Thursday, June21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Province, MA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:05AMSunset 8:20PM Thursday June 21, 2018 4:18 AM EDT (08:18 UTC) Moonrise 1:56PMMoonset 1:26AM Illumination 55% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ231 Cape Cod Bay- 343 Am Edt Thu Jun 21 2018
Today..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se this afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. A chance of showers this morning.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Showers likely.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 343 Am Edt Thu Jun 21 2018
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. Low pres near the new jersey coast early this morning will track S of long island today. The system will bring showers, with some heavy downpours, and patchy fog across the southern waters through midday then will move offshore. High pres builds across the waters tonight and Fri. Low pres and an associated warm front will approach late Fri night, bringing showers Sat into Sat night. Showers may linger as a cold front approaches Sunday. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Province, MA
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location: 41.99, -70.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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Fxus61 kbox 210756
afdbox
area forecast discussion
national weather service boston norton ma
356 am edt Thu jun 21 2018

Synopsis
Bit cooler with a spot showers today. Seasonable Friday while
turning unsettled Saturday, continuing through early Monday with
the chance of showers and thunderstorms. Dry weather expected
Tuesday and Wednesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Precipitation along the south coast will be ongoing early in
this morning as surface low pressure continue to move across
the southern waters. Approaching wave from the northeast will
drive this low south and offshore leading to an end of the
precip. Will have to watch for a spot shower or two during the
day across the interior. Increasing low level moisture combined
with steep lapse rates and upper level trigger could lead to a
few showers especially along the higher terrain. Thus have
insert a slight chc for a shower during the afternoon.

Temperatures today will be warmer across the ct valley, but
quite cool along the east coast. Winds will switch from the
southwest to the northeast a front passes through. This will
bring the cooler maritime airmass onshore. Could see over a 10
degree difference across the region.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Friday
Tonight...

temperatures overnight will cool off, but not as much as prev
through. Increasing low level moisture trapped within the
inversion will result in stratus and fog across the area. Still
trying to narrow down best location, but something to watch for
in the coming shifts.

Friday... High pressure in place with dry weather and near normal
temperatures.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
* highlights...

- Saturday perhaps not a washout, skirting rains S e
- showers t'storms N W Sunday, sweeping SE into Monday morning
- prolonged dry conditions during the week
- watching weeks-end for additional wet-weather disturbances
* overview...

pattern this weekend should feature above normal precipitable
water. Precipitable water values drop off to near to below
normal levels early next week. Temperatures on the other hand
should remain near normal, except for Saturday, and perhaps
Monday.

Split mid level flow regime should merge into a more unified
flow across much of the towards Monday. It appears likely the
pattern will transition from a potent mid level low over
northern quebec with a weaker cutoff over indiana to start this
weekend, to one which features a more amplified mid level trough
by Monday. This trough should move over the north atlantic
towards the middle of next week.

At the surface, this should mean a low pressure moving through
the great lakes towards northern new england this weekend. While
not a total washout, we will have at least a chance for showers
this weekend. A secondary cold front, along with a mid level
shortwave, should be enough to cause showers to linger into
Monday. This timing may change with later forecasts. Instability
is enough to warrant a mention of at least a few thunderstorms
at times this weekend.

High pressure with drier weather Tuesday into Wednesday.

Aviation 07z Thursday through Monday
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Friday ... High confidence.

Overnight...

mainlyVFR. May see local MVFR at times along the immediate s
coast, CAPE cod and the islands in any -shra and patchy fog. Low
risk of brief ifr conditions across the islands mainly in cigs
after 06z or so. SW winds up to about 10 kt shifting to light nw
after 08z or so.

Thursday...

vfr. Lingering s-coastal island -shra with MVFR cigs, a brief
threat of ifr CIGS for ack around 12-18z. Improvement during the
afternoon hours, CIGS lifting 4-7 kft agl, as spot -shra develops
across interior S new england around orh. N winds turning ne.

Thursday night...

vfr to start but with northeast flow believe low levels will
saturate dropping CIGS and vsbys to MVFR conditions.

Kbos terminal...

keep -shra S of the terminal overnight.VFR prevailing.

Kbdl terminal...

expect -shra to be immediately S of the terminal. Will go low
endVFR overnight however there is a risk of some MVFR possibly
sneaking in prior to morning.

Outlook Friday night through Monday ... Moderate confidence.

Friday night:VFR. Breezy. Chance shra.

Saturday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance
shra, isolated tsra.

Saturday night: MVFR ifr conditions possible. Shra likely,
slight chance tsra.

Sunday: mainlyVFR, with local ifr possible. Chance shra,
isolated tsra.

Sunday night: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance
shra, isolated tsra.

Monday:VFR. Breezy. Chance shra.

Marine
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Friday ... High confidence.

Passing low pressure system across the southern waters will
bring scattered showers which could briefly reduce visibility.

Seas could build to 3 feet. May see brief gusts up to 20 kt
across the southern near shore waters through 06z tonight.

Otherwise, SW winds will shift to a more NE direction th
lasting into Thu night. Could see local vsby restrictions in
patchy fog. Conditions remain below sca.

Outlook Friday night through Monday ... Moderate confidence.

Friday night: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Saturday: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft. Chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Saturday night: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas
approaching 5 ft. Rain showers likely, and a slight chance of
thunderstorms.

Sunday through Sunday night: winds less than 25 kt. Local rough
seas. Slight chance of rain showers, with isolated
thunderstorms.

Monday: winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain
showers.

Box watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ma... None.

Ri... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Belk evt
near term... Evt
short term... Evt
long term... Belk
aviation... Belk evt
marine... Belk evt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44018 - SE Cape Cod 30NM East of Nantucket, MA 16 mi89 min SSW 7.8 G 9.7 62°F 1 ft1007.2 hPa (-0.8)62°F
44090 18 mi49 min 63°F1 ft
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 36 mi39 min SW 9.7 G 9.7 66°F 65°F1007.3 hPa62°F
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 37 mi94 min 1 67°F 1008 hPa63°F
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 40 mi89 min SW 7.8 G 7.8 64°F 64°F1 ft1006.8 hPa (-0.9)63°F
44029 - Buoy A0102 - Mass. Bay/Stellwagen 46 mi75 min 60°F 60°F1 ft1005.3 hPa
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 46 mi49 min 64°F 65°F1007.6 hPa
NTKM3 - 8449130 - Nantucket Island, MA 49 mi49 min SW 5.1 G 11 64°F 68°F1007.9 hPa

Wind History for Nantucket Island, MA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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W3
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NW1
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Provincetown Municipal Airport, MA8 mi23 minSSW 410.00 miFair61°F60°F97%1007.2 hPa
Chatham, Chatham Municipal Airport, MA20 mi27 minSW 410.00 miOvercast66°F62°F87%1007.8 hPa
Hyannis, Barnstable Municipal-Boardman Airport, MA24 mi23 minSW 910.00 miA Few Clouds67°F62°F84%1007 hPa

Wind History from PVC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmW3W4NW4SW8S10
G14
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G23
SW14
G22
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SW13SW15
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SW11SW12SW12S8SW10SW9SW7--SW5SW4
1 day agoSW9SW9W8NW8N7NW8NW7NW11N8N8NW5N5N5CalmE3E3CalmNE3CalmCalmN3N4NE3Calm
2 days agoS9S11S12S14
G19
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G25
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SW12SW10

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Cod Lighthouse, SE of, Cape Cod, Massachusetts
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Cape Cod Lighthouse
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Thu -- 12:15 AM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:32 AM EDT     7.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:44 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:11 PM EDT     8.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.71.83.35.16.87.97.97.15.63.81.90.40.10.92.245.97.58.17.86.85.23.3

Tide / Current Tables for Provincetown, Massachusetts
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Provincetown
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:22 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:36 AM EDT     9.46 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:51 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:14 PM EDT     9.63 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.61.83.65.87.99.29.48.56.84.72.30.5-00.72.34.46.88.79.69.38.26.44.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.