Tuesday, June25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:09AMSunset 9:24PM Tuesday June 25, 2019 11:44 PM EDT (03:44 UTC) Moonrise 1:03AMMoonset 1:01PM Illumination 38% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 1008 Pm Edt Tue Jun 25 2019
Overnight..Southwest wind 5 to 15 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..West wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Wednesday night..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots veering south after midnight. Partly cloudy. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..Southwest wind 5 to 10 knots. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot. The water temperature off michigan city is 59 degrees...and 62 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ043 Expires:201906261000;;082476 FZUS53 KIWX 260208 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1008 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-261000-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 252305
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
704 pm edt Tue jun 25 2019

Synopsis
Issued at 704 pm edt Tue jun 25 2019
isolate strong to severe storms will march eastward along and north
of the indiana michigan stateline this evening. Otherwise warmer and
humid Wednesday with high temperatures ranging from the mid 80s over
southern lower michigan to near 90 into west central indiana.

There is a chance for thunderstorms as well Wednesday afternoon
and evening, mainly from us 30 south.

Short term (this evening through Wednesday)
issued at 342 pm edt Tue jun 25 2019
primary focus on conditional risk for strong damaging winds this
evening, primarily over northwest in into south central lower mi.

Combination of succinct MCV near kdbq at 17 utc to track eastward
along wi il border in concert with eastern periphery of 700-500 mb
eml with mid level lapse rates of 7-7.5 c km. Inverted v type
soundings with progged dcape 800-1000 j kg, moderately strong mid
level flow favors wind as primary risk. Will continue to monitor
for upstream convection development downstream of MCV later this
afternoon over southern wi northern il. Diminishing downstream
severe risk early tonight to limit areal temporal extent. This
owing largely to more stable air with pool of upper 50s near 60f
surface dewpoints over eastern CWA and diurnal loss of surface
insolation.

For Wednesday, should the evening early tonight progress as
expected, an east to west boundary will layout through southern
cwa. Strong surface insolation anticipated with temperatures on
the higher end of guidance. Another aforementioned east-southeast
shunt off primary southern plains to southern mn EML expected amid
southern periphery of blocked CONUS with subtle northward build
of west tx ridge. Convective chances, primarily along and south of
route 30, focused near aforementioned boundary. Timed a bit later
21-03 utc per composite of larger scale model timing of embedded
shortwave arrival, presently over bitteroots.

Long term (Wednesday night through Tuesday)
issued at 342 pm edt Tue jun 25 2019
difficult long term with respect to thunderstorm risk next
several days. Blocking pattern favors at least low chances and
followed blend for now. Some potential for a cooler more stable
airmass that is not reflected in the blend by early next week.

This in response to possible back door cold front amid building
mid level heights over central plains nosing into upper midwest
with a slow eastward progression as pacific northwest vortex
finally begins to break through block.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Wednesday evening)
issued at 704 pm edt Tue jun 25 2019
vfr xpcd through the period. Potential exception INVOF ksbn 00-01z
given upstream supercell over the lake but uncertain if it carries
that far each. Will carry vcts for now and amend if needed.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... None.

Oh... None.

Lm... None.

Synopsis... Murphy t
short term... Murphy
long term... Murphy
aviation... T
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi45 min SSW 6 G 8 68°F 1013.2 hPa (+0.7)
45026 - St. Joseph, MI 9 mi35 min NW 7.8 G 9.7 67°F 62°F1 ft1012.7 hPa58°F
45168 24 mi35 min SW 5.8 G 7.8 67°F 63°F1 ft1011.9 hPa61°F
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi55 min SSE 8.9 G 9.9 72°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi55 min SSW 14 G 16 78°F 62°F
45170 34 mi35 min SW 9.7 G 12 68°F 61°F2 ft62°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 46 mi65 min SSW 8 G 9.9 78°F 1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Holland, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi52 minW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F63°F81%1012.1 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi70 minS 310.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F66°F91%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW8W11
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SW4S6S4W5
1 day agoS5S6S5S6S4S6S6S5S7SW6SW9W11SW9SW12
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2 days agoSE8SE8SE7SE9SE6E6E9E7E7SE6SE11
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G27
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S10S8
G15
SE6--E5W7E3E4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.