Wednesday, April25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 8:38PM Wednesday April 25, 2018 7:49 PM EDT (23:49 UTC) Moonrise 3:02PMMoonset 3:51AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 409 Pm Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 2 am edt Thursday...
Tonight..North wind 15 to 25 knots easing to 5 knots after midnight, then veering east. Clear. Waves 4 to 7 feet occasionally to 9 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..West wind 5 to 10 knots veering northwest in the afternoon. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday night..South wind 5 to 10 knots veering west 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Slight chance of rain after midnight. Waves around 1 foot building to 3 to 5 feet after midnight.
Friday..North wind 5 to 15 knots. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 5 feet. A small craft advisory may be needed. The water temperature off michigan city is 42 degrees...and 44 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ043 Expires:201804260415;;026538 FZUS53 KIWX 252009 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana National Weather Service Northern Indiana 409 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-260415-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 252343
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
743 pm edt Wed apr 25 2018

Synopsis
Issued at 731 pm edt Wed apr 25 2018
high pressure will provide mainly clear skies overnight into
Thursday, there will be some patchy frost towards daybreak as
temperatures fall into the 30s. Temperatures will rebound into the
upper 50s to lower 60s by Thursday afternoon, though a bit cooler
near lake michigan. A frontal system will bring a chance of rain
showers Friday night, followed by a sunny but rather cool
weekend. Temperatures will then gradually warm next week with
highs well into the 70s to near 80 possible for the first day of
may.

Short term (this evening through Thursday)
issued at 211 pm edt Wed apr 25 2018
quiet weather in the short term as weak surface ridging builds
into the region tonight. Breezy northerly winds this afternoon
will quickly diminish this evening with weakening gradient as high
pressure center moves over the area. With the exception of
residual boundary layer moisture... Nearly ideal conditions for
radiational cooling tonight will have lows dropping around 10f
below normal down into the low-mid 30s. Patchy frost and ground
fog will be possible for the early morning hours
Thursday... Otherwise a very pleasant day with lots of
sunshine... Light winds and near normal temperatures with highs
60-65f. Lake michigan water temps in the low-mid 40s should have
sufficient land water thermal gradient in light flow to generate
lake breeze and keep highs only in the upper 40s to lower 50s
close to the lakeshore.

Long term (Thursday night through Wednesday)
issued at 211 pm edt Wed apr 25 2018
a couple of weak disturbances moving through the great lakes
region to begin the long term period. Strong jet dynamics coming
onshore in the yukon will drive northern stream longwave trough
axis eastward into the great lakes region by Thursday night. A
couple of embedded short waves rotating through the base of this
trough will bring a chance for some light rain Friday and Friday
night. The first disturbance will be competing with a southern
stream wave lifting out of the tn valley up into the virginia's
and result in just a slight chance for a shower as associated
surface cold front moves through Friday morning. Second wave digs
a little further south and is accompanied by decent 50-70kt speed
max providing better forcing for precip chances Friday
night... Especially northern cwa. A chilly start to the weekend as
high pressure over the western great lakes has our area in CAA on
a breezy NW flow with low level thermal trof bringing 850mb temps
down to -6c. Expect a pronounced lake shadow on temps with highs
only in the mid-upper 40s near the lake and sbn only near 50f.

Ridge axis shifts eastward over our area Saturday night and will
have lows dropping close to freezing as conditions favorable for
strong radiational cooling. Closed upper low moving onshore this
weekend will establish western us trough and building ridge over
the rockies and plains Saturday. Ridging and subsequent height
rises spread eastward over our area Sunday into Monday and sets
the stage for a nice warmup into the 70s beginning of next week.

Energy ejecting out of western trof will push surface boundary
toward our area and bring precip chances back by the end of the
period.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Thursday evening)
issued at 725 pm edt Wed apr 25 2018
surface ridge holding through southern portion of upper great
lakes through the period withVFR conditions throughout and only
detail given to diurnal wind effects, including onshore lake
breeze penetration in ksbn on Thu midday early afternoon. Some
minor concern for patchy shallow fog near sunrise with marginal
crossover minimum temperature differences, however surface dry air
advection and late afternoon mixing should help preclude any
substantive issues at terminals.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... None.

Oh... None.

Lm... Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Thursday for lmz043-046.

Synopsis... Murphy
short term... Jal
long term... Jal
aviation... Murphy
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi49 min NNE 12 G 15 42°F 1016.9 hPa (-2.4)
45026 - St. Joseph, MI 9 mi29 min N 12 G 16 41°F 42°F4 ft1017.9 hPa33°F
45168 24 mi29 min NNW 16 G 21 39°F 40°F5 ft1017.3 hPa31°F
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi49 min NNW 16 G 20 40°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi49 min NNE 8.9 G 9.9 39°F 33°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 46 mi49 min NNE 7 G 17 40°F 1018.3 hPa (-0.7)

Wind History for Holland, MI
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N11
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G14
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G15
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N16
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G21

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi56 minVar 6 G 1510.00 miFair44°F33°F65%1017 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi53 minNNW 11 G 1610.00 miFair42°F32°F68%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4N74N4CalmCalmCalm6N8N7
G15
N46--N7N9
G15
N7
G19
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G15
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G16
N8
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NW13
G22
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G15
1 day agoSW4S8S3SE3SE7SE7E5E8E5E4E6E3NE4E7CalmE7E8E66N5N6N8N7N8
2 days ago--CalmCalmE4E5E6E3E7E5E5E3NE5NE7E7E9E8E10E11
G14
SE12SE10E10N6N64

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.