Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rhinecliff, NY
May 7, 2024 6:23 AM EDT (10:23 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:41 AM Sunset 8:03 PM Moonrise 5:11 AM Moonset 7:53 PM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 344 Am Edt Tue May 7 2024
Overnight - NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue - N winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Showers likely. Isolated tstms.
Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Chance of showers with isolated tstms in the evening.
Thu - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri - NE winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers.
Fri night - N winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Sat - NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 344 Am Edt Tue May 7 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A slow moving frontal boundary gets to the south today before lifting back north as a warm front before stalling again through mid week. Low pressure develops to the west on Thursday and pushes a frontal boundary through by Friday. The low and its associated front should be east of the waters to begin the weekend.
FXUS61 KALY 070755 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 355 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will bring mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures for today. A storm system will bring some showers and thunderstorms late tonight into Wednesday, with unsettled weather and cooler temperatures expected for Thursday and Friday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 345 AM EDT, high clouds are shifting south/east of the region, with mainly clear skies and light/calm winds. With low PWAT's (around or under 0.50") and clear skies, temps have dropped into the mid/upper 30s across the SW Adirondacks, and lower/mid 40s for many areas north of I-90. Temps are warmer to the south, ranging from the upper 40s to lower/mid 50s. Temps will likely drop another 2-4 degrees from current levels by daybreak.
Patchy fog has developed within portions of the mid Hudson Valley, where boundary layer remains moist. Additional patchy fog may develop across portions of the upper Hudson Valley prior to daybreak.
After the chilly start and any fog lifts, expect mostly sunny skies today with a warm afternoon as mixing depth increases to at least H800. Expect afternoon temps to reach the lower/mid 70s for many valley areas, except 75-80 within the Hudson River Valley from Albany south to Poughkeepsie.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Clouds increase this evening, with showers/thunderstorms developing from west to east between 3 and 5 AM ahead of strengthening low/mid level jet max and warm advection.
Showalter Indices drop to between zero and -2C for areas south of I-90 by daybreak, so expect some rumbles of thunder within these areas.
Showers and embedded thunderstorms should continue to move eastward across the region through mid morning Wednesday before tapering off from west to east. There should then be a lull in showers/thunderstorms during the late morning hours.
Low confidence forecast for Wednesday afternoon, as model guidance offering widely varying possibilities, with some hi-res guidance suggesting warm front advances north and east before stalling north of I-90 in the afternoon, while other guidance suggests warm front shifts through the entire region with gusty west/southwest winds enveloping many areas and some drying for the afternoon. Have favored NBM for general evolution of weather conditions for Wednesday afternoon, with afternoon warming for areas south of I-90 (max temps in the 70s to perhaps lower 80s) and remaining cooler to the north (max temps mainly 65-70).
Favoring NBM guidance also would suggest best chance for additional afternoon showers/thunderstorms would be for areas south of I-90, where highest probabilities of MU CAPES >500 J/kg exists. There will be strong 0-6 km shear across the region (45-55 KT), mainly unidirectional. This would suggest that should any convection develop, gusty winds and hail could accompany strongest cells. However, there will be quite a bit of mid level dry air entraining into the region behind the morning convection, which could greatly limit overall coverage of any afternoon convection. At this time, it appears that coverage may remain isolated to scattered at best, however should any thunderstorms develop, they could contain damaging wind gusts and hail. SPC has placed most of eastern NY/western New England within a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms for Wednesday afternoon.
There could be a few stronger thunderstorms across northern areas later in the afternoon as well, closer to approaching shortwave and within an area of steeper mid level lapse rates (7-8 C/km).
Showers/thunderstorm threat should diminish Wednesday evening, with patchy fog developing. The next system approaches for Thursday afternoon and night although there remains uncertainty in how quickly this system approaches. Some showers may develop Thursday afternoon, with better chances at night, especially for areas near and south of I-90. Lows Wednesday and Thursday night in the 40s to lower 50s, and highs Thursday mainly in the upper 50s to lower/mid 60s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The extended forecast continues to feature wet and unsettled weather into the weekend. A sfc cyclone and its occluded front will continue to bring periods of rain to forecast area on Friday. The 500 hPa low closes off over southeast Ontario and the Great Lakes Region, as the longwave trough remains positively tilted. Damp and cool conditions prevail with max temps running about 10 degrees below normal with mid 40s to lower 50s over the the higher terrain and mid and upper 50s in the valleys. The mid and upper level low remains near or over eastern NY and New England Friday night into Saturday. The rain tapers to scattered showers Fri night. Some intervals of dry weather are possible on Saturday. However, the upstream long wave trough amplifies, as a sfc trough rotates around the cyclone near Nova Scotia. We can not rule out a chance of showers based on the latest medium range and ensemble guidance. Lows will be chilly with upper 30s to mid 40s over the forecast area Friday night. Highs on Saturday with abundant clouds and the chance of showers will be in the 50s to lower 60s. Some upper 40s can not be ruled out over the southern Dacks and southern Greens. Isolated to scattered showers will continue Saturday night with lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s.
