Monday, October23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 8:05AMSunset 6:51PM Monday October 23, 2017 8:24 PM EDT (00:24 UTC) Moonrise 10:37AMMoonset 8:37PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 349 Pm Edt Mon Oct 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday afternoon...
.gale watch in effect from Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday night...
Tonight..West wind 15 to 25 knots. Rain through midnight, then rain likely after midnight. Waves 4 to 7 feet occasionally to 9 feet.
Tuesday..West wind to 30 knots. Gusts up to 35 knot gales. Rain. Waves 8 to 12 feet occasionally to 15 feet.
Tuesday night..Northwest wind to 30 knots. Gusts up to 35 knot gales. Showers through midnight, then chance of showers after midnight. Waves 10 to 14 feet occasionally to 18 feet.
Wednesday..West wind 10 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Waves 6 to 10 feet occasionally to 13 feet. The water temperature off michigan city is 58 degrees...and 59 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ043 Expires:201710240415;;301253 FZUS53 KIWX 231949 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana National Weather Service Northern Indiana 349 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-240415-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 232338
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
738 pm edt Mon oct 23 2017

Synopsis
Issued at 355 pm edt Mon oct 23 2017
a soaking rain will continue into this evening. Rainfall amounts
of 2 to 4 inches can be expected over far southwest lower michigan
into northwest indiana, with much lower amounts elsewhere.

Tuesday into Wednesday will feature much cooler conditions and
additional chances for rain showers under deep low pressure over
the great lakes region. Highs both days may struggle to get out of
the 40s. A brief shot of warm and dry conditions into Thursday
will be followed by another surge of cool air Friday into the
weekend.

Short term (this evening through Tuesday)
issued at 355 pm edt Mon oct 23 2017
the main deformation zone has set up farther west then earlier
anticipated. The far northwest part of the forecast area from
laporte to western berrien county had received 2.0 to 3.5 inches of
rain during the past several hours. After coordination, have issued
a flood advisory for this area. The low pressure area will rapidly
deepen and move north tonight, with the heaviest rain shifting north
of the area. The low should drop below 980 mb by daybreak. More
showers should spread back into the area Tuesday as impulses rotate
around the main low and as delta t values increase and favor lake
enhanced showers.

Long term (Tuesday night through Monday)
issued at 355 pm edt Mon oct 23 2017
much colder air will spread across the upper great lakes region into
Wednesday as showers end by late in the day. High temperatures will
only be in the 40s Wednesday. After a short dry period from
Wednesday night through Thursday night, another round of showers is
expected followed by more colder air for this weekend. Kept chilly
lows close to freezing from Friday night through Monday morning. A
light rain snow mix is possible, but no snow accumulations are
expected.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Tuesday evening)
issued at 735 pm edt Mon oct 23 2017
surface low pressure moves to the north of the region tonight
and deepens there Tuesday. This will allow mainly west winds and
continued times of rain as well as decreasing flight conditions as
we head towards Tuesday morning.

A band of heavier rain was associated with a generally north to
south temperature gradient over western michigan and into central
indiana during the evening hours of Monday. Just west of that
gradient,VFR conditions resided within drier air. This is
expected to move east into the forecast and will allow for some
moderation of conditions in the early overnight hours. Conditions
will then worsen to ifr first at sbn around or just after 6z as
moisture comes back in. Rain is expected to continue along with at
least fuel alternate conditions, if not ifr conditions, into
Tuesday as the upper low slowly meanders away from the region.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... None.

Oh... None.

Lm... Gale watch from Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday night for
lmz043-046.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt Tuesday for lmz043-046.

Synopsis... Steinwedel skipper
short term... Skipper
long term... Skipper
aviation... Roller
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi84 min NNW 16 G 21 56°F 1003.7 hPa (-0.7)
45026 - St. Joseph, MI 9 mi34 min NNW 19 G 23 56°F 58°F7 ft1003.4 hPa49°F
45168 24 mi34 min NW 19 G 27 56°F 59°F7 ft1002 hPa50°F
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi44 min NW 27 G 30 55°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi34 min W 21 G 23 54°F 49°F
45170 34 mi34 min WNW 16 G 19 55°F 57°F6 ft50°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 46 mi44 min W 16 G 19 55°F 1005.1 hPa

Wind History for Holland, MI
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SE9
G12
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G24
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G24
SE13
G18
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G24
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G16
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SE9
G12
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G23
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G24
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G23
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G20
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G23
SE13
SE8
G12

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi31 minWNW 810.00 miOvercast55°F48°F80%1002.6 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi28 minNW 11 G 197.00 miLight Rain55°F52°F92%1001.7 hPa

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN743CalmCalm4CalmCalm3434NE8NE365NE6Calm5NW7NW7NW10
G19
NW11
G19
NW8
1 day agoSE9S7SE10SE8S8
G18
SE8SE8SE7SE10SE9SE8SE7S10--S10
G20
S14
G20
S12S14
G21
S13
G20
S15
G26
S5SW13NW65
2 days agoS5SE6S5S6S6S6S8SE6S5S6SE5SE8S7S6S6S11
G17
S10S11
G19
S10
G16
S13S10S8S9SE9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.