Wednesday, January17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 8:06AMSunset 5:43PM Wednesday January 17, 2018 2:01 AM EST (07:01 UTC) Moonrise 8:27AMMoonset 6:27PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi-michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 1221 Pm Est Tue Jan 16 2018
Tonight..South wind 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Snow.
Monday..South wind 15 to 20 knots becoming 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 knots. Snow.
Monday night..West wind 10 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Chance of snow showers through midnight, then snow showers likely after midnight.
Tuesday..West wind 10 to 20 knots veering northwest 5 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Snow showers likely. Waves omitted due to ice coverage.
LMZ043 Expires:201802150515;;542679 FZUS53 KIWX 161721 CCA NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana...CORRECTED National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1221 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-046-150515-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 170550
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
1250 am est Wed jan 17 2018

Synopsis
Issued at 307 pm est Tue jan 16 2018
lake effect snow tonight over far northwest indiana with 2 to 5
inches of snow expected. Cold tonight and tomorrow before a
warming trend towards the end of the week into the weekend. Highs
in the upper 40s to near 50 this weekend before a system moves
into the area on Sunday with rain likely.

Short term (this evening through Wednesday)
issued at 307 pm est Tue jan 16 2018
focus still remains on lake effect event this afternoon through
the overnight. More agreement in the latest guidance to suggest
heavy lake effect band to reside over far northwest portions of
in. Current radar and satellite imagery show a single north-south
oriented band across lake michigan with a mesovort along the
southern extent. Band moves inland this afternoon over lots cwa
and then will slowly progress eastward.

Biggest uncertainty is the intensity of the band as it moves east
and how far east it will go. While models are in better agreement
on heavy snow band entering laporte, berrien, and starke with snow
accumulations of 3-5 inches with greatest amounts near the lake in
the advisory area nam12 appears to be handling the band well this
morning and shows a single strong band that remains intense as it
moves towards the east. However, some hires guidance wants to
keep the band over our current advisory and not move east. Kept
tight gradient in snow amounts with totals less farther east
outside of the advisory area because lack of agreement. Dropped
the watch from marshall and st. Joseph due to less expected snow
and not expected to upgrade to warning. Winds begin to back
towards the west this evening ending the lake effect snow.

Long term (Wednesday night through Tuesday)
issued at 307 pm est Tue jan 16 2018
relatively quiet long term forecast with milder temps into the
weekend. High pressure moves into the area with dry conditions
expected for the first part of the long term. Next system to watch
is starting to move onshore in the pac NW and will dig its way
into the SW CONUS as a trough entrenches itself over the western
us. System tracks to our NW bringing rain into the area by Sunday
bringing heavy rain at times. Concerning is the potential for
flooding due to melting snowpack as well as tropical connections
to the gulf of mexico. As system exits by Monday backside snow
with colder air funneling in behind the exiting system.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Wednesday night)
issued at 1244 am est Wed jan 17 2018
main focus this morning will be on lake effect plume currently
just west of ksbn. Backing winds subsidence should allow this
band to weaken as it tries to make a run at ksbn this morning.

Could still see a period of ifr visibilities with this activity at
some point. A mixture of MVFRVFR conditions otherwise this
morning with improvement this afternoon evening.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... Winter weather advisory until 6 am cst Wednesday for inz003-012.

Mi... Winter weather advisory until 7 am est this morning for miz077.

Oh... None.

Lm... None.

Synopsis... Heidelberger
short term... Heidelberger
long term... Heidelberger
aviation... Steinwedel
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi61 min SE 5.1 G 7 13°F 1032.2 hPa (-0.6)
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi31 min E 1.9 G 1.9 12°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi41 min NW 17 G 20 24°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 46 mi55 min WNW 15 G 21 22°F 1032.8 hPa

Wind History for Holland, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi68 minE 47.00 miOvercast6°F1°F83%1033.7 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi66 minN 010.00 miFair0°F-4°F82%1031.8 hPa

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S8S9S8S8S10S8SE5SE5SE6S4CalmCalmS5S5S5S6S5S3S3CalmE3E4E4
1 day agoSE10SE10SE11SE9SE10SE9SE9SE9SE9SE7SE9S6S5E5SE4SE5SW11
G20
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SW12SW9S8S10S10
2 days agoS4S6S6S5S6S6S5S7S8S9S12
G20
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G17
SE7SE10SE10SE8SE9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.