The 2nd half of the weekend features more inclement weather with a mid level trough over the Northeast, Ohio Valley and mid Atlantic States. A low pressure system and an occluded front will bring some showers and isolated thunderstorms Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. Temps will continue to run below normal with 50s to lower 60s for highs. The good news is that the trough begins to lift out of the forecast area Sunday night into Monday with some ridging trying to build in from the south Monday afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers can not be ruled out, but some sunshine may be mixed with clouds with temps trending to normal mid May readings.
The latest Day 8-14 Outlook for 14-20 May 2024 from CPC is forecasting near normal temps with precipitation slightly above normal.
AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Through 06Z Wednesday...Aside for some patchy MVFR/IFR radiational mist/fog at KPOU/KGFL this morning, expect VFR conditions for all the TAF sites the next 24 hours. IFR mist/fog with brief periods of LIFR are possible at KPOU this morning and a TEMPO group was used to address this potential prior to 10Z/TUE. KGFL may have a brief period of MVFR mist between 08-11Z/TUE where we used a TEMPO. Sct- bkn cirrus will keep VFR conditions at KALB/KPSF.
Expect mostly clear conditions in the late morning into tonight with a few cumulus and a few cirrus late in the day as high pressure builds in.
The winds will vary in direction at 4 KT or less to calm this morning. They will be northeast to northwest at 4-8 KT in the late morning through the afternoon...and become light to calm by 00Z/WED.
Outlook...
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Scattered SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Thursday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Friday: High Operational Impact. Likely RA.
Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 355 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will bring mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures for today. A storm system will bring some showers and thunderstorms late tonight into Wednesday, with unsettled weather and cooler temperatures expected for Thursday and Friday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 345 AM EDT, high clouds are shifting south/east of the region, with mainly clear skies and light/calm winds. With low PWAT's (around or under 0.50") and clear skies, temps have dropped into the mid/upper 30s across the SW Adirondacks, and lower/mid 40s for many areas north of I-90. Temps are warmer to the south, ranging from the upper 40s to lower/mid 50s. Temps will likely drop another 2-4 degrees from current levels by daybreak.
Patchy fog has developed within portions of the mid Hudson Valley, where boundary layer remains moist. Additional patchy fog may develop across portions of the upper Hudson Valley prior to daybreak.
After the chilly start and any fog lifts, expect mostly sunny skies today with a warm afternoon as mixing depth increases to at least H800. Expect afternoon temps to reach the lower/mid 70s for many valley areas, except 75-80 within the Hudson River Valley from Albany south to Poughkeepsie.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Clouds increase this evening, with showers/thunderstorms developing from west to east between 3 and 5 AM ahead of strengthening low/mid level jet max and warm advection.
Showalter Indices drop to between zero and -2C for areas south of I-90 by daybreak, so expect some rumbles of thunder within these areas.
Showers and embedded thunderstorms should continue to move eastward across the region through mid morning Wednesday before tapering off from west to east. There should then be a lull in showers/thunderstorms during the late morning hours.
Low confidence forecast for Wednesday afternoon, as model guidance offering widely varying possibilities, with some hi-res guidance suggesting warm front advances north and east before stalling north of I-90 in the afternoon, while other guidance suggests warm front shifts through the entire region with gusty west/southwest winds enveloping many areas and some drying for the afternoon. Have favored NBM for general evolution of weather conditions for Wednesday afternoon, with afternoon warming for areas south of I-90 (max temps in the 70s to perhaps lower 80s) and remaining cooler to the north (max temps mainly 65-70).
Favoring NBM guidance also would suggest best chance for additional afternoon showers/thunderstorms would be for areas south of I-90, where highest probabilities of MU CAPES >500 J/kg exists. There will be strong 0-6 km shear across the region (45-55 KT), mainly unidirectional. This would suggest that should any convection develop, gusty winds and hail could accompany strongest cells. However, there will be quite a bit of mid level dry air entraining into the region behind the morning convection, which could greatly limit overall coverage of any afternoon convection. At this time, it appears that coverage may remain isolated to scattered at best, however should any thunderstorms develop, they could contain damaging wind gusts and hail. SPC has placed most of eastern NY/western New England within a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms for Wednesday afternoon.
There could be a few stronger thunderstorms across northern areas later in the afternoon as well, closer to approaching shortwave and within an area of steeper mid level lapse rates (7-8 C/km).
