Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 9:24PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 1:33 PM EDT (17:33 UTC) Moonrise 10:26AMMoonset 11:52PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 1022 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon...
Rest of today..South wind 15 to 25 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Tonight..South wind 15 to 25 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the night. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
Thursday..Southwest wind 10 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots in the morning. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet in the afternoon.
Thursday night..South wind 5 to 15 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Waves 1 to 2 feet. The water temperature off michigan city is 66 degrees...and 70 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ043 Expires:201706282215;;954394 FZUS53 KIWX 281422 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1022 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-282215-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 281704
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
104 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
Issued at 233 am edt Wed jun 28 2017
high pressure over the ohio valley will move east today. Southerly
winds will increase resulting in breezy and warmer conditions.

Thunderstorm chances will be increasing into Thursday night ahead
of a slow moving cold front. There is a good chance for storms
Thursday night through Friday evening.

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 233 am edt Wed jun 28 2017
potent lead SW trough ejecting out of WRN sd this morning will track
rapidly newd into the up by mid evening as trailing cold front
stalls wwd through the central plains. Meanwhile strong return flow
develops ewd into the lakes especially by late aftn in concert with
ewd shift of llj. Somewhat slower ewd advection of low level theta-e
ridge seen throughout 00z guidance suite and as such will delay pops
again while cutting sharply back from prior likely pops in light of
nwd shift of LLJ core late tonight along with most substantial upper
forcing tracking well north in mi.

Long term (Thursday through Tuesday)
issued at 233 am edt Wed jun 28 2017
lead disturbance shears out through on Thu to start the period. Some
precip potential still indicated within the solution scope to hold
with a low chance pop Thu morning in deference to cams solutions
indicating remnant outflow from late Wed night convection over mi
residing across NRN zones. Otherwise far greater prospects for
storms indicated lt Thu aftn and Thu night INVOF of convectively
reinforced boundary. Substantial theta-e ridge and resurging llj
sewd of upstream significant SW trough digging through the dakotas
highlights a certain heavy precip producing MCS risk yet placement
details quite sketchy and no doubt predicated in late dy1
developments concerning modulation of potential outflow boundary.

Thereafter dakotas SW deepens further ewd into the upper midwest
Friday night. This will allow sfc frontal zone to kick ewd late fri
with corresponding band of shra tsra extending swd from sfc cyclone
ejecting through wi. Shra likely to extend well into Sat too
especially east as upper low wraps up through WRN on again and upper
trough slow to edge east.

Beyond that mid level subsidence and weak sfc ridging follows
through the lakes Sun followed by yet another upstream SW dropping
through the NRN plains Mon and into the SRN lakes tue.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Thursday afternoon)
issued at 1238 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017
an area of showers and isolated storms over northeast il is
expected to weaken this afternoon. There is a better chance for a
storm late tonight as a weak upper level disturbance approaches.

Mentioned vcts at sbn 09-12z; otherwise, no significant weather
is expected.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... Beach hazards statement through Thursday afternoon for miz077.

Oh... None.

Lm... Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt Thursday for lmz043-046.

Synopsis... Skipper
short term... T
long term... T
aviation... Skipper
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45026 - St. Joseph, MI 9 mi23 min SSW 16 G 19 71°F 67°F2 ft1016.6 hPa56°F
45168 24 mi23 min S 14 G 18 70°F 67°F3 ft1016.1 hPa55°F
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi33 min S 14 G 17 72°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi43 min S 12 G 14 71°F 52°F
45170 34 mi33 min S 12 G 16 70°F 66°F2 ft58°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 46 mi27 min S 11 G 24 72°F 1016.9 hPa

Wind History for Holland, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi40 minSSW 9 G 1710.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F51°F45%1016.6 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi58 minS 11 G 1910.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F52°F48%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW13
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5NW5--W5SW5CalmCalmSE3SE4SE3SE4S3SE3SE4SE5SE5SE5--S10S10
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1 day agoW13W8W11NW9
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564NW5W5NW6NW6NW655NW3NW3CalmCalmW11W9W12W15
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2 days agoW17
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W12W9W13

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.