Monday, December10, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:59AMSunset 5:15PM Monday December 10, 2018 7:46 AM EST (12:46 UTC) Moonrise 10:42AMMoonset 8:20PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 313 Am Est Mon Dec 10 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from this afternoon through Tuesday afternoon...
Today..Southwest wind 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Southwest wind 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 3 to 6 feet.
Tuesday..West wind 15 to 20 knots easing to 5 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Partly cloudy. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots veering southeast 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet. The water temperature off michigan city is 38 degrees...and 39 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ043 Expires:201812101715;;571170 FZUS53 KIWX 100813 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana National Weather Service Northern Indiana 313 AM EST Mon Dec 10 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-101715-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus63 kiwx 101135
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
635 am est Mon dec 10 2018

Synopsis
Issued at 133 am est Mon dec 10 2018
quiet weather conditions will remain the weather story through
Tuesday as high pressure remains in control. Highs will be in the
30s with lows in the upper teens to mid 20s. The second half of the
week will then feature chances for light snow Wednesday followed by
rain showers Thursday and Friday with highs warming into the 40s.

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 133 am est Mon dec 10 2018
large lake aggregate stratus pool across mi will continue to advance
rapidly south through daybreak as sfc ridge sinks toward the oh
river by evening. Some erosion expected this aftn west and north as
stronger SW low level flow mixing develops. Nonetheless some
downward adjustment in temps ESP SE third warranted today.

Aftn eve clearing north and west expected to fill in again overnight
in association with weak sfc trough passage across the great lakes
as abundant moisture remains entrenched below stubborn broad low
level thermal inversion present across the upper midwest lakes.

Long term (Tuesday through Sunday)
issued at 133 am est Mon dec 10 2018
quiet wx through early Wed with ridging sfc and aloft in control.

Lead impulse driving through the NRN rockies this aftn will amplify
ewd into the WRN lakes late Wed as strong warm advection spreads a
band of light snow across the area. Lack of more appreciable
moisture return and narrow window of strong saturated ascent will
keep potential snow amounts in check with 1-2 inches plausible.

Late week period thereafter rife with uncertainty tied to handling
of intense wave wrapping up through the lower ms valley and degree
of potential phasing if any that may occur with concurrent wave
passing through the NRN lakes. Overall deterministic consensus trend
(growing) the last 2 days has been for more separation aloft with
strong cyclone holding south near the gulf coast however
considerable ensemble spread remains with a more phased NRN oh
valley track not yet out of the cards. Latest model based blend
essentially washes these distinctions out as gem solution counters
gfs ec and at least affords some fading continuity with prior
guidance for dys 4-5 (thu fri).

Aviation (for the 12z tafs through 12z Tuesday morning)
issued at 632 am est Mon dec 10 2018
strong inversion at both sites, helped along by caa, continues to
hang tough this morning, but will lift this afternoon as warm
advection comes in and helps CIGS rise from firmly in ifr at fwa
and MVFR at sbn intoVFR with clouds breaking up too.VFR CIGS end
the day with backing winds remaining less than 10 kts. Later on,
as high pressure drifts south, a low pressure system slides by to
the north and the strengthening pressure gradient should help keep
fog at bay overnight tonight as sfc winds rise above 5 kts.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... None.

Oh... None.

Lm... Small craft advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 1 pm est
Tuesday for lmz043.

Synopsis... T
short term... T
long term... T
aviation... Roller
visit us at

Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi46 min W 7 G 9.9 33°F 1024.4 hPa (-1.0)
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi36 min WNW 6 G 8.9 34°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi26 min W 1.9 G 4.1 30°F 24°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 46 mi66 min W 1.9 G 4.1 28°F 1025.7 hPa

Wind History for Holland, MI
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
Last
24hr
SE5
SE3
G7
S7
G10
S6
G10
W9
G13
W9
G12
W11
G14
NW9
G14
NW6
G14
W11
NW10
NW4
G12
NW8
NW10
N6
NW10
NE5
G9
E6
E5
E5
G8
E5
E5
E4
E4
1 day
ago
NW13
G16
NW12
G17
NW11
G14
N13
NW9
NW6
G9
W5
G10
NW5
G8
SW4
W4
W6
G9
W3
SW2
SW4
G7
SE3
SE3
SE6
SE6
SE4
E4
E4
E4
E4
E3
2 days
ago
W8
G11
W11
G15
W11
G20
W13
G18
SW12
G18
W19
G23
W17
G21
W18
G22
W18
G22
W20
NW19
G25
NW19
G25
NW22
G29
NW23
G29
NW20
NW21
NW14
G24
NW15
G22
NW16
G21
NW13
NW12
G18
NW11
NW10
NW12
G17

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi53 minWNW 410.00 miOvercast33°F24°F70%1025.1 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi50 minN 010.00 miOvercast34°F26°F74%1024 hPa

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
Last 24hrCalmCalmS3SE4CalmW6W54N33CalmCalmCalmNW4CalmNW4CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmW44NW4
1 day agoNW6NW3CalmNE5N4CalmS5S4W4CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoSW7SW7W11W8W10W11SW12W9W12W15
G21
W11
G23
NW13
G22
N10
G18
NW9
G19
NW9
G20
NW9
G16
5
G17
NW7NW7NW9
G14
W6NW53NW7

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (7,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.