Showers/thunderstorm threat should diminish Wednesday evening, with patchy fog developing. The next system approaches for Thursday afternoon and night although there remains uncertainty in how quickly this system approaches. Some showers may develop Thursday afternoon, with better chances at night, especially for areas near and south of I-90. Lows Wednesday and Thursday night in the 40s to lower 50s, and highs Thursday mainly in the upper 50s to lower/mid 60s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The extended forecast continues to feature wet and unsettled weather into the weekend. A sfc cyclone and its occluded front will continue to bring periods of rain to forecast area on Friday. The 500 hPa low closes off over southeast Ontario and the Great Lakes Region, as the longwave trough remains positively tilted. Damp and cool conditions prevail with max temps running about 10 degrees below normal with mid 40s to lower 50s over the the higher terrain and mid and upper 50s in the valleys. The mid and upper level low remains near or over eastern NY and New England Friday night into Saturday. The rain tapers to scattered showers Fri night. Some intervals of dry weather are possible on Saturday. However, the upstream long wave trough amplifies, as a sfc trough rotates around the cyclone near Nova Scotia. We can not rule out a chance of showers based on the latest medium range and ensemble guidance. Lows will be chilly with upper 30s to mid 40s over the forecast area Friday night. Highs on Saturday with abundant clouds and the chance of showers will be in the 50s to lower 60s. Some upper 40s can not be ruled out over the southern Dacks and southern Greens. Isolated to scattered showers will continue Saturday night with lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s.
The 2nd half of the weekend features more inclement weather with a mid level trough over the Northeast, Ohio Valley and mid Atlantic States. A low pressure system and an occluded front will bring some showers and isolated thunderstorms Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. Temps will continue to run below normal with 50s to lower 60s for highs. The good news is that the trough begins to lift out of the forecast area Sunday night into Monday with some ridging trying to build in from the south Monday afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers can not be ruled out, but some sunshine may be mixed with clouds with temps trending to normal mid May readings.
The latest Day 8-14 Outlook for 14-20 May 2024 from CPC is forecasting near normal temps with precipitation slightly above normal.
AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Through 06Z Wednesday...Aside for some patchy MVFR/IFR radiational mist/fog at KPOU/KGFL this morning, expect VFR conditions for all the TAF sites the next 24 hours. IFR mist/fog with brief periods of LIFR are possible at KPOU this morning and a TEMPO group was used to address this potential prior to 10Z/TUE. KGFL may have a brief period of MVFR mist between 08-11Z/TUE where we used a TEMPO. Sct- bkn cirrus will keep VFR conditions at KALB/KPSF.
Expect mostly clear conditions in the late morning into tonight with a few cumulus and a few cirrus late in the day as high pressure builds in.
The winds will vary in direction at 4 KT or less to calm this morning. They will be northeast to northwest at 4-8 KT in the late morning through the afternoon...and become light to calm by 00Z/WED.
Outlook...
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Scattered SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Thursday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Friday: High Operational Impact. Likely RA.
Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| TKPN6 | 5 mi | 54 min | 0G | 48°F | 59°F | 29.86 | 44°F | |
| ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY | 6 mi | 54 min | 0 | 47°F | 29.83 | 45°F | ||
| NPXN6 | 8 mi | 54 min | ENE 1 | 49°F | 29.89 | 49°F | ||
| BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 66 mi | 54 min | N 5.1G | 58°F | 29.75 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPOU HUDSON VALLEY RGNL,NY | 22 sm | 30 min | calm | 3 sm | Clear | Mist | 46°F | 46°F | 100% | 29.84 |
Kingston Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:08 AM EDT 4.90 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:11 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:43 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:57 AM EDT -0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:37 PM EDT 4.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:52 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:03 PM EDT -0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:08 AM EDT 4.90 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:11 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:43 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:57 AM EDT -0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:37 PM EDT 4.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:52 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:03 PM EDT -0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 4.5 |
| 1 am |
| 4.9 |
| 2 am |
| 4.7 |
| 3 am |
| 3.9 |
| 4 am |
| 2.8 |
| 5 am |
| 1.7 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| -0.1 |
| 8 am |
| -0.4 |
| 9 am |
| 0.1 |
| 10 am |
| 1.2 |
| 11 am |
| 2.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 7 pm |
| -0 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.7 |
Tivoli
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:37 AM EDT 5.20 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:11 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:43 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:27 AM EDT -0.44 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:07 PM EDT 4.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:53 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:33 PM EDT -0.40 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:37 AM EDT 5.20 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:11 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:43 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:27 AM EDT -0.44 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:07 PM EDT 4.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:53 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:33 PM EDT -0.40 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Tivoli, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 4.4 |
| 1 am |
| 5.1 |
| 2 am |
| 5.2 |
| 3 am |
| 4.6 |
| 4 am |
| 3.6 |
| 5 am |
| 2.4 |
| 6 am |
| 1.2 |
| 7 am |
| 0.3 |
| 8 am |
| -0.4 |
| 9 am |
| -0.3 |
| 10 am |
| 0.6 |
| 11 am |
| 2 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.1 |
Albany, NY,
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