.

Majority of guidance shows all but the northwest remaining dry,
with just low chance pops required for the w.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
Saturday will star off quite tranquil with light wind,
comfortable temps and dewpoints along with variably cloudy
skies.

Deep-layer shear and warm advection will increase quickly late
sat morning and Sat afternoon as the high drifts off the nj
coast. An approaching warm front will set the stage for a few
rounds of showers and isolated strong thunderstorms. Models pump
capes into the 1500-2000j range while developing respectable
helicity as the warm front progresses through the CWA in the
afternoon and evening. The eastern half of pa (and our eastern
cwa) will see much lower sfc-based instability which should
limit the svr weather threat.

Spc has its slgt risk across the NW third to half of the state,
while the rest of our fcst area lies within a mrgl risk for
svr.

Temps Saturday afternoon will rebound into the mid and upper
70s throughout many portions of central pa, but could hold in
the upper 60s to low 70s across the region near and east of the
susq mainstem where SE flow and thicker low clouds should be
found.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
315 pm update... In the big picture, a long-wave trough is
progged to stay in place along the west coast through the middle
of next week, with a flat upper ridge axis over the central and
eastern conus. In general, this means near to above normal
temperatures for central pa, with rounds of
showers thunderstorms about every 36-48 hours, courtesy of fast
moving short-waves and frontal boundary passages.

As for the daily sensible weather, warm frontal convection is
still expected Saturday evening, perhaps locally severe. On
Sunday, it will be warm and muggy, with a trailing cold front
bringing hit and miss, mainly afternoon showers and
thunderstorms. Memorial day looks quite nice from this early
vantage point, with rain-free weather, and comfortable
temperatures humidity levels. The approach of another warm
front, followed by trailing cold front Tuesday-Wednesday could
well lead to more showers and thunderstorms.

As mentioned above, temperatures will be on the warm side, with
daily highs mostly in the mid 70s-mid 80s range, and night-time
lows in the 50s and 60s.

Aviation 02z Saturday through Wednesday
Building high pressure will provideVFR conditions into Saturday
under partly cloudy. It will be breezy today out of the
northwest at 15-20kt. The wind will diminish to 10kt or less
overnight.

Humidity will return this weekend with showers and
thunderstorms again possible Saturday afternoon into Saturday
evening. Expect locally reduced conditions in the vicinity of
the convection, mainly in the afternoon into the overnight.

Outlook
Sat-sun... Restrictions possible near scattered thunderstorms.

Mon-vfr.

Tues-wed... GenerallyVFR, although a spotty showers or storm is
possible.

Ctp watches warnings advisories
None.

Synopsis... La corte
near term... Devoir la corte
short term... La corte
long term... Jurewicz
aviation... La corte


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 77 mi33 min 55°F 1020.5 hPa
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 81 mi33 min S 2.9 G 4.1 53°F 56°F1021.2 hPa44°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 81 mi63 min Calm G 1 56°F 1021.1 hPa (+0.8)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wellsville, Wellsville Municipal Airport, NY14 mi67 minN 310.00 miMostly Cloudy56°F51°F84%1022.2 hPa

Wind History from ELZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW16
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1 day agoS6CalmS7SW44SW4SW6SW4SW5SW8SW9
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE4SE7SE9
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G18
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for State College, PA (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station State College, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.