Wednesday, September20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Canaan, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 6:53PM Wednesday September 20, 2017 3:36 AM EDT (07:36 UTC) Moonrise 6:53AMMoonset 7:27PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 327 Am Edt Wed Sep 20 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon...
Today..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Slight chance of showers this morning.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 327 Am Edt Wed Sep 20 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Tropical cyclone jose slowly moves south and east of the waters through tonight and meanders offshore on Thursday. High pressure builds to the north and west on Thursday, remaining in place through early next week as jose weakens and slowly meanders to the southeast. Please refer to national hurricane center products for more details on jose.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Canaan, CT
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location: 42.06, -73.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 200528
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
128 am edt Wed sep 20 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will dominate our weather into early next week
with temperatures continuing to be above normal. Jose will
remain well offshore of the southeast new england coast into the
weekend.

Near term until 6 am this morning
Reduced pops as showers associated with the outer bands of
tropical storm jose dissipate as the move into the drier air
across the local area. As of the 11 pm advisory issued by the
national hurricane center jose was moving northeastward at 9
mph. Please refer to the national hurricane center for forecast and
other details on jose. Northeast winds will increase late tonight
especially to the south and east of the capital district. Meanwhile
the quasi-stationary boundary to our northwest will continue to
weaken as it tries to move southeastward. Another mild night
with lows from mid 50s to mid 60s; these readings are 10-15
degrees above normal.

Short term 6 am this morning through Friday
Jose continues a slow motion to the northeast on Wednesday, then
takes up residence well southeast of the southeast new england
coast through the remainder of the period. Jose impacts here
will be nil.

Ridging will build into the area at all levels of the atmosphere
through Friday. This will bring well above normal temperatures.

Temperatures will run about 10 degrees above normal.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
The period is expected to be characterized by dry weather with
temperatures warmer than normal, possibly significantly so. Ample
ridging over the eastern CONUS and associated subsidence will result
in persistent high pressure, dry conditions, and warm temperatures
over eastern new york and western new england through the beginning
of next week.

There is still some uncertainty with respect to the track of jose,
which is expected to be post-tropical during the long term period.

It is something to keep an eye on, but model consensus has the
wind rain associated with jose staying offshore and out of our
forecast region for the long term period.

Otherwise, the main story should be the warm temperatures running 10-
15 degrees above normal for this time of year. (gfs and euro
both show 500 mb 590dm heights in play at albany on Sunday
night. A not comprehensive check of sounding data this summer
shows only one observation with 500mb heights getting to 590dm -
00z june 12.) with the aforementioned anomalous ridge, likely
bolstered by jose's outflow, high temperatures should be in the
upper 70s low 80s in the higher terrain and low to upper 80s in
valley regions. Dewpoints throughout the period will be in the
mid 50s to low 60s resulting in humid conditions. Apparent
temperatures will creep into the upper 80s late this weekend
into early next week, making the heat quite oppressive for this
time of the year.

Aviation 06z Wednesday through Sunday
Terminals remain on outer periphery of TC jose's wind and cloud
field tonight. More of a straightforward forecast for kpsf kpou
which are influenced more by jose with denser clouds and a fairly
steady wind. Both those factors should keep fog out of those
terminals, with MVFR stratus expected to persist at kpsf and
borderline MVFRVFR at kpou. Kalb is closer to the edge of the cloud
shield, but enough mid and high clouds and a breeze expected to
mitigate fog potential there as well. At kgfl, did see winds briefly
calm out resulting in ifr br, but it's since bounced back up. Expect
variable conditions there with just a few-sct high clouds. Will
likely see vsby go back down to ifr if winds calm out again, so have
placed a tempo in the tafs for that potential. A few light showers
cannot be ruled out at kpsf kpou but are unlikely to result in much
vsby change.

MainlyVFR expected for the majority of the daylight hours today to
the end of the TAF period as jose continues to drift northeastward
and the terminals remain on its periphery. Kpsf may see MVFR linger
a bit longer into the afternoon.

Winds will be from the north to northeast through the period.

Speeds will be up to 10 kt for the rest of the night, increasing to
around 10 kt during the daylight hours with some gusts to around 20
kt at kpsf kpou closer to jose's circulation.

Outlook...

Wednesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Friday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Friday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Sunday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
Some showers associated with jose are possible for areas south
and east of the capital district into Wednesday. The weather is
then expected to be fair and dry Wednesday night into early
next week with temperatures continuing to be above normal.

Relative humidity recovery tonight and Wednesday night will be
90-100 percent. Minimum values Wednesday afternoon are expected
to be 60-75 percent.

Hydrology
No widespread hydrologic impacts are expected.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Iaa okeefe
near term... Iaa bgm okeefe
short term... Okeefe
long term... Cebulko
aviation... Thompson
fire weather... Okeefe
hydrology... Iaa okeefe


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 32 mi66 min 75°F 1013 hPa70°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 58 mi48 min NE 2.9 G 11 73°F1009.6 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 62 mi54 min NNE 9.9 G 16 73°F1009.1 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA26 mi42 minNNE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy65°F60°F84%1011.9 hPa

Wind History from PSF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4CalmNE4NE3NE6NE6NE11NE9NE8NE11NE10
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE43E5E55SE10SE73E7SE10NE3CalmE3E4E6CalmNE3Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3Calm3W9W5S5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE5CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Hudson
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Wed -- 01:30 AM EDT     New Moon
Wed -- 03:31 AM EDT     4.98 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:11 AM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:00 PM EDT     4.95 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:29 PM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
23.34.34.94.94.33.32.21.10.2-0.3-01.12.53.74.654.63.82.61.60.6-0.1-0

Tide / Current Tables for Catskill, Hudson River, New York
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Catskill
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:30 AM EDT     New Moon
Wed -- 03:13 AM EDT     4.81 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:56 AM EDT     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:42 PM EDT     4.77 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:14 PM EDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.33.54.44.84.63.92.91.80.8-0-0.40.21.42.83.94.64.74.33.32.21.20.3-0.20.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.