Wednesday, January24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 8:01AMSunset 5:52PM Wednesday January 24, 2018 6:33 AM EST (11:33 UTC) Moonrise 12:10PMMoonset 12:31AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 413 Am Est Wed Jan 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 9 am est this morning...
Today..Northwest wind 5 to 15 knots. Cloudy. Chance of snow showers through the day. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..West wind 5 to 10 knots backing southwest after midnight. Mostly cloudy through midnight then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..South wind 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday night..South wind 10 to 15 knots. Clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Wave heights are for ice free areas.
LMZ043 Expires:201801241715;;917885 FZUS53 KIWX 240913 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana National Weather Service Northern Indiana 413 AM EST Wed Jan 24 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-241715-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 240807
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
issued at 307 am est Wed jan 24 2018

Synopsis
Issued at 1241 am est Wed jan 24 2018
cool and mainly cloudy conditions will persist into tonight and
Wednesday. A few snow showers or flurries will also remain
possible. Thursday into Friday will feature a nice moderating
trend with highs possibly exceeding 50 degrees Friday. This will
be followed by rain chances Saturday and cooler conditions Sunday
into early next week.

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 306 am est Wed jan 24 2018
weak upstream disturbance over ia will sharpen a bit as it shifts
off into the oh river valley this aftn. Weak aggregate low level
flow with marginally favorable low level thermal trough has resulted
in spotty fzdz --sn at times overnight. Thus suspect some propensity
for sct isold snow showers fzdz given supersaturation within fairly
deep boundary layer and likely seeding diurnal heating enhancement
this aftn as mid level moisture plume in association with upstream
wave crosses the area.

Otherwise subsidence drying follows overnight as low level thermal
trough weakens which will help to erode out persisting stratocu.

Long term (Thursday through Wednesday)
issued at 306 am est Wed jan 24 2018
pleasantly mild through Sat as broad mid level ridging develops
downstream of flat NRN stream trough skirting SRN canada. Decent
return flow seen ahead of weak swwd trailing frontal zone thus while
some rain is predicated mainly late Fri night sat, lack of sfc wave
development caps greater chances.

Seasonable cold advection follows sun-mon with marginally favorable
lake aggregate troughing flow trajectories to continue snow shower
mention northwest.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Wednesday night)
issued at 1241 am est Wed jan 24 2018
MVFR conditions will continue through much of the period, with an
inversion and cyclonic flow. As mentioned in previous discussion,
we'll continue to hover around the 2kft landing minimum criteria
through at least the first portion of the TAF period. A shortwave
moving through will bring chances for snow showers, which are more
likely to start around 15z and continue through 21z, enhanced
perhaps by the daytime heating tomorrow. However, ceilings will
likely trend towards bkn015 starting around 9z, if they don't fall
lower before then. For now, kept things right around bkn020, but
wouldn't be shocked to see them drop below for a bit before 9z.

Otherwise, expect improvement toVFR by Wednesday evening.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... None.

Oh... None.

Lm... Small craft advisory until 9 am est this morning for lmz043-046.

Synopsis... Agd
short term... T
long term... T
aviation... Mcd
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi33 min W 13 G 17 31°F 1021.7 hPa (+0.0)
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi33 min NNE 12 G 15 28°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi43 min W 12 G 14 28°F 23°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 46 mi33 min WNW 9.9 G 15 29°F 1023 hPa (+0.6)

Wind History for Holland, MI
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W19
G23
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G31
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G28
NW24
G31
NW20
G25
NW18
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G27
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G28
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G25
N17
G24
N14
G18
N10
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G17
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G21
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1 day
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E12
G16
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G15
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G17
E12
G16
E14
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G14
E8
S12
S4
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S9
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SE7
G11
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G14
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G13
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G15
SW12
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S17
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G18
W16
G20
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ago
E5
SE3
SE3
G6
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G5
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G14
E9
E11
E13
G17

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi40 minN 010.00 miOvercast31°F23°F72%1022.3 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi38 minNNE 710.00 miOvercast29°F22°F76%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW9W12NW5NW9
G19
NW11
G17
NW12
G17
W12
G18
NW11
G22
NW10
G18
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G16
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G19
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G20
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G23
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NW9
G16
NW5NW5N75NW85NW54NW3
1 day agoSE7E9SE11S8SE11S10
G20
S10
G24
S14
G20
S11
G20
S11
G17
S6S7S7S5SE5SE6SE8SW15SW11SW13SW11SW9SW10SW12
2 days ago--SE4SE4S6S6SE7SE6SE7SE4E5E5E5E6E5SE7SE6SE7SE5SE6SE6SE4E5E5E6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.