Sunrise 5:32 AM   Sunset 8:12 PM Moonrise 1:29 PM   Moonset 2:35 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New

ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1101 Pm Edt Thu May 16 2024
Overnight - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Slight chance of light rain and drizzle late this evening. Fri - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Fri night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sat - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sat night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Mon - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

ANZ300 1101 Pm Edt Thu May 16 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Low pressure will continue moving south and east of long island tonight. High pressure will build in from northern new england late tonight through Friday night. High pressure generally remains in control through the middle of next week, with weak low pressure passing to the south this weekend. A cold front could move through the area late next week.

FXUS61 KALY 170210 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1010 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry weather returns to the region through Friday as high pressure builds in. Additional chances for rain showers arrive Friday night into Saturday, more likely for areas west of the Hudson. Temperatures remain seasonable through the period.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/

UPDATE
Clearing has taken place rather quickly this evening, so have adjusted cloud cover downward. Also expanded mention of patchy fog due to the more substantial clearing and relatively moist low levels. Temperatures have cooled into the 50s to around 60 later this evening.

.PREV DISCUSSION[0647]...Radar showing some residual light showers or sprinkles for some areas south/east of Albany. Most of these are likely not producing measurable rainfall, so will just mention slight/low chance PoPs for the next few hours. The showers should dissipate this evening as the coastal cyclone shifts farther south away from our area. Satellite imagery reveals some clearing in the Mohawk Valley/Capital District, with mainly mostly cloudy skies elsewhere. Temperatures are in the 60s to around 70 early this evening.

As the coastal system drifts into the North Atlantic, ridging will build in to its west, yielding a drying and clearing trend across the region this evening through tonight. Temperatures will be seasonable, with early morning lows in the upper 40s in high terrain to mid 50s at lower elevations. Patchy fog may develop overnight, particularly in sheltered valleys west of the Hudson where more widespread clearing is expected.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
As the coastal low continues to pull away into the North Atlantic, brief weak ridging builds into the region, bringing a period of dry weather beneath partly cloudy skies through the day on Friday. As 850 hPa temperatures reach nearly 10C, surface temperatures rise some 5-10 degrees above normal to afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s in high terrain to mid 70s to near 80 at lower elevations.

By Friday evening, an upper-level shortwave will approach from the west, lifting across the North Country and into northern New England by Saturday morning. Increasing clouds from west to east will precede its passage, with isolated to scattered rain showers reaching into the southern Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley Friday evening and night. Temperatures remain seasonably mild, reaching overnight lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s across the region.

Scattered showers may continue through Saturday, particularly west of the Hudson as well as in the southern Greens. Mostly cloudy skies trend clearer by Saturday evening, with showers diminishing by sunset as the upper shortwave exits eastward toward the Canadian Maritimes while ridging builds overhead through early Sunday morning. Temperatures remain pleasant and seasonable, reaching afternoon highs in the mid to upper 60s in high terrain and low to mid 70s at lower elevations, and falling to overnight lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
A Rex Block pattern looks to set up Sunday through Tuesday with upper level high pressure overhead with an upper level low across the Southeast US. Surface high pressure sets up along the East Coast and will result in a period of mostly dry weather.
The exception could be for some very isolated showers across some higher terrain areas. Temperatures will run above normal with highs mainly in the 70s each day with some lower 80s across the valleys on Monday and Tuesday.

The Rex Block begins to break down by Wednesday as an upper- level trough and surface cold front approach from the west.
Timing of this front remains a bit uncertain but looks to push through during Wednesday night into early Thursday. This looks to bring our next best chance for some showers and a few thunderstorms as guidance suggests some weak instability could be in place.

Forecast confidence begins to decrease for later in the week with either flat ridging or upper-level troughing overhead. For now, will run with the NBM for Thursday which places chance POPs across the region. Thursday would also turn out slightly cooler after the cold frontal passage with highs in the 60s/70s.

AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Through 00z Saturday...Conditions have improved to VFR at all TAF sites early this evening, although there are still mainly BKN cigs in place. Clouds should tend to gradually decrease tonight, except for patchy mid level clouds from time to time.
Should more persistent breaks in the clouds occur overnight, there is a window for some fog development given dewpoints in the 50s. This is a conditional threat, so forecast confidence is low. For now will mention TEMPO for MVFR vsby at KGFL/KPSF and also KPOU, which had some rainfall today. Will continue to monitor trends, with a low probability of IFR conditions if persistent fog is able to develop.

Once any fog dissipates, VFR conditions are expected to prevail on Friday, with occasional SCT-BKN mid level clouds.

Winds will be variable around 5 kt or less through Friday morning, then becoming east-southeast around 5-10 kt.

Outlook...

Friday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Saturday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Kingston Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:08 AM EDT     1.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:50 AM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:49 PM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:40 PM EDT     3.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

Hyde Park
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:46 AM EDT     0.99 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:30 AM EDT     2.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:27 PM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:20 PM EDT     2.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Albany, NY,