Monday, April23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Conneaut, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:14PM Monday April 23, 2018 5:38 AM EDT (09:38 UTC) Moonrise 12:19PMMoonset 2:06AM Illumination 56% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ148 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 900 Pm Edt Sun Apr 22 2018
Overnight..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 44 degrees...off cleveland 41 degrees and off erie 39 degrees.
LEZ148 Expires:201804230815;;354698 FZUS51 KCLE 230100 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 900 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ147>149-230815-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Conneaut, OH
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location: 41.94, -80.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 230735
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
335 am edt Mon apr 23 2018

Synopsis
Through mid week low pressure from over western tennessee will
drift east-northeast making it to west virginia and eventually
moving off the mid atlantic coast. A cold front will drop
across the great lakes crossing the local area on Wednesday
morning. High pressure Thursday will be followed by a second
cold front for the week on Friday.

Near term through Tuesday
High pressure centered northeast of the region will keep the
area dry through late afternoon. Low pressure across western tn
will drift toward the ohio valley over the next two days.

The northern fringe of showers will make it to central ohio
later today as winds shift to the southwest. Areas from mt
vernon to marion will see showers first. The dry easterly
component flow will hold it off for the rest of ohio until
tonight. Northwest pa will likely wait until Tuesday.

The lake influence will be held closer to the immediate shoreline
today as winds come around to the southeast. Cloud cover will
steadily increase and thicken as the day wears on. Guidance
temperatures clustered fairly close in the upper 60s and lower
70s and cannot disagree. Now Tuesday with showers around, these
will be held back by 8 or 10 degrees.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday night
The short term begins Tuesday night with models in decent
agreement showing surface low pressure over eastern ky with a
developing reflection in the carolinas. By 12z Wednesday the
eastern low takes over as it reaches near dc. By Tuesday night,
the best moisture inflow to the system should be focused east of
the region however still looking at a moist system with
sufficient wrap around to provide showers Tuesday night.

Moisture begins to shift east Wednesday however an approaching
upper trough should slow eastward progress enough to hold onto
chance pops Wednesday and Wednesday night east. The new gfs
however is drier Wednesday night so may be able to remove pops
if trend continues on the ecmwf. Thursday and Thursday night
high pressure and drier air move through.

Long term Friday through Sunday
Friday models bring a cold front through as an upper trough
drops across the great lakes. This system doesn't look very
strong at this point so will keep pops in the chance category.

Temps a few degrees below normal. Friday night will continue
with chance pops dealing with the cold front. Saturday the gfs
bring weak low pressure through the lakes while the ECMWF has it
on Sunday. With disagreement, will keep pops at slight chance.

Temps near to a couple degrees below normal.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
LargelyVFR for the next 24 hours. Low pressure over western tn
this morning will drift northeast through mid week. High
pressure to the northeast of the region will hold off the lower
conditions and the showers closer to and after 06z Tuesday.

Findlay and mansfield likely to see a shower first. Prior to
that, intervals of high clouds will overspread and begin to
slowly thicken and lower through evening. East- northeast winds
will shift to east-southeast with minor gusts. Figure will have
a lake breeze at eri and get close to cle Monday afternoon.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible from late Monday night through
Wednesday night.

Marine
No marine headlines anticipated with the period. Today, high
pressure will loose it grip over the eastern lakes as it drifts off
the east coast and low pressure moves from the lower ohio valley to
the dc region. Winds will remain from the east to northeast through
Tuesday and then back to north and northwest Wednesday behind a cold
front. Highest winds during the period will come Wednesday with this
northwest flow likely reaching about 15 knots so nearshore waves
will likely reach at least 3 feet if not a bit higher. Northwest
winds will subside Wednesday night and back to southwest Thursday
and remain mainly southwest Friday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Oudeman
near term... Oudeman
short term... Tk
long term... Tk
aviation... Oudeman
marine... Tk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 3 mi39 min SSE 13 G 18 51°F 1025.4 hPa (-0.3)
EREP1 28 mi51 min SSE 6 G 9.9
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 42 mi51 min ESE 12 G 14 51°F 1024.3 hPa

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ashtabula - Northeast Ohio Regional Airport, OH15 mi46 minSE 710.00 miFair47°F24°F41%1026.1 hPa
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA20 mi48 minSE 1210.00 miFair50°F21°F32%1026.4 hPa

Wind History from HZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmE5E11E10
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3N9N7N9N7N6N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3E3Calm
2 days agoNW4W3NW3NW8NW11N11N9
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NW9NW5W5NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.