Friday, February22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 6:27PM Friday February 22, 2019 2:56 AM EST (07:56 UTC) Moonrise 10:21PMMoonset 9:35AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 323 Pm Est Mon Jan 28 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday afternoon...
Tonight..Northwest wind 20 to 30 knots. Few gusts to 35 knot gales. Freezing spray. Snow showers through midnight. Snow showers likely after midnight. Waves 8 to 12 feet occasionally to 15 feet.
Tuesday..West wind to 30 knots. Few gusts to 35 knot gales. Freezing spray. Chance of snow showers through the day. Waves 8 to 12 feet occasionally to 15 feet.
Tuesday night..West wind to 30 knots. Gusts up to 35 knot gales. Snow showers. Waves 8 to 12 feet occasionally to 15 feet.
Wednesday..West wind to 30 knots. Gusts up to 35 knot gales. Snow showers in the morning, then snow showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 8 to 12 feet occasionally to 15 feet. The water temperature off michigan city is 32 degrees...and 33 degrees off st. Joseph. This is the last nearshore marine forecast (nshiwx) issuance for the season due to increasing ice coverage and limited traffic on the nearshore waters. The nearshore marine forecast will be issued again by march 1st, 2019, or earlier if conditions warrant.
LMZ043 Expires:201901290530;;066235 FZUS53 KIWX 282023 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana National Weather Service Northern Indiana 323 PM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-290530-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 220440
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
1140 pm est Thu feb 21 2019

Synopsis
Issued at 1137 pm est Thu feb 21 2019
fair weather with a gradual warming trend is expected into
Saturday. A strengthening low pressure will bring rain, wind and
perhaps a few thunderstorms Saturday afternoon into Saturday
night. Very strong winds will follow on Sunday, along with a
return to colder temperatures.

Short term (this evening through Friday)
issued at 206 pm est Thu feb 21 2019
elongated sfc high pressure from the mid ms valley to the northern
plains will gradual morph north tonight into tomorrow providing fair
weather, seasonable temps, and light winds.

Long term (Friday night through Thursday)
issued at 206 pm est Thu feb 21 2019
potent shortwave over the great basin will eventually eject
northeast into the central us sending a deepening sfc cyclone
through the missouri valley and western great lakes this weekend.

Shot of deeper moisture and lift on the nose of an associated 115 kt
mid-level jet will should result in a wet Saturday
afternoon evening. Impressive moisture tap and flow convergence into
a northward advancing baroclinic zone may provide some heavier
convection elements, with a non-zero wind damage threat mainly
along southeast of us 24 on the northern fringe of theta-e ridge.

Strong advisory or low end warning level gradient winds remain
the larger concern post-frontal later Saturday night into Sunday
given what is modeled to be a healthy pressure rise and very tight
low level height gradient as low pressure wraps up below 980 mb
in the northern lakes. Will continue to highlight in the risk in
the hwo and through social media.

Broad lower amplitude troughing is expected over the midwest and
great lakes for much of next week. Temperatures generally near to
below normal and periodic chances for rain and snow will result as
several upper level perturbations progress through in this wnw flow.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Friday night)
issued at 1137 pm est Thu feb 21 2019
a surface high pressure area will drift across michigan today and
will continue to bring fair skies, light winds andVFR conditions.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... None.

Oh... None.

Lm... None.

Synopsis... Murphy
short term... Steinwedel
long term... Steinwedel
aviation... Skipper
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi56 min N 1.9 G 2.9 30°F 1028.4 hPa
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi46 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1 28°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi36 min NW 8.9 G 9.9 30°F 22°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 46 mi56 min N 4.1 G 5.1 30°F 1028.4 hPa (+2.0)

Wind History for Holland, MI
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G11

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi63 minN 09.00 miFair26°F19°F78%1027.8 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi61 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy25°F21°F87%1027.4 hPa

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW16
G23
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SW16--W14
G23
SW14SW13SW7W10W8W653CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoE9E10E12
G19
E12E10
G19
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G24
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G29
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SE13SE8SE8S5SW18
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SW13SW13
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W15
G25
W19
2 days agoE5SE5E5E6SE6SE5SE7SE7S6SE7SW5S3N43CalmE7E5E5E5E7E6E6E6E8
G17

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.