Wednesday, June20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Conneaut, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 9:03PM Wednesday June 20, 2018 9:26 AM EDT (13:26 UTC) Moonrise 12:34PMMoonset 12:38AM Illumination 46% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LEZ148 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 917 Pm Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Overnight..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 5 to 15 knots. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet, then subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 73 degrees, off cleveland 64 degrees and off erie 68 degrees.
LEZ148 Expires:201806200900;;805236 FZUS51 KCLE 200117 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 917 PM EDT Tue Jun 19 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ144>149-200900-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Conneaut, OH
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.94, -80.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcle 201029
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
629 am edt Wed jun 20 2018

Synopsis
Weak low pressure will track eastward along a stalled frontal
boundary that is located over central ohio. In the wake of the
low this evening high pressure will ridge into the central great
lakes through early Thursday. A stronger low pressure system
will move from the plains and impact the region through the
weekend.

Near term through Thursday
Warm advection showers have developed over a slightly larger
area than earlier anticipated so have nudged pop's up slightly
for this morning. There is some patchy fog across inland
locations but do not believe any location is below 1 mile.

Previous discussion...

warm advection at 850 mb was occurring ahead of low pressure
that was located over eastern indiana. This area of warm
advection should continue to drive the development of scattered
showers through the morning. As we warm the lower levels of the
atmosphere this afternoon we will add in some
isolated scattered thunderstorms as well. Best chances for
thunder will be near and south of a line from warren to marion
where convergence will exist in the wake of the low. The frontal
boundary that this low is tracking along will drift southward
to southern ohio overnight. This will allow high pressure to
build into the region from central ontario. This high moves
east to the new england states on Thursday with low level
moisture levels increasing through the day. Will keep Thursday
dry with the expectation that some downsloping flow will erode
anything that approaches.

Cloud cover and the showers thunderstorms will keep the region
slightly cooler than yesterday. Highs will range from around 70
degrees near the lake to the lower 80s south. Some areas of fog
will be possible across inland locations Thursday morning as
lows dip into the 50s inland, around 60 near the lake. Increasingly
filtered sunshine on Thursday will allow for a warmer day with
most locations in the 70s.

Short term Thursday night through Saturday night
Little change to the overall short term pattern. Models
continue to develop large upper low which tracks across the
central great lakes this weekend. Rain will gradually move into
the area on Friday. GFS continues to be the faster of the models
moving the precip in Thursday night. Trended toward the slower
ecmwf for now. The surface reflection of the low forecast into
nw oh by daybreak Saturday gradually lifting into new england
Saturday night. Could see a widespread inch before all said and
done. Near normal temps expected with highs mainly in the upper
70s.

Long term Sunday through Tuesday
Some lingering showers Saturday night will finally give way to dry
conditions on Sunday as high pressure builds south over the forecast
area. High pressure will dominate the weather through the end
of the forecast period. High pressure will be centered over the
forecast area on Monday then shift off the mid atlantic coast
Tuesday. This will allow for a gradual warm up as the upper
level ridge begins to build back of the area on Tuesday.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
MVFR conditions have developed near and west of a line from
kcak to kcle. Expect these ceilings to spread eastward through
mid morning. The region will then have a hard time getting rid
of the MVFR ceilings through the day. There may even be patches
of ifr in the showers thunderstorms. The coverage of the
showers thunderstorms is expected to be scattered numerous in
coverage. The best chances of steadier rain will be near the
lakeshore this morning, then near and south of a kyng to k4i3
line this afternoon. Drier air arrives tonight with ceilings
lifting from north to south. The threat of fog increases by
Thursday morning. Later shifts will need to take a look at this
potential for inland locations.

Winds will be light through the morning. Winds will shift in
the wake of weak low pressure that will track across central
ohio. Expect to see winds shift to the northeast and north at 6
to 12 knots mid afternoon into early evening.

Outlook... Non-vfr in fog Thursday morning. Non-vfr conditions
are also possible Friday into Saturday in showers and
thunderstorms.

Marine
Choppy conditions will develop on the lake today as winds turn to
the northeast at 10 to 15 knots. Northeast flow continues but
winds diminish tonight into Thursday as high pressure builds
over the lake. Small craft may be needed starting Thursday night
as east to northeast winds increase to 15 to 20 knots. Winds
back to the southeast Friday ahead of approaching low pressure
system. More thunderstorms develop this weekend as low pressure
tracks across the central great lakes late Friday into Saturday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mullen
near term... Mullen
short term... Djb
long term... Djb
aviation... Mullen
marine... Djb


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 3 mi26 min E 4.1 G 7 67°F 1012.5 hPa (-0.4)
45167 26 mi47 min E 7.8 G 7.8 67°F 68°F1 ft1011.7 hPa
EREP1 28 mi38 min ESE 4.1 G 5.1
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 42 mi38 min NE 14 G 18 67°F 1012.4 hPa62°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
-12
PM
-12
PM
-12
PM
-12
PM
-12
PM
-12
PM
-12
PM
-12
PM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last
24hr
NE19
NE18
NE17
NE18
NE19
NE19
NE19
SE4
E5
SE6
E8
E8
E4
NE7
NE15
NE11
1 day
ago
SW21
SW21
SW21
SW20
SW18
SW18
SW18
SW18
SW19
SW20
W13
G16
N9
G13
N4
S6
NW2
W15
N7
G10
N5
N11
G16
N13
N12
G15
N16
E17
E20
2 days
ago
NE3
NE3
NE3
NE4
E4
NE4
NE2
NE1
W4
--
SW4
S4
S7
S9
S11
G14
S10
G14
S10
G13
SW11
SW15
SW10
G13
SW11
SW12
G15
SW16
G20
SW21

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ashtabula - Northeast Ohio Regional Airport, OH15 mi33 minENE 410.00 miOvercast65°F61°F87%1012.7 hPa
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA20 mi35 minENE 410.00 miOvercast69°F55°F61%1012.3 hPa

Wind History from HZY (wind in knots)
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last 24hrNE6NE645NE75NE6NE55E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalm3E4
1 day agoW11W12W15
G24
W9W16
G24
W17
G24
W12W8W9SW5NW4N5NW5NW4W4CalmW7NW6N4N4N56CalmNE4
2 days agoCalmW3Calm44CalmN33NW4CalmCalmSE3S3S6S4S3S5S4SW5SW7SW5SW5SW6SW9

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (9,